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Good morning!

Low pressure is moving up the Atlantic coastline this morning and you would think that it would be taking the moisture and rain with it. 

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But no....

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Diurnally driven convection will prevail across the forecast are through the short term period. Surface low will continue to hug the east coast as it moves northeast. Several weak impulses will move through the northwest flow aloft across the area. Afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms will be widespread across the forecast area as deep moisture remains across the area. Models are consistent showing upper level impulses moving across western portions of the forecast area both this afternoon and again on Friday. Have highest POPs across western areas both afternoons/evening with convection diminishing by midnight with the loss of heating. Near normal to slightly below normal temperatures are
expected through the period.

 

 

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Friday Night through Wednesday
Pattern in the long term period expected to remain dominated by eastern CONUS upper troughing and strong/flat upper ridge over the SW CONUS, though there is some indication that the ridge will get squashed down from the north and slide east by late Tues. Moderately strong NW flow for this time of year should be the main story here.

Weak front should push out Fri night and early Saturday as upper trough axis moves slowly east of the state. Nothing definitive but potential for a strong MCS moving in from the NW Saturday night/Sunday morning is increasing. Subsidence and somewhat drier conditions aloft expected Mon/Tues with temps not too warm due to proximity of upper low and trough. Can`t complain there though could easily go back to very warm pattern on Wed. 00Z EC wants to hang up the front from the weekend a little further north than other models, esp GFS, with some hint of tropical low development nearby on Tues/Wed. Not much support from other guidance but did tweak guidance blend PoP's up a little on Wed.

 

The chances for showers looks to taper off by Saturday, and we should see a more normal 20-30% chance of rain each day starting around then. Starting around Friday, it also looks like much of the state will have high temperatures in the 90 degree range except for the mountain areas. Those temperatures continue through next Thursday before the Euro brings in cooler temperatures. These are the high temperatures for each of the next 7 days according to the Euro. 
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Summertime in Georgia. I do not like the 90 degree heat, and luckily, I may not see it up here in Big Canoe, but many of you will have to suffer through it. It will hopefully end quickly and leave us with more comfortable conditions.

This was the first glimpse of the sun this morning!
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Also, I had a great timelapse video of the clouds and rain yesterday. 

I hope everyone can get out and enjoy this Thursday weather!

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