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Tuesday, November 19

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Good Tuesday morning! 

Again, not much to talk about today.  We are still under the influence of an upper level trough, but that trough will continue to slide east today.



We will have a few more seasonable and sunny fall days and then the chance for rain returns Friday.


By late Thursday into Friday morning, a more potent trough
over the Great Lakes will be the initial impetus to begin to push
the front southeastward. An upper low over the Central Plains
will aid in the formation of a surface low along the front in the
Arklatex region on Friday which will push the cold front eastward
toward the forecast area.

Models have come into much better agreement with the timing of the
front into our area. General consensus is that the front will push
into the state by Saturday morning as the surface low shifts
northeastward across Tennessee. Given this timing, shower chances
will initially begin to increase across the northwest corner of the
state as early as Friday afternoon and evening with widespread
showers gradually spreading southeastward across the area through
the day Saturday in association with the cold front.
With forecast
instability continuing to be negligible, thunderstorms are not
expected. Rainfall totals will be highest across north Georgia with
forecast QPF from Friday into Saturday night over an inch in these
areas. Isolated totals approaching two inches will be possible in
the north Georgia mountains.
Rainfall amounts will lessen to below a
half inch farther south into central Georgia.

Rain will taper off from northwest to southeast from Saturday
afternoon into Saturday night as the front clears the area. Sunday
will bring mostly sunny conditions with cooler temperatures behind
the front. Highs will revert back to 2-6 degrees below normal as
opposed to the above normal temperatures on Thursday and Friday.

Dry weather will persist at least into Monday.


In the Sunday post I mentioned the upper level lows and this winter, and here's another meteorologist talking about it.

For us, that may be great news, but we'll just have to wait and see.


Just be glad you'll have some sunlight here... you could be in Barrow Alaska.


So some rather bland weather for a few days, but it is still fall and that's the weather we get in Georgia.
I hope everyone has a great Tuesday!


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NWS Atlanta is issuing AFD's and forecast for NWS Morristown TN this morning.  And look, those in the higher elevations may see a flake or two. This is for TN mountains.


Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Morristown TN
Issued by National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
1217 PM EST Tue Nov 19 2019



Updated forecast PoPs and Wx grids based on radar trends and
recent hires guidance. Still appears could be some Rain/Snow mix
late tonight and Tuesday morning in elevations above 2500ft or so.
No accumulations or impacts expected. Rest of forecast looks good.


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