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NorthGeorgiaWX

April 12-13 Severe Weather Event

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Just now, NorthGeorgiaWX said:

Hopefully

 

I am still praying, I am getting terrified. I know there is still a 90% chance there won't be a tornado at my home, but I still worry. Any suggestions to calm down?

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NWS *** ALERT ***
Virtual activation of storm spotters should be in effect. Please relay any reports of severe weather to the National Weather Service, amateur radio nets and other official sources while following all local, state and CDC guidelines. #gawx http://bit.ly/1iHjvKV

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2 minutes ago, NorthGeorgiaWX said:

 

 

I noticed the purple doesn't quite reach more northern Georgia, I know we still have high STP, but does the lack of purple show we may not have Tornados as bad as what MS and AL have?

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Once these storms breach the cap, this happens, This is MS/LA

Quote

SUMMARY...Cells developing near Ascension, Livingston, and
Assumption Parishes are expected to become supercellular and
potentially tornadic over time.

DISCUSSION...Radar/satellite imagery indicates continued robust
growth in convection across Ascension, Livingston, and Assumption
Parishes in southeastern Louisiana.  These storms have successfully
breached the cap and are exhibiting cellular storm mode in an
environment characterized by strong low-level shear (40 kt 0-1km),
strong deep shear (60-65 kt 0-6km) and moderate to strong
instability (2000+ MLCAPE) amidst 70-75F dewpoints and near 7 deg C
lapse rates aloft.

Given the environment, the storms are expected to acquire rotation
and eventually pose a risk of all hazards, including strong
tornadoes.

 

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1 minute ago, Asperman1 said:

I noticed the purple doesn't quite reach more northern Georgia, I know we still have high STP, but does the lack of purple show we may not have Tornados as bad as what MS and AL have?

Let's hope not. The storms don't know anything about the lines.

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Just now, NorthGeorgiaWX said:

Let's hope not.

I wish some Easter Miracle would happen and we get no tornados. I know it is unlikely, but a guy can hope, right?

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15 minutes ago, Asperman1 said:

I am still praying, I am getting terrified. I know there is still a 90% chance there won't be a tornado at my home, but I still worry. Any suggestions to calm down?

It's actually even a little better than that. It's a 90% chance of there not being a tornado within 25 miles of your house. 

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1 minute ago, KingOfTheMountains said:

It's actually even a little better than that. It's a 90% chance of there not being a tornado within 25 miles of your house. 

Yeah, you're right, that is a little better

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Okay, To avoid over worrying myself, I am gonna leave for a bit. Don't worry, have good ways to get alerts. Goodbye for now everyone, stay safe.

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While we're watching the 1st real round, round two starts taking shape over Arkansas. The almost the entire state was just put under a Severe thunderstorm Watch

Snap346064721.thumb.png.55bf3155d9bfa86bf2ca102030175f23.png

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Quiet enough in western Lumpkin County at the moment...just rain, and I'm starting to see fog. Temp is 55-ish which seems cool.

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Mesoscale Discussion 0366
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0610 PM CDT Sun Apr 12 2020


Areas affected...Parts of northern Georgia

Concerning...Severe potential...Tornado Watch likely


Valid 122310Z - 130015Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent

SUMMARY...
Damaging wind/tornado risk will expand into parts of
northern Georgia over the next hour.  WW issuance will likely be
needed soon.

DISCUSSION...
Latest radar loop continues to show a long-lived,
well-organized cluster of storms with an embedded mesolow moving
rapidly east-northeastward across northeast Arkansas.  Within this
cluster, several smaller-scale tornadic-type circulations have
transiently occurred.  Though instability is limited with northward
extent over northern Georgia, a small area of ample instability
exists ahead of this cluster -- given the very strong flow field
aloft -- to allow risk for damaging winds and tornado potential to
expand into parts of northern Georgia.  A new tornado watch will
likely be required.
 

mcd0366.gif

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29 minutes ago, NorthGeorgiaWX said:

Once these storms breach the cap, this happens, This is MS/LA

 

For us non weather folks, what is breaching the cap?  Also thanks for all you do! 

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2 minutes ago, Abwatson said:

For us non weather folks, what is breaching the cap?  Also thanks for all you do! 

Sometimes you get a level in the atmosphere that effectively "caps" the upward motion, it prevents the convection from rising further which limits strength. That allows instability to build underneath, and if enough builds, the storms can breach the cap, and often times explosively. Like tonight. 

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Chattooga GA-Gordon GA-Floyd GA-
720 PM EDT Sun Apr 12 2020

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR CHATTOOGA...SOUTHWESTERN GORDON
AND FLOYD COUNTIES UNTIL 800 PM EDT...

At 716 PM EDT...National Weather Service doppler radar indicated a
strong thunderstorm over Keener, Alabama, or 8 miles north of
Gadsden, Alabama...moving northeast at 65 mph.

  HAZARD...increased chance of a tornado.

  IMPACT...An incoming storm from Alabama may lead to the quick
           formation of a tornado. This storm has a history of
           producing tornadoes.

Some locations in the path of this storm include Rome, Summerville,
Trion, Cave Spring, Plainville, Shannon, Lyerly, Menlo, Pinson,
Lindale, Subligna, Tidings, Armuchee, Lake Marvin, Coosa, Cloudland,
Berryton, Chattoogaville, Everett Springs and James H. Floyd State
Park.

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Here we go

ww0112_radar_big.gif.fff78761323a8474962c4fd2be321656.gif

Quote

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 112
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
720 PM EDT Sun Apr 12 2020

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Tornado Watch for portions of 
  North Georgia

* Effective this Sunday evening from 720 PM until 1100 PM EDT.

* Primary threats include...
  A few tornadoes and a couple intense tornadoes possible
  Widespread damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
  Scattered large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible

SUMMARY...
A small but intense cluster of thunderstorms over northern
Alabama will pose a continued risk of damaging wind gusts and
isolated tornadoes this evening as it moves across the watch area.

The tornado watch area is approximately along and 35 statute miles
north and south of a line from 25 miles west southwest of Rome GA to
65 miles east northeast of Rome GA. For a complete depiction of the
watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 106...WW 107...WW
108...WW 109...WW 110...WW 111...

AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean
storm motion vector 24035.

 

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4 minutes ago, NorthGeorgiaWX said:

Here we go

ww0112_radar_big.gif.fff78761323a8474962c4fd2be321656.gif

 

I wonder why there’s no tornado watch for Atlanta/south yet?

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