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Good morning! 

I guess everyone made it through the day yesterday. We had a few nice thunderstorms roll through, but pretty much everything was wind damage, as there were only 3 tornado reports across the country. Here's a look at the SPC Storm Report map, you can find this along with all the details, color coded and sorted by time, right here: 
 http://www.daculaweather.com/4_spc_storm_reports.php

storm_report_14.gif.202c79ed4d35db4e0150eb168abb5ee6.gif

 

It looks like everyone got rain, some people got a LOT of rain. The CoCoRaHS reports will be in later this morning, and I'll show you those, but here is the radar estimated rainfall amounts.

1482849633_stp-15final.thumb.png.f9860f5fdb21701cd79c1c712e888168.png

 

It's going to be a roller coaster of a week for sky cover, temperatures, and precipitation.  There will be another chance for severe weather Thursday/Friday, and along with the rain, up and down temperatures. Here's a sample, your temps will vary a little from these, but the roller coaster is the same. Temps rebound quickly after today, but take a dive again Saturday after the cold front passage. But... being spring in Georgia, they don't stay cool very long, and by Monday, they are back up to 80 degrees for most people. 

KLZU_2019041506_blend_min_max-14.png.31a4180513901ff6f1a3489f191649ac.png

 

Even though we made it through this severe weather episode relatively unscathed, don't let your guard down yet. Here's the Day 4 (Thursday) SPC Severe Weather Outlook (aka SWODY4)

day4prob-15.gif.5b1312405e3c5612c2ab87424de6731e.gif

Quote

   Day 4-8 Convective Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0359 AM CDT Mon Apr 15 2019

   Valid 181200Z - 231200Z

   ...DISCUSSION...
   Medium-range models are in reasonable agreement through roughly Day
   6 (Saturday 4-20), across the U.S., beyond which time divergence in
   model solutions increases.  As such, predictability of the pattern
   appears to become an issue through the latter stages of the period.

   Early in the period, a large upper trough residing over the central
   U.S. at the start of the Day 4 (Thursday 4-18) period will shift
   gradually eastward across the eastern half of the country.  The
   trough is progged to evolve into a closed low Day 5 (Friday 4-19),
   as it shifts east of the Mississippi River across the Ohio and
   Tennessee Valleys and central Gulf Coast states, and then should
   cross the mountains into the eastern states Day 6.

   Ahead of the deepening trough/low, a cold front will move across the
   Mississippi River into the Midwest/Mid South/central Gulf Coast
   states Thursday.  Widespread convection (and associated cloud cover)
   accompanying the system should hinder heating/destabilization in
   many areas.  However, strong flow aloft should compensate somewhat
   -- permitting locally strong/severe storms to occur, along with an
   afternoon peak in severe weather potential.  Friday, as the front
   crosses the Appalachians and then the East Coast states, a similar
   scenario should evolve -- with widespread precipitation hindering
   destabilization in many areas, but shear supporting severe risk with
   any stronger storms.  With the front expected to have moved offshore
   by early Saturday morning, no severe weather areas are forecast.

 

So today will be much cooler and drier than the last 4 or 5 days, but still a very nice spring day. Hope everyone has a great start to the week! Oh... I'll have the pollen count in an hour or so... waiting on them to post it. Did I show you yesterday??? It was down quite a bit from the previous day, today should be even lower. 

pollen-14.jpg.484d4c4018f08cfd1e3b1eb05780f8a5.jpg

 

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Today's pollen count. I think the worst is over. 

pollen-15.jpg.202ab206226cb9e122ce03383c69b9b5.jpg

 

If you look at the peaks (1st column) and averages (2nd column) for April, we are on a downward trend for averages as well as peaks at this point. I think the very high winds yesterday and today (as well as the rain), will carry away most of the tree pollen except for some of the stragglers.  

Snap346062618.thumb.jpg.f7c855d9f4b79d8d09727d720f28a61a.jpg

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We were expecting severe and got lucky with just some rain!

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These are all of the daily pollen counts since 1992 that have exceeded 3000, and they are sorted in order of highest count to lowest count.  While we haven't have many high days this year, we've had two of the top ten readings, and two of only 7 readings over 6000. 

Their method of counting has apparently gotten better and better over the years, so it's hard to go back too far in comparison. 

Snap346062619.thumb.jpg.b5cef1b29c6beeea4e3c4c46df3a3074.jpg

 

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4 minutes ago, MNW said:

We were expecting severe and got lucky with just some rain!

That was me. I had some wind, some GREAT clouds, and about an inch of rain. I would rather see severe systems under perform than over perform! 🙂

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I’m hearing the next system comes through Thursday night. I’m praying it’s not as bad as this one last night, but with this much advance notice I would think so. 

Thank you so much for all you do. You are saving lives.

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31 minutes ago, TinaTrivett said:

I’m hearing the next system comes through Thursday night. I’m praying it’s not as bad as this one last night, but with this much advance notice I would think so. 

Thank you so much for all you do. You are saving lives.

Thank you very much.

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These are yesterday's storm reports as of a little while ago. This are still subject to change. Preliminary data is always subject to change. Compare this image to the image I posted in the original post this morning, and make note of the number of reports.

http://www.daculaweather.com/4_spc_storm_reports.php?mo=04&dt=14&yr=19&submit=Submit

Snap346062620-14.thumb.jpg.79b8ea13d77d4c889684b97513b846e1.jpg

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