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Good morning!

Starting a new month with more of the same weather we had last month. 🙂 
The complex over Alabama is continuing to weaken and may vanish before it gets too far into Georgia. No worries... more is on the way. The MCS over KS/MO/IA/NE will be moving out way, and late this afternoon and evening we may see the impacts for that system.

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Mostly clear skies across the state this morning with a weakening thunderstorm complex over Northern AL. This area of showers and thunderstorms is moving east and may clip some of the NW GA counties before daybreak, but they should diminish to just showers if anything at all. We are still in moist Westerly flow and it will continue through the short term. This, combined with increasing instabilities, we will see another round of diurnally driven showers and thunderstorms this afternoon and evening, and again Thursday. The biggest threats for any strong to severe storms continues to be being gusty winds, lightning, and hail. PW's in the short term will continue in the 1.6 to 2.0 inch range, so any storms that move over an area will drop a decent amount of precip.

 

But there's more!

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Unsettled weather is expected into the Holiday weekend, with the potential to extend well into early next week.

An upper level cut off low will continue across the Florida panhandle for Thursday into the weekend. The low should exit off of the northeast Florida coast by late Saturday/early Sunday and move up the east coast. Models are progging another mid level low pressure system to develop along the Gulf coast/Florida panhandle by early next week.

At the surface, a stationary boundary will remain situated across southern portions of the GA through the weekend. Several little waves of low pressure will move along the boundary, with the strongest expected late in the weekend. Each of these waves, with support from the upper low, will enhance shower/thunderstorm development through much of the long term period. Pops remain in the high end chance/low end likely range during the daytime for most of the period. Not confident that activity will be completely diurnal in nature with such a moist/tropical airmass in place, so will keep pops into the overnight period.

Models are progging another mid level cut off low along the Gulf coast. This low pressure system will continue the unsettled weather pattern into early next week.

 

Here a look at the 6 hour precip from the Euro and this loop goes through next week. In this Euro loop, Saturday looks to be mostly rain free for us.
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This is pretty much typical summer time weather with a chance of showers every day with normal temps. No complaints! 🙂

Hope everyone has a great Wednesday!

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