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Thursday, October 18, 2018


NorthGeorgiaWX

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PictureTemp Anomalies for Sunday
Well, at least I have a few alternatives for posting information. Starting today I will be making these consolidated "daily" post. They will contain everything that I would normally share in a day, all rolled up into one post. Who knows, it may be easier for you to read instead of wading through multiple post. But this will mean that you will have to come back here to get the updates. I can post a comment on FB when I do an update, but that's about it. 

This consolidated post will be ordered with the most recent update at the bottom and I will time stamp each update for you.  All I ask is that if you like the post, to please click on the Facebook button at the bottom to "Like" it. Since the Facebook page isn't working, new followers will be harder to come by, so those likes will go a long way in helping me out. 


Thursday, 8:33 am

If it doesn't feel like fall for you yet, it will very soon.  It's looking like our high temps will be below normal for about a week. With rain coming in on Saturday, we'll see a little bump up, but still below normal. The six images below are the high temperature anomalies through Wednesday, and as you can see, we will finally get a week of BELOW normal temps instead of above. 
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Friday
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Saturday
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Saturday
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Monday
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Tuesday
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Wednesday

Thursday, 9:05 am

Blocking events are what helps to push the cold air south. And speaking of cold air, the very NW corner on NC and NE corner of TN could see a flake or two of snow. Fun times ahead! :-)

A striking amount of high-latitude Northern Hemisphere blocking is forecast over the next 4 weeks □

Persistent upper troughs in the vicinity of the Bering Sea and central-eastern U.S. [JMA weeklies] pic.twitter.com/YFU1hTmEOv

— Ben Noll (@BenNollWeather) October 18, 2018

Saturdays cold front brings the 1st chance of snow in the mountains for the season. A short-lived northwest flow snow is likely Saturday night into early Sunday. Accumulations not likely or very light but snow showers are likely in the favored areas. #wncwx #snOMG pic.twitter.com/4j0YZeTlE3

— Brad Panovich (@wxbrad) October 18, 2018

Thursday, 10:12 am

Here's another story on the crop losses in Georgia due to Hurricane Michael, and the losses are estimated to be  in the neighborhood of 3 billion dollars.

https://www.ajc.com/news/hurricane-michael-damage-billion-georgia-agricultural-losses/TLLCf5XpCsnJvMAhWZE8cI/

Thursday, 11:26 am

The evolution of a potentially significant storm system across the eastern US is now within the ECMWF Op long-range prognostication. Note the negatively tilted, digging trough and the vort max over the central Plains in the 10-12 day range. Maps: @RyanMaue | @weathermodels_ pic.twitter.com/xrdYRnLdnP

— John Kassell (@JPKassell) October 18, 2018

I am not a fan of seasonal outlooks due to the lack of skill, but for what it’s worth NOAA issued their winter outlook this morning… pic.twitter.com/IMDeq0e4LU

— James Spann (@spann) October 18, 2018

Thursday, 12:13 pm

Animated GIF showing the 10 day temperature anomalies from the 00Z Euro operational run.
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Thursday, 1:43 pm

Here's the Weekly Weather Briefing from the Atlanta NWS office.

Thursday, 2:48 pm

Whoa!!!

Here's how intense winds cause a Quebec forest to 'breathe' https://t.co/kMg7aVePKX pic.twitter.com/zdLZAqiMJP

— The Weather Network (@weathernetwork) October 17, 2018


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  • Posts

    • Gfs is hinting at a tropical system out of the Caribbean.  Pretty nasty at that. It has kept introducing it off and on.  With the big cool down and the movements of overall circulation what are you thoughts here?
    • Good morning!       And speaking of the closed off bowling ball, here's what that 500 mb anomaly looks like. THIS is what we want to see this winter. Big closed upper air lows can make their own cold air in the winter by drawing down much colder air from the upper reaches of the atmosphere.    These are the corresponding surface temperature anomalies... we're going to be well below normal for the first week of October.    Do you remember what last October was like? We were broiling in the mid to upper 80's with extremely dry conditions.   Don't want to ever see that again, that totally ruined fall.  Take a look at the Euro's thoughts on low temps for next Sunday morning.   Here are two images, one from the GFS and one from the Euro, showing a cross section of the temperatures from the surface to about 200 mb which is getting close to 40,000 feet. You can see the dips in the temperatures next week. The temps are in Celsius so the zero degree line is 32 degrees.   While we expect some rain between now and next weekend, it won't be a a lot. There is a decent chance of rain in advance of the bowling ball but nothing significant at the moment. This is the expected rainfall through Thursday morning.   So we'll warm up a little before we cool down, so just a little patience! 🙂 Hope everyone has a great Saturday!
    • Good morning! Man... it just seems like this month is flying by to me. Here we are coming up on the middle of fall and the 2nd busiest month for hurricanes, so that means there ought to be lots of weather to talk about, but right now we're in a lull.  This mornings map (300 mb winds and isobars/dewpoints/water vapor/radar) shows a mostly zonal flow across the northern tier of the US. You can see the weak cold front trailing down though TN/AR/TX. You can also see how the southeast is still in the moisture while the northern and western parts of the US are dry.      Here's a look at the upcoming temperatures for selected areas around north Georgia. These are the official NWS forecast temps. Notice the end of the week.   The rain is about over but there could be a light shower/drizzle passing through, these are the rainfall expectations through 8 pm this evening.   So not much going on to get excited about. After having 5-7 storms in the Atlantic at once, we now have zero.    Yesterday's CoCoRaHS rainfall measurements look like this. I feel very alone up here.... 🙂   That's it! 🙂 I hop everyone has a great Friday!
    • Sorry, missed your question. I guess you've already gotten the answer. 🙂  
    • Any update on expected wind gusts or are we still just looking at breezy conditions if anything?
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