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June 6, Thursday

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Good Thursday morning!

We're halfway through the New England trip and this will be our last day on the Cape. We will end our Cape Cod visit by taking the high speed ferry out to Martha's Vineyard for a little day trip today. We have an 80% chance of rain and it's cloudy and dreary looking, but the high on the island today is 72 degrees. Tomorrow we start our journey north toward Bar Harbor Maine.

But the good news is the weather in Georgia! Here's a little from the Weather Prediction Center


...Southeast/Appalachians/Eastern Seaboard...
An amplified southern stream upper low/trough and wavy surface
system settles over the Southeast into early-mid next week and
will continue to tap deep moisture from the Gulf of
Mexico/Atlantic to fuel a lingering threat of heavy rain and flash
flooding/flooding across the region. There is also a strong signal
to lift moisture and energy northeastward across the
Appalachians/Eastern Seaboard with interaction with northern
stream flow and with surface frontal approach. WPC medium range
QPF early next week offers widespread 1-4" areal average amounts,
with heaviest totals focusing over the Southeast. Locally higher
amounts remain possible in areas of cell training/back
building/cell mergers and especially into favored Appalachians
terrain. These values are in addition to totals expected over the
next 3 days. 


And the Atlanta NWS has this to say


Main Tropical wave is currently centered over the lower MS river
valley and will push east today. This tropical wave will bring
increased chances of precip to the area. Current QPF totals area
showing 1.5 to 3 inch totals across North and central GA over the
next 2 days. This forecast coincides well with 6 hour model PWs
showing 1.7 to 2.0 inches across the board for the next 48 hours. As
this wave moves in across the area instability stays fairly marginal
through the period so not expecting much in the way of severe
weather. This is some much needed rain but it does look like the
biggest concern will be the possibility of some flooding. Temps will
also begin to moderate with more seasonal daytime highs expected
through the end of the week. Daytime highs will be mainly in the 80s
today and Friday.

.LONG TERM /Friday Night through Wednesday/...

The main influencing feature of the long term will continue to be
with the slow progression of an upper cutoff low to the west,
which will open up persistent enhanced moisture transport off the
Gulf. Have likely to categorical chance for widespread rain
through Monday then some decrease Tues/Wed given uncertainty with
evolution of the upper wave energy. Progged conditional
instability supports best thunderstorm potential with a diurnal
trend, however there will likely be periods of convective
enhancement with any impulse that tracks east of the
aforementioned trough. The main concern with this setup continues
to be heavy rain and flooding potential given how guidance is
bringing PWATs close to 2 inches (or even higher) to much of the
area, which is near climo records for this time of year. WPC QPF
is a bit lower this forecast cycle, though still expecting 3-5
inches total with locally higher (esp in parts of the northeast).

Temps generally near to slightly below climo norms given



So it's looking like a good soaking rain coming up. The progression of the upper level trough will determine how long the rain hangs around. In the mean time, enjoy the cooler temperatures! You're looking at upper 70's to low 80's for at least the next 5 days. Finally, the relief that everyone has been waiting on. 🙂 

I hope everyone enjoys the day, I know I will even if it does rain here!

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