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Good morning! 

Sitting outside on the deck this morning. It's a cool 65 degrees, especially with shorts on! 🙂



Well... yesterday didn't turn out exactly as planned. It didn't start off too bad but ended up with showers, drizzle, and a very cool breeze toward the end of the day.  We will continue to have moisture wrapped into the north Georgia area today from the Gulf and showers will return again this afternoon. In this mornings image, you can see a surface high pressure parked over the east coast of Florida, and that clockwise rotation will keep the gate open to the Gulf. 




Today and Sunday
The southeastern U.S. is still under moist west to southwesterly flow so expecting a few weak waves to move across the area though the short term. These waves along with daytime heating and increased instabilities will keep GA in a classic summertime pattern with diurnally driven showers and thunderstorms. Instability indices are marginal today so expecting mainly general thunderstorms with some isolated severe storms. The best location for these storms will be across North and Western portions of the state today, and across the entire area Sunday. PWs stay in the 1.4 to 1.7 inch range through the short term so any storms that move over an area will drop a decent amount of precip.

Temps look to stay near seasonal norms with highs Today and Sunday mainly in the 80's to mid 90's. Lows tonight will be mainly in the 60's to near 70.

Extended (Monday through the end of the week)
As we transition into next week, models are initially drier than previous runs in response to a developing mid level ridge across the area. In addition, instability is not all that high as relatively warm temps aloft look to curb significant convective development. All this points to low end chance pops for the area for Monday afternoon and temps ranging form the upper 80's to mid 90's.

Ridge will get flattened very quickly though on Tuesday as a shortwave moves into the Tennessee Valley. In addition, moisture will be increasing from the south with PWAT's approaching 2 inches across Central GA. Will go with likely pops for the entire area even though instability may struggle a bit given abundant cloud cover across the area.

Big differences in the evolution of the developing cutoff low over the Tennessee Valley per the latest long term guidance. The GFS keeps the energy bottled up north of the area while the ECMWF sends energy southward into the lower Mississippi Valley. Regardless of the exact unfolding of this event, enough moisture and lift should be present to warrant likely pops through Thu.


Sorry, but I lean on the Euro. Skill scores, especially during the convective season, have heavily favored the Euro over the GFS. 

It's tough to get a good visible satellite image this early in the morning, but we can see that thick clouds that pretty much cover the entire area. Not sure how much luck we'll have in burning those off as the day progresses. 


While the dust is directly over us this morning, we have missed our chances to see a great sunrise and sunset. This is 8 AM today. This moves away after today. nasa-geos-all-conus-dust-3259200.thumb.png.2fff4d860781554e0485b936db0d06ba.png


So your forecast will look very similar to this one. You can find this here: http://www.daculaweather.com/
Just choose your location from the box that says "Select Forecast and that's it. Once you do that, you can actually save the page as a favorite and your forecast will show up every time you open it up. 🙂 


I had a pretty good time lapse from yesterday.


So not the greatest summer day in store for us today, but it sure will be pleasant. I hope you enjoy it!




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Yes finally.. best part is the drop in temperature so I am not missing the AC. 😊

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10 hours ago, Carol said:

Yes finally.. best part is the drop in temperature so I am not missing the AC. 😊

It's been great up here! 🙂 The next time you all go hiking around Amicalola again, let me know and we'll have you up to the house! We're only about 10 miles from the park.

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