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NorthGeorgiaWX

Tuesday, September 10

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Good morning!

Today would have been my mother's 89th birthday, so Happy Birthday mom! We miss you...

A few more days of heat and then some relief will be on the way in the form of rain and some clouds. 

Quote

Long term models in good agreement keeping upper level ridging
centered across northern AL through early Friday. GFS is faster
shifting the upper ridging eastward over the Carolinas and off the
Mid-Atlantic coast overnight Friday into Saturday. This allows
weak surface boundary to sink into north Georgia, with ripples in
the upper level flow moving across a weak weak surface boundary
over south Georgia as well. This will allow for a return to
scattered mainly afternoon and early evening showers and
thunderstorms Friday through the weekend
. ECMWF shows broad
ridging remaining across the forecast area, and while some storms
will be possible most of the activity will remain across southern
portions of the forecast area. Temperatures and heat indices will
remain above normal while remaining below daily all-time records
on Thursday - except in Atlanta where forecast highs will flirt
with record values. Will need to keep an eye on the values as the
we get closer. Models indicating increased cloud cover, and
therefore lower temperatures, albeit still above normal for this
time of year through the weekend.

 

It won't be long and fall will begin to take hold and the extreme heat will be a thing of the past.

There are a few areas of interest in the tropics that bear watching, including one that "could" influence our weather later this week, so I'll be keeping an eye on this system.

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I thought you might be interested in this... it's your first hint at a winter forecast from Weatherbell.

Quote

The Verdict

The conditions in the oceans around the U.S. are ripe for major arctic outbreaks, but the early season, as has been the habit of late, is likely to start warm in the East. The worst-case scenario is a brutally cold old-fashioned winter. Precipitation should be plentiful again in the east given, the natural fight between the cold air to the west and the warm oceans to the east.

The west looks warm, though the Euro would argue that the Pioneer is onto something, sticking more cold into the southern Rockies. Buckle up, there is going to be plenty of cold around with January-March being colder against the normals in the East than December-February. If you start late with the winter, you are liable to end late.

So, with a grain of salt... here we go. 🙂

 

Stay cool and enjoy this day to its fullest! Have a great one!

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I saw today where October temps in the south could remain above normal.  I am just musing about what I mentioned in an earlier post. If we hold on to a dominant high in the south in October do we now see the opposite effect of normal as far as Canes?  Do they come more westerly, instead of the N Easterly hook that happens as they are effected by low press and a front?

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RECORD EVENT REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
340 PM EDT TUE SEP 10 2019

...DAILY RECORD HIGH SEA LEVEL PRESSURE SET AT ST SIMONS ISLAND...

THE SEA LEVEL PRESSURE REACHED 30.25 INCHES OF MERCURY OR 1024.4
MILLIBARS AT 11 AM THIS MORNING AT ST SIMONS ISLAND AIRPORT AND
IS A NEW DAILY RECORD FOR SEPTEMBER 10TH. THE OLD RECORD WAS 1023.0
MB SET ON 09-10-1975. DAILY SEA LEVEL PRESSURE RECORDS DATE BACK TO
1948 AT ST SIMONS ISLAND.

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3 hours ago, RickyD said:

I saw today where October temps in the south could remain above normal.  I am just musing about what I mentioned in an earlier post. If we hold on to a dominant high in the south in October do we now see the opposite effect of normal as far as Canes?  Do they come more westerly, instead of the N Easterly hook that happens as they are effected by low press and a front?

If the Bermuda high were to be in control, the storms would tend to rotate around the periphery of the high. So where ever that ends up being located is where a storm may track. But, once you get to October, you have more cold fronts coming through, so highs generally don't stay in place too long. 

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