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NorthGeorgiaWX

Hurricane Dorian (05L)

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I may be traveling to Florida... not by choice but because my mom is in the hospital in Sarasota. She in the last stages of Alzheimer's and there just isn't anything anyone can do.

I'll know more this afternoon, but I may be leaving in the morning to go down there.

Might as well see a hurricane face to face.  

 

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Despite being in different locations this reminds me a lot of the headache with tracking Irma. Both a slow westward moving hurricanes sliding northward into a weakness between two ridges. We didn't get a feel for exactly when Irma would make that turn until almost 24-36 hours out, with the official forecast flipping back and forth to each side of the peninsula. And then of course Irma doing her own thing and going right up the middle. 

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4 minutes ago, KingOfTheMountains said:

Despite being in different locations this reminds me a lot of the headache with tracking Irma. Both a slow westward moving hurricanes sliding northward into a weakness between two ridges. We didn't get a feel for exactly when Irma would make that turn until almost 24-36 hours out, with the official forecast flipping back and forth to each side of the peninsula. And then of course Irma doing her own thing and going right up the middle. 

Yep, no more flipping for me until 24 hours before landfall. It is what it is. 
I was without power for 48 hours with Irma.

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Friday, August 30, 2:00 PM Discussion Update

Hurricane Dorian Intermediate Advisory Number 25A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL052019
2:00 PM AST Fri Aug 30 2019

...EXTREMELY DANGEROUS HURRICANE DORIAN POSES A SIGNIFICANT THREAT
TO FLORIDA AND THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS...

...HURRICANE HUNTER PLANE FINDS DORIAN IS NOW A MAJOR HURRICANE...


SUMMARY OF 2:00 PM AST...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...24.8N 70.3W
ABOUT 445 MI...715 KM E OF THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS
ABOUT 625 MI...1005 KM E OF WEST PALM BEACH FLORIDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 MPH...185 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...970 MB...28.64 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Hurricane Watch is in effect for...
* Northwestern Bahamas

A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible
within the watch area.  A watch is typically issued 48 hours before
the anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm-force winds,
conditions that make outside preparations difficult or dangerous.

Interests in southern and central Florida should monitor the
progress of Dorian.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products
issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 200 PM AST (1800 UTC), the eye of Hurricane Dorian was located
near latitude 24.8 North, longitude 70.3 West
. Dorian is moving
toward the northwest near 10 mph (17 km/h). A slower west-
northwestward to westward motion should begin tonight and continue
into early next week.  On this track, the core of Dorian should move
over the Atlantic well north of the southeastern and central Bahamas
today and tomorrow, be near or over the northwestern Bahamas on
Sunday, and be near the Florida peninsula late Monday.

Data from a reconnaissance plane indicate that with maximum
sustained winds have increased to near 115 mph (185 km/h) with
higher gusts. Dorian is a category 3 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson
Hurricane Wind Scale
. Additional strengthening is forecast, and
Dorian is anticipated to remain an extremely dangerous major
hurricane while it moves near the northwestern Bahamas and
approaches the Florida peninsula into early next week.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 25 miles (35 km) from
the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 105
miles (165 km).

The minimum central pressure recently estimated from an Air Force
reconnaissance plane was 970 mb (28.64 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND:  Hurricane conditions are possible in the northwestern Bahamas
by Sunday, with tropical storm conditions possible by Saturday night
or Sunday morning
.

STORM SURGE:  A life-threatening storm surge will raise water levels
by as much as 10 to 15 feet above normal tide levels in areas of
onshore winds in the northwestern Bahamas
. Near the coast,the surge
will be accompanied by large and destructive waves.

RAINFALL:  Dorian is expected to produce the following rainfall
accumulations this weekend into the middle of next week:

Northwestern Bahamas and coastal sections of the Southeast
United States...6 to 12 inches, isolated 18 inches.
Central Bahamas...1 to 2 inches, isolated 4 inches.

This rainfall may cause life-threatening flash floods.

SURF:  Swells are likely to begin affecting the east-facing shores
of the Bahamas, the Florida east coast, and the southeastern United
States coast during the next few days.  These swells are likely to
cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.  Please
consult products from your local weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST.

175641_5day_cone_no_line_and_wind.png.d6a30662e6b77ba95d8cbbc9b9f2db43.png

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29 minutes ago, NorthGeorgiaWX said:

I may be traveling to Florida... not by choice but because my mom is in the hospital in Sarasota. She in the last stages of Alzheimer's and there just isn't anything anyone can do.

I'll know more this afternoon, but I may be leaving in the morning to go down there.

Might as well see a hurricane face to face.  

 

So sorry to hear that! I will keep you and your family in my prayers! 

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You missed that post from earlier.  😛

1 minute ago, RickyD said:

Ryan Maue said he sees it becoming a cat 5..Then said "There i said it!!

 

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1 minute ago, Christine said:

So sorry to hear that! I will keep you and your family in my prayers! 

Thank you Christine. It's been a long time, about ten years now. Time for some peace to the whole thing.

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Just now, NorthGeorgiaWX said:

You missed that post from earlier.  😛

 

Mans gotta sleep sometime, even in the middle of the day!!  lol

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Just now, RickyD said:

Mans gotta sleep sometime, even in the middle of the day!!  lol

I wouldn't know! 🙂 LOL!  Speaking of that, I snapped this today from Joe. I couldn't help but laugh... I can relate! 

Snap346062478.thumb.jpg.0b14cecd61c3bc98458a9862006bbda8.jpg

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Steve my wife is an RN and works for Hospice.  Also i faced that with my dad.  Many nights i went over to Mom's SR Apartment at 2-3 in the morn because she could not handle him...  I was blessed.  I could sing to him or pray with him or humor him to a point most of the time( with the aide of the power medicine and the Lord) back to sleep...  My family always said I would go to sleep to if it meant not hearing your singing!!  lol

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My dad who is 91, has been taking care of here his whole time. I can't imagine the struggle and can't imagine what it's like to watch your wife, that he has known for all practical purposes, all of his life, slowly fade away. It's sad enough as it is, but to actually live it on a daily basis... I hope I never have to know. As far as I'm concerned... the man is a saint. 
 

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I may have a problem getting there though... I'm hearing of gas stations even in Orlando without gas. For me, it's about 560 miles and 8 hours, so I have to get gas at least once on the way, and that is usually after I get into Florida. I need to do some planning. And take extra gas cans. 

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