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Saturday, September 28

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Good morning to everyone!

To all of you that had strange droplets falling from the sky yesterday, congratulations! That was called rain. 



My rain shields were up so I missed out here. Maybe today. See that little red dot near Dawsonville? That is Big Canoe, and we're heading up there today to look at some houses, can't wait!  I need to get a little closer to "north" Georgia than Gwinnett county. 🙂 

For today...


Pattern in short term period unchanged with strong upper high
centered over central Gulf coast. Will see another round of
scattered convection this afternoon, perhaps greater coverage than
SBCAPE around 2000 J/kg so storms will be strong and one
or two could be briefly severe.

Unfortunately, even with clouds, scattered storms and outflow, will
see record temperatures again as convection fires around peak
heating. Middle GA likely to go near or over 100F in spite of
guidance continuing with cooler temps. Have bumped daytime temps up
around 3-4 degs today and Sunday, based on 3-day forecast biases.

With dewpoints also a little higher than yesterday, heat indices
will be approaching advisory criteria.
Exceeded criteria yesterday
at a few USFS RAWS stations in middle GA. Will need to monitor these
trends closely.


The hotness continues for another 6 days and then some relief in sight.


Cannot seem to shake the dominant H5 ridge across the region for
the majority of the fcst period, allowing for the abnormally hot
and dry conditions to continue. Each day looks to have max temps
flirt with or break previous records at some locations (adjusted
slightly above blend given this regime). Only pops in the period
are in some eastern portions of the CWA for Monday afternoon given
some lingering moisture along the eastern side of the ridge, then
the far NE mtns for Tuesday, and near the end of the period in
portions of the north on Friday with a possible approaching front.
This would be a welcomed change to most if the ridge does dampen
by the end of the week and allow any fropa, though guidance could
change in future runs this far out.


Looking around the country this morning, the most notable thing on the map are the cold temperatures in the NW Rockies where winter is starting early.



Here's a look at Great Falls Montana temps.



And I would say that 15" of snow is pretty certain.



All in good time. We are not forgotten. 🙂

So enjoy this hot fall weekend, because I believe it will be the last hot one of the year.  😉 
Have a great Saturday!



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Not seeking a move to Tennessee? Hope you two find a perfect house!

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40 minutes ago, MNW said:

Not seeking a move to Tennessee? Hope you two find a perfect house!

I don't think so. We considered TN and NC, but I know NC isn't a good tax state, and I don't think TN is one of the best either. Plus north Georgia is closer to all the kids etc. Here's a link to Big Canoe:


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