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Good morning!

Only 6 months until Christmas, better get out and get that shopping done before it's too late! 😛

I don't care what the radar shows, it's raining here at 5:54 AM and it's certainly not showing up on radar. Here in Big Canoe, the Atlanta radar beam at its lowest point is about 6400 feet above the ground, and that is the closest radar to me here in Pickens county (68 miles). Think about that, there's a lot of weather that occurs below 6,000 feet that the radar might not ever see. The Greenville radar is 105 miles from me and the Huntsville radar is 93 miles, so both of those would be even further up. A lot of north Georgia is in a radar "hole", and at one point I believe there were discussions about adding another radar, but money and politics have kept that from happening. 



Take a look at the three closest radars. I turned on the range rings and highlighted the 75 mile range. At 75 miles out, the radar beam is approximately 7,500 feet off the ground. Keep in mind, that height is between 850 mb and 700 mb. A LOT of weather goes on up there. 

Atlanta (FFC)


Greenville (GSP)


Huntsville (HTX)


So just know that certain types of weather will fly under the radar for many of us here in north Georgia, especially the central parts of north Georgia. Here's all the lines combined. Remember, the lines are roughly 7,500 feet



Much like the weather, we can't do anything about it, but you can see why human observations are extremely important in the mountains. I have several pages that summarize METAR (airports generally) weather information, and one page I made is using Big Canoe as the center location. This link shows the closest 20 METAR stations to Big Canoe and this probably cover all of the north Georgia reporting stations.   http://www.daculaweather.com/4_wxmetar_bigcanoe.php 
This image is a sample of one METAR and each page has 20 of these locations.



But WAIT! I have more. I even have two that I created just for our New England trip last summer! 🙂


So... for today...


The MCV that had been crossing the area overnight is continuing to push east taking the majority of the thunderstorms with it, just leaving scattered showers across the forecast area. These showers should diminish in coverage but are expected to continue on and off through the morning hours. With deep moisture still across the area, increasing instability, and weak perturbations moving through the upper level flow, chances for showers and thunderstorms will increase again this afternoon and evening. Some storms may become strong, but widespread severe weather is not expected. Showers should mostly diminish overnight with just lingering slight chance pops through daybreak Friday.

The upper level trough that is across much of the eastern US is expected to shift east on Friday leading to weak ridging across the local forecast area. With ridging in the area, expecting less coverage in precip for Friday, although showers and thunderstorms will be possible in the afternoon and evening when instability is highest.


The best timing of the thunderstorms today is between 2 PM - 10 PM. We'll dry out some on Friday and into Saturday, but as we transition to Sunday we'll begin another very wet period that will continue well into next week. 

If you are interested in when the Saharan dust will reach us here, this is the latest loop. Saturday looks to be the day when we will see the greatest effects. Notice another blob of dust pushing west that appears to stall south of us thanks to a back door front pushing southwest. 



And Tuesday's highs and lows.


Otherwise, not much to talk about. The tropics are quiet right now, but looking ahead toward August we may see trouble. 


That's a long way out, but we are almost to July and that's when the tropical tempo starts picking up. We'll see.

A shot from this morning here at the house.


So that's it, maybe a little less rain today and tomorrow, and then we go back to the soup. Hey... it could be 90+ degrees and brutal sun. Pick your poison carefully. 🙂

Have a great Thursday!






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3 hours ago, Asperman1 said:

Will the Saharan Dust affect the weather here? I am not fully sure what it even is.

Not directly. It will cause the sky to be hazy and you should see some very colorful sunrise/sunsets, but other than that, no. It is dust that has been picked up and blown across the Atlantic. It's very fine silt like dust. It is accompanied by dry air so when it's around it reduces the chance for tropical weather and rain. Other than that, nothing special. And... for some reason this year, it's a big topic, but it is not unusual to see the dust reach the US. 

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