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End of January Winter Weather Possibilities


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I’ll take #12 for $500, Bob.

@RickyD

Oh behalf of all us snow lovers that might get left out this time, I found this beauty at 324hours on the GFS... lol I think we all need some eye candy at this point while we hold out to see what happ

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26 minutes ago, firefighter556 said:

So it's a good thing that there might be a low off of Texas ??

We need a low to track to our south along the coast. That is our prime track in winter. I would be happy if we could get more of a disturbance to ride along the front in just the right spot, and we still have that chance with this one. We're getting pretty close and soon the short range models will come into play. 

We are just now in range of the old NAM 12km, but there are some interesting differences between the 06Z run and the 12Z, but in particular, more moisture and a 6 hour difference in speed, slowly the precip down.

OLD - 06Z

nam_ref_nc_29.thumb.png.c20e1b0eab10a779c96139a86e483b4a.png

nam_ptype_slp_east_29.thumb.png.cada18fd4d0698137f08a99292ecc29b.png

 

NEW - 12Z

1747191752_nam_ref_nc_29(1).thumb.png.1b8d33a5ee04de7c01b5f343e86a87bf.png

768893461_nam_ptype_slp_east_29(1).thumb.png.7965a49014b94329a7073c1ecf00781c.png

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6 minutes ago, KingOfTheMountains said:

That was a glorious model run right there.... Here’s to hoping it’s at least close to right. That makes the winter for every single one of us.

Yeah it would be awesome! However, I refuse to get excited because the EURO has been as back and forth as I’ve ever seen it

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35 minutes ago, stevepolychronopolous said:

Euro is going crazy starting around noon on Feb. 2nd (192). Let's see how it finishes up at the 240 mark.

Any amount of winter weather could cause a lot of trouble for the area in that time frame. 

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