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NorthGeorgiaWX

February 16, Saturday

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Good Saturday morning to you!

We will start with today.

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Hope everyone said their goodbyes yesterday, because we won't be
seeing the sun for a while. Wet and gloomy pattern in place for the
next week or more, starting today as surface low feature develops
over the region and tracks over the state into early Saturday. Have
continued likely to categorical pops over far north Georgia late
this evening through Saturday morning, then quickly taper them off
to slight chance Saturday. Instability remains limited with this,
and no thunder has been mentioned at this time. Rainfall amounts of
0.75-1.00 inches are possible north of the Atlanta metro area, with
generally 0.50 inches or less south. This event will act to prime
the area for the additional waves of rainfall expected next week.

 

 

And the next 24 hours

74163082_NCEPWPCPrecipitationundefinedundefined24-16.thumb.png.e7e3fb01373c32526f4558d55f1833b6.png

 

 

And as we move on to Sunday and beyond.

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As a short wave moves east of the area Sunday night...rain will
gradually decrease over north and central GA toward Monday
morning. Pops on Monday are lower than on the previous day and
models indicate that north GA may be dry. Not confident enough at
this time to completely remove pops however. For the remainder of
the week...a series of short waves in the southwesterly flow aloft
will keep us in a wet pattern. The axis of the long fetch of
moisture from TX to the mid Atlantic would seem to favor much of
north GA for the most significant rainfall amounts. For the period
Sunday through Friday...latest QPF still showing total amounts of
five to near seven inches for the area just north of Atlanta to
Gainesville. For Atlanta to Athens we can expect two to around

four inches...with lesser amounts toward central GA. With these
amounts...we can expect some flooding issues mainly across the
north. Although instability seems limited until the end of the
week...have continued with a mention of thunder for several days.

 

 

Here's the latest WPC 7 day rainfall forecast loop every 24 hours through next Saturday. Better move to higher ground.

1766530806_NCEPWPCPrecipitationGeorgiaTotalPrecipitation-16.gif.af5320c47ac5ae7544c55d2f865fca5c.gif

 

 

And to help keep in all in perspective...

Snap346062436-16.thumb.jpg.0842e971881515fe7a1eaab7426b408d.jpgSnap346062435-16.thumb.jpg.819d882b4e65bfe98dac5c203dd6df0c.jpgSnap346062434-16.thumb.jpg.bf21a92ca57b4361860a353f5fd8735e.jpg

 

Your ark should be rushed to completion by the end of the weekend. 🙂 

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.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday...

Confidence is increasing that multiple rounds of rain can be
expected across much of the area through Friday, with 2 to as much
as 8 inches possible over a 5 day period. The highest amounts of
rain at this time are expected across northern Georgia. An increased
threat for river and stream flooding is likely through the week as
rain falls over saturated grounds. Localized flash flooding will
also be possible, especially over the complex terrain of north
Georgia.

Plenty of uncertainty exists with respect to where the axis of
heaviest rain sets up, so stay tuned to the latest forecasts and
updates each day.

 

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Steve it appears we might have a recurving Typhoon in the Pacific around the 25th. Is it possible that may shift the pattern enough to bring us at least some seasonal temperatures? We need to slow the plants and trees down to avert a possible damaging crop killing freeze as we progress into March!

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1 hour ago, Lori said:

Kurt Mellish said we are only getting 1.5 inches of rain. Lol 

I suppose that depends on the definition of "we". Where is the "we" he is talking about?

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3 hours ago, Lori said:

Metro Atlanta 

He'll be right for some in the metro area, the heavier rain has been shifting NW for two days.

image_full1-18.png

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