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Good morning!

Have you been outside yet? I could take these temperatures ALL the time!

In this image you're looking at the 300 mb heights (purple lines) and you'll notice the upper level low that is currently situated over Michigan with a secondary over PA. Notice the much cooler temperatures underneath the lows. 



As we go through the day, that low will continue to drop south and that movement is plainly visible in this infrared satellite view.



Short Term
A weak upper wave and increased moisture ahead of a cutoff low digging southward will bring increased chances for isolated/scattered convective development mainly to portions of north GA this afternoon into evening. Not expecting any severe intensity just general thunder given the weakly sheared environment and marginal instability.

The cutoff low will setup across the area on Monday and while the western portion of the CWA stays on the NW flow aloft side, the deeper moisture axis stays close to the eastern CWA and there should be enough PV or weak impulses to allow for more widespread chance pops across the majority of the area, along with increased surface forcing as a wedge front pushes in from the NE. SBCAPE looks more limited but enough to have chance thunder mention.

Temps will be below climo norms thru period and even lower for Monday as the NE CWA may struggle to get out of the 70's while most other locations are limited to the low 80's.

Long Term
At the start of the long-term forecast period, a cutoff upper low will be situated over the southern Appalachians and Carolina Piedmont. This upper low will remain nearly stationary through the balance of the coming week, making only slight meandering movement for several days. As such, this feature will be a primary influence on the forecast, keeping at least some chance for scattered showers and thunderstorms, especially across the eastern and northeastern portions of the forecast area. Guidance has come into better agreement regarding the pesky cutoff low's eventual departure by Thursday night into Friday as it opens and is lifted northward.

At the surface, surface high pressure will gradually transition across New England and off the Atlantic coastline. Meanwhile, a weak surface low forms off the Carolina coast by Tuesday into Wednesday, which will set up a CAD wedge. This reinforcing northeast flow will keep temperatures well below seasonal normal's both Tuesday and Wednesday. As the upper low departs by Friday into Saturday, PoP's will begin to taper off as well. Temperatures will respond as upper ridging quickly builds in from the west with upper 80's and 90's making a quick return by the coming weekend.


Enjoy the cooler, drier air while you can, because as you can read, it is going to get hot next weekend just in time for the official start of Summer on Saturday at 5:44 PM. Oh yea... 😎

This is generally what the weather will look like for the next 7 days, your forecast will vary a little and I always have the latest NWS forecast on my opening page at DaculaWeather.com.


That's pretty much it. Below normal temperatures with chances for showers will give way later in the week to hot summer weather. 
Hope everyone has a great Sunday! 




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