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Good morning!

Not a bad day to get outside yesterday! The Big Canoe Car Club had a little gathering but I think the cloudy skies kept some away. If you'd like to see a few pictures that I took, here's the link to the album. https://photos.app.goo.gl/jik7Yd1zUTdADUzx9

I'm down to 51.6º F at 6:21 am this morning and the temp is still falling, can I get to the 40's? 🙂 I moved to Big Canoe in May but started my new data here on June 1,  so this morning is the coolest I've had since I've been keeping records here. 



Yesterday was the coolest day of the month (6 am - 6 pm) and overnight was the coolest night so far. Yesterday's high of 66.5 was the lowest high since May.



You can see Tropical Storm Beta on the morning map and the moisture from Beta streaming north across our area. That will move away from us for the next 3-4 days before possibly returning toward the end of the week.




Today through Monday
As Tropical Storm Beta moves west in the northern Gulf of Mexico, moisture streaming over portions of south and central Georgia bringing light showers across far southern portions of forecast area. Models in good agreement that energy aloft will get cut off by late morning as the upper level trough across the eastern U.S. shifts further east allowing ridging to begin to build into the area. This will set up a dry weather pattern through the rest of the forecast period with temperatures up to 10 degrees below normal.

Monday Night through Saturday
The beginning of the long term period continues to be quiet, with below normal temperatures and dry conditions into Wednesday as High pressure dominates along the eastern seaboard.

There will be much uncertainty with the forecast after Wednesday due to Tropical Storm Beta and where it will eventually move to or will it`s moisture have an effect on the forecast area. The current NHC forecast has Beta hitting the TX coast late Monday to early Tuesday then taking a turn to the east and moving to the lower MS valley late Thursday as a much weaker post tropical depression. This likely means that Beta's overall impacts will be minimal.

Shower chances increase on Thursday as moisture associated with the remains of Beta move to the area. After Thursday, models are differing with handing an upper level low/trough over the middle to eastern third of the U.S. and associated moisture through the rest of the long term. 20 to 40 percent pops Friday through Saturday are very much the NBM (National Blend of Models) pops.


Good thing we've had a lot of rain, because we aren't going to see a drop until we get toward the end of the week. This is the WPC rainfall forecast through 8 am Thursday and you can see the impacts of TS Beta over TX/LA. 



These are the high/low temperature anomalies through next Saturday.




Both the Euro and GFS ensembles are depicting below to near normal temps into October. These are a 7 day sliding window average anomaly.




Other than that, not much to talk about right now. Try to get out and enjoy the cool fresh air! 
Have a great Sunday!






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