Good Sunday morning to everyone!
Looks like Lincoln was brushed with some showers last night, but luckily the heavier stuff stayed to the south.
From the SPC Severe Weather Outlook maps, it appears the severe weather is dancing all around Lincoln, but it's afraid to get any closer, so it waits until Tuesday before making an appearance.
QuoteLingering shower and thunderstorm activity will continue to diminish through the early morning hours today. Generally dry weather is expected today with high temperatures topping out in the upper 70s. Precipitation chances will increase late this evening and tonight as a shortwave surges out of the four corners region. There is an enhanced risk for severe weather just off to our west over south-central Nebraska, where supercells are expected to develop this afternoon. Up to 30-40 kts of shear and modest instability will be in place across the forecast area Sunday evening to maintain a slight to marginal risk for severe weather through the overnight hours. Damaging winds will be the primary threat, as well as a chance for some large hail. While this event appears to be fairly progressive, there is still some concern about organized thunderstorm activity producing heavy rainfall over areas with already saturated soil. Thankfully, the bulk of the heaviest precip looks to set up further north, across the middle of the CWA, which may be better set up to handle additional rainfall. That being said, the need for another Flash Flood Watch will have to be assessed as new model data arrives. Remaining showers and thunderstorms will generally clear out of the area Monday morning, giving the atmosphere an opportunity to reload. A surface low will establish itself over eastern Colorado by Monday afternoon, with a warm front extending from southwest Nebraska through northern Iowa. Severe storms will be possible yet again along this feature late Monday afternoon and evening.
All in all... not a bad day forecast. Most of the rain, if it rains, will fall in the evenings, leaving some nice dry concrete to go fast on!
Have fun for me! 🙂