Jump to content

2019 Tire Rack Lincoln Spring Nationals Champ Tour Weather - Sunday



Good Sunday morning to everyone!

Looks like Lincoln was brushed with some showers last night, but luckily the heavier stuff stayed to the south.



From the SPC Severe Weather Outlook maps, it appears the severe weather is dancing all around Lincoln, but it's afraid to get any closer, so it waits until Tuesday before making an appearance. 




Lingering shower and thunderstorm activity will continue to
diminish through the early morning hours today. Generally dry
weather is expected today with high temperatures topping out in
the upper 70s. Precipitation chances will increase late this
evening and tonight as a shortwave surges out of the four corners
region. There is an enhanced risk for severe weather just off to
our west over south-central Nebraska, where supercells are
expected to develop this afternoon. Up to 30-40 kts of shear and
modest instability will be in place across the forecast area
Sunday evening to maintain a slight to marginal risk for severe
weather through the overnight hours. Damaging winds will be the
primary threat, as well as a chance for some large hail.

While this event appears to be fairly progressive, there is still
some concern about organized thunderstorm activity producing heavy
rainfall over areas with already saturated soil. Thankfully, the
bulk of the heaviest precip looks to set up further north, across
the middle of the CWA, which may be better set up to handle
additional rainfall. That being said, the need for another Flash
Flood Watch will have to be assessed as new model data arrives.

Remaining showers and thunderstorms will generally clear out of the
area Monday morning, giving the atmosphere an opportunity to reload.
A surface low will establish itself over eastern Colorado by Monday
afternoon, with a warm front extending from southwest Nebraska
through northern Iowa. Severe storms will be possible yet again
along this feature late Monday afternoon and evening.


All in all... not a bad day forecast. Most of the rain, if it rains, will fall in the evenings, leaving some nice dry concrete to go fast on! 

Have fun for me! 🙂


Recommended Comments

Hope everything us secure on site. The bulk of the severe thunderstorms are about 80 miles away.

Lincoln in the upper right side of the image.



Link to comment

There is a Severe Thunderstorm Watch to the west of Lincoln, but there is no indication at the moment that it will be extended east.




   Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 257
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   545 PM CDT Sun May 26 2019

   The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

   * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of 
     Central Kansas
     South-central Nebraska

   * Effective this Sunday afternoon from 545 PM until Midnight CDT.

   * Primary threats include...
     Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
     Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
     A tornado or two possible

   SUMMARY...Multiple clusters of strong to severe storms should spread
   east-northeast into central portions of Kansas and Nebraska this
   evening. Scattered severe wind gusts, isolated severe hail, and a
   brief tornado are the most likely hazards.

   The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 45
   statute miles east and west of a line from 30 miles east southeast
   of Dodge City KS to 20 miles west of Grand Island NE. For a complete
   depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
   (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).


   REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
   favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
   Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
   weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
   warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce


Link to comment
Add a comment...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

  • Posts

    • Gfs is hinting at a tropical system out of the Caribbean.  Pretty nasty at that. It has kept introducing it off and on.  With the big cool down and the movements of overall circulation what are you thoughts here?
    • Good morning!       And speaking of the closed off bowling ball, here's what that 500 mb anomaly looks like. THIS is what we want to see this winter. Big closed upper air lows can make their own cold air in the winter by drawing down much colder air from the upper reaches of the atmosphere.    These are the corresponding surface temperature anomalies... we're going to be well below normal for the first week of October.    Do you remember what last October was like? We were broiling in the mid to upper 80's with extremely dry conditions.   Don't want to ever see that again, that totally ruined fall.  Take a look at the Euro's thoughts on low temps for next Sunday morning.   Here are two images, one from the GFS and one from the Euro, showing a cross section of the temperatures from the surface to about 200 mb which is getting close to 40,000 feet. You can see the dips in the temperatures next week. The temps are in Celsius so the zero degree line is 32 degrees.   While we expect some rain between now and next weekend, it won't be a a lot. There is a decent chance of rain in advance of the bowling ball but nothing significant at the moment. This is the expected rainfall through Thursday morning.   So we'll warm up a little before we cool down, so just a little patience! 🙂 Hope everyone has a great Saturday!
    • Good morning! Man... it just seems like this month is flying by to me. Here we are coming up on the middle of fall and the 2nd busiest month for hurricanes, so that means there ought to be lots of weather to talk about, but right now we're in a lull.  This mornings map (300 mb winds and isobars/dewpoints/water vapor/radar) shows a mostly zonal flow across the northern tier of the US. You can see the weak cold front trailing down though TN/AR/TX. You can also see how the southeast is still in the moisture while the northern and western parts of the US are dry.      Here's a look at the upcoming temperatures for selected areas around north Georgia. These are the official NWS forecast temps. Notice the end of the week.   The rain is about over but there could be a light shower/drizzle passing through, these are the rainfall expectations through 8 pm this evening.   So not much going on to get excited about. After having 5-7 storms in the Atlantic at once, we now have zero.    Yesterday's CoCoRaHS rainfall measurements look like this. I feel very alone up here.... 🙂   That's it! 🙂 I hop everyone has a great Friday!
    • Sorry, missed your question. I guess you've already gotten the answer. 🙂  
    • Any update on expected wind gusts or are we still just looking at breezy conditions if anything?
  • Create New...