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Good morning!

I don't know about everyone else, but I've had some serious winds all night long. There are two reasons... ridging wedging down the east side of the Appalachian's combined with the lower pressures from TS Beta. Winds are simply the result of pressure gradients, and we have a nice one today. On this SPC mesoanalysis map, you can see the higher pressures nosing down the east side of the mountains, while to the southwest, Beta loiters off the coast. 



The winds around 2500 feet this morning are ripping pretty good, but those will be relaxing as we go through the day.



As far as our outlook goes...


Today through Tuesday
Tropical Storm Beta is currently drifting to the west.. off shore of the Texas coast. The main effect of this for our area is a persistent layer of mostly cirrus clouds. Otherwise... upper ridging from the Great Lakes to the Gulf will continue to give our area dry weather through the period. Cooler temperatures and low dew points will be maintained by low level easterly winds ridging down the eastern seaboard and along the Appalachians. Expect some wind gusts today... but winds should diminish later this afternoon.

Tuesday Night through Sunday
The start of the long term period continues to be dry through Wednesday as we continue to watch how the remains of Sally will effect the forecast area after Wednesday. The current NHC forecast has Beta hitting the TX coast late today and then taking a turn to the east and moving to the lower MS valley late Thursday as a much weaker post tropical depression. This likely means that Beta's overall impacts will be minimal except for increasing shower chances across the area.

Shower chances begin to increase Wednesday night favoring the western CWA and continue to increase on Thursday, then continue into Friday as moisture associated with the remains of Beta move to the area. At this point, while a moist southerly flow continues, the pattern aloft is a battle of an upper level trough to the NW and upper ridge to the SE with the trough eventually winning out come Sunday and as usual with model differences between the GFS and European. There does not appear to be any instability for thunderstorms until Friday and later when sufficient instability for storms moves over the area.

At this time, N GA is most likely to get the best rainfall with 1 to 3 inches possible in the Wednesday night through Friday time frame and less overall for central GA.


The rainfall begins Wednesday night and this image shows the rainfall through 2 am Thursday.



This depicts the rainfall totals through 8 am next Monday. The bulk of this starts Thursday.



The morning map (temps/water vapor/500 mb winds) shows the moisture pressed to our south.



Same image but dewpoints instead of temps.



So not much to talk about for the next few days. Mostly sunny skies with cool temps and dry air will make for some great fall days this week. Speaking of fall, it begins Tuesday!



Hope everyone has a great Monday!




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