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    • Good morning! I don't know about everyone else, but I've had some serious winds all night long. There are two reasons... ridging wedging down the east side of the Appalachian's combined with the lower pressures from TS Beta. Winds are simply the result of pressure gradients, and we have a nice one today. On this SPC mesoanalysis map, you can see the higher pressures nosing down the east side of the mountains, while to the southwest, Beta loiters off the coast.    The winds around 2500 feet this morning are ripping pretty good, but those will be relaxing as we go through the day.   As far as our outlook goes...   The rainfall begins Wednesday night and this image shows the rainfall through 2 am Thursday.   This depicts the rainfall totals through 8 am next Monday. The bulk of this starts Thursday.   The morning map (temps/water vapor/500 mb winds) shows the moisture pressed to our south.   Same image but dewpoints instead of temps.   So not much to talk about for the next few days. Mostly sunny skies with cool temps and dry air will make for some great fall days this week. Speaking of fall, it begins Tuesday!   Hope everyone has a great Monday!
    • Good morning! Not a bad day to get outside yesterday! The Big Canoe Car Club had a little gathering but I think the cloudy skies kept some away. If you'd like to see a few pictures that I took, here's the link to the album. https://photos.app.goo.gl/jik7Yd1zUTdADUzx9 I'm down to 51.6º F at 6:21 am this morning and the temp is still falling, can I get to the 40's? 🙂 I moved to Big Canoe in May but started my new data here on June 1,  so this morning is the coolest I've had since I've been keeping records here.    Yesterday was the coolest day of the month (6 am - 6 pm) and overnight was the coolest night so far. Yesterday's high of 66.5 was the lowest high since May.   You can see Tropical Storm Beta on the morning map and the moisture from Beta streaming north across our area. That will move away from us for the next 3-4 days before possibly returning toward the end of the week.     Good thing we've had a lot of rain, because we aren't going to see a drop until we get toward the end of the week. This is the WPC rainfall forecast through 8 am Thursday and you can see the impacts of TS Beta over TX/LA.    These are the high/low temperature anomalies through next Saturday.   Both the Euro and GFS ensembles are depicting below to near normal temps into October. These are a 7 day sliding window average anomaly.   Other than that, not much to talk about right now. Try to get out and enjoy the cool fresh air!  Have a great Sunday!    
    • Good Saturday morning! Cloudy skies greet our day today, and those high clouds will probably hang around most if not all day long. I'll take it though! I'm loving these temperatures, and along with the clouds, it really feels like fall! 🙂   And the reason for the clouds...   These are the highs/high anomalies for the next 6 days   And these are the lows/low anomalies...       Precipitation is going to be non-existent until the very end of the period.   There will not be much local weather to talk about over the next 5 days, so I hope you can get out and enjoy our first fall period! Hope everyone has a great Saturday!
    • That slow meandering movement down there gives me Harvey flashbacks. Hopefully it stays offshore. 
    • Good morning! After the rain ended, the day didn't turn out too bad yesterday. Did you get enough rain? The morning map (infrared/temps/MSLP/surface and 850 mb winds) shows Sally moving off to the northeast while we have a nice breeze out of that same direction. Today will be the warmest of the next 5 or 6 as a cold front will be bringing our first taste of fall starting tomorrow.            Speaking of that fly... say hello to #22.   What will actually happen to 22 no one really knows right now. You can see from the map, 22 appears to have had too much tequila while down south, and is staggering around like a drunken sailor trying to decide which way to go.  The models aren't much help as the Euro brings it more over us while the GFS washes it out. Watch the precipitable water loops and you can see the differences.   Temperatures will drop below normal behind the front and these are the official NWS highs and lows for the next 7 days. Highs   Lows   Rainfall will be, for all practical purposes, non-existent.    However, we've had some rain over the last 7 days (this image is through 8 am yesterday), so we don't really need anymore at the moment anyway.    This is my forecast, yours will be very similar.    So fall arrives tomorrow (ok... Tuesday the 22nd) and I think you are going to love it! Have a great Friday!
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