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NorthGeorgiaWX

Thursday, February 20

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3 minutes ago, NorthGeorgiaWX said:

You live there? We're going to be neighbors! 🙂

My parents live off Wildcat. They always get snow. You’ll love it up there!

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1 minute ago, NorthGeorgiaWX said:

I do not recall any real lake effect snows from Lanier. I need to find out. 

There are some weird lake effect scenarios out there like even Power Plant cooling lakes causing lake effect but this is one that I will have to see to believe I think. 

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Quote

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
322 PM EST THU FEB 20 2020

GAZ001>004-011-012-019>025-027-030>039-041>060-066>068-070-210600-
DADE-WALKER-CATOOSA-WHITFIELD-CHATTOOGA-GORDON-FLOYD-BARTOW-
CHEROKEE-FORSYTH-HALL-BANKS-JACKSON-MADISON-POLK-PAULDING-COBB-
NORTH FULTON-GWINNETT-BARROW-CLARKE-OCONEE-OGLETHORPE-WILKES-
HARALSON-CARROLL-DOUGLAS-SOUTH FULTON-DEKALB-ROCKDALE-WALTON-
NEWTON-MORGAN-GREENE-TALIAFERRO-HEARD-COWETA-FAYETTE-CLAYTON-
SPALDING-HENRY-BUTTS-JASPER-PUTNAM-TROUP-MERIWETHER-PIKE-LAMAR-
322 PM EST THU FEB 20 2020

...BLACK ICE POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT...

ACROSS THE FAR NORTHERN TIER INCLUDING DADE, WALKER, CATOOSA, AND
WHITFIELD, A TRANSITION TO A MIX OF RAIN AND SNOW REMAINS POSSIBLE
BEFORE THE PRECIPITATION EXITS LATE THIS AFTERNOON. INITIALLY
TEMPERATURES WILL BE TOO WARM FOR ANY ACCUMULATIONS EXCEPT THE
HIGHEST PEAKS WHERE A DUSTING TO UP TO A HALF AN INCH IS POSSIBLE.

COLDER AIR WILL RUSH IN BEHIND THE PRECIPITATION WITH TEMPERATURES
DROPPING BELOW FREEZING SHORTLY AFTER MIDNIGHT FOR THE FAR
NORTHERN SECTIONS AND THE ATLANTA METRO SECTIONS A FEW HOURS
LATER. WINDS WILL AID IN DRYING ROADS BUT ANY RESIDUAL WATER ON
AREA ROADWAYS COULD RESULT IN BLACK ICE. WITH THE ABUNDANT
RAINFALL OVER THE LAST FEW WEEKS, THERE WILL BE A HIGHER THAN
NORMAL CHANCE OF BLACK ICE CONDITIONS ESPECIALLY WHERE WATER FLOWS
THROUGH THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS AND ACROSS ROADWAYS. THIS WILL 
CREATE HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS WHERE IT DOES OCCUR THROUGH 
THE RUSH HOUR FRIDAY MORNING. TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO RISE 
ABOVE FREEZING AFTER 10AM FOR MOST AREAS.

FINALLY, THERE ARE A FEW WEATHER MODEL SOLUTIONS THAT SUGGEST SOME
LIGHT SNOW IS POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT IN THE ATLANTA METRO DUE TO COLD
AIR RUSHING OVER THE WARMER LAKE LANIER. THERE IS LOW CHANCE OF 
THIS OCCURRING AND ANY ACCUMULATIONS IF AT ALL WOULD BE VERY
LIGHT.

 

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2 minutes ago, Preston said:

There are some weird lake effect scenarios out there like even Power Plant cooling lakes causing lake effect but this is one that I will have to see to believe I think. 

I just asked them, they said it occurred a few years ago with minor accumulations. They weren't sure of the exact year.

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"Expecting the back edge to push into NW GA right around sunset and through the ATL metro area by 1 to 3am."

This seems off based in radar. Isn't the back edge already pushing into NW GA? 

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2 minutes ago, KingOfTheMountains said:

"Expecting the back edge to push into NW GA right around sunset and through the ATL metro area by 1 to 3am."

This seems off based in radar. Isn't the back edge already pushing into NW GA? 

That's what i though when looking at radar....

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1 minute ago, KingOfTheMountains said:

"Expecting the back edge to push into NW GA right around sunset and through the ATL metro area by 1 to 3am."

This seems off based in radar. Isn't the back edge already pushing into NW GA? 

Yep. Unless they are factoring in whatever the low can push and wrap around. 

Snap346063917.thumb.png.53d927827214f7eb900ec3d3f12dc201.png

 

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This isn't gonna amount to much here, probably closer to the original forecast from GSP, all the water on the ground is hindering things a bit. 

It's funny how things workout though. Middle of the one of the warmest winters on record, and in a 2 week and 6 day span I've now seen snow 3 times and have hit my annual average. Goes to show, cold winters don't guarantee snow and warm winters don't guarantee you won't get it. 

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2 minutes ago, Dahlonegadawg said:

How much longer are we expecting precipitation to last in Lumpkin?

Maybe another hour or so unless something else forms but it doesn't seem that likely. 

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1 minute ago, Preston said:

Maybe another hour or so unless something else forms but it doesn't seem that likely. 

At least we got to see some flakes fall.. looking long range we have another shot at least pretty soon

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I hate some others were disappointed but I'm glad a lot of folks at least got to see some flakes. We have 3" now in Sky Valley but it looks like things will be winding down soon. 

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Saw the Weather Channel at Neels Gap when we went over. Snow is definitely melting now that the precipitation is tapering off. 

Edited by rwarren5

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Just now, stevepolychronopolous said:

The Canadian is off its rocker with this one...as usual.

You know, at least in terms of 500 mb verification, the Canadian is in 2nd place behind the Euro right now.  As far as snow... I don't know. 🙂 

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Little over a half inch here everywhere where the yard wasn't too wet. From what I've heard, Clayton itself still has no accumulations at all. Not quite what I was hoping for but it was at least nice to see it fall some. 

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1 minute ago, NorthGeorgiaWX said:

You know, at least in terms of 500 mb verification, the Canadian is in 2nd place behind the Euro right now.  As far as snow... I don't know. 🙂 

Also it was all 3 major models along with EPS support for the timeframe. Obviously long range rarely works out but that's still a solid storm signal at 8-10 days out. 

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