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Good Tuesday morning!

It's cold outside this morning! Feels like the winter we never had! 😛 But I hear the birds chirping outside the windows and we have clear skies... so I know it won't stay cold for long! Temps will rocket back up to the mid 70's today. We had about a 20 degree temperature differential yesterday but today it will be almost 35 degrees.  

Early Morning Temps

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Today and tomorrow should be beautiful sunny days with mid to upper 70's, but our concerns begin on Thursday as another strong springtime system moves across the southeast. I am not as concerned about this system as the last one, but we can still have some strong thunderstorms with damaging winds.

Quote

.LONG TERM /Wednesday Night through Monday/...

Main concern in the extended forecast continue to be the timing
and intensity of the next frontal system moving into our area
Thursday/Friday. The high pressure ridge in the short term
finally pushes off the eastern seaboard Wednesday
Afternoon/Evening setting up moist southerly flow ahead of the
next developing system. By Thursday morning the system is expected
to enter the lower and mid Mississippi river valley and will
continue to push east through the end of the work week. The
current timing has showers and thunderstorms from this system
moving into NW GA around midnight Thu night...pushing precip into
the state through daybreak. Instability indices (MLCAPE and deep
shear) should be sufficient for strong/svr convection, however with
near south to north flow aloft, storm mode will most certainly be
QLCS with damaging wind as the main threat. Heavy rain may also
be expected but duration of rainfall not expected to be too long,
less than 12 hours. The best thing we have going for us is it
moves into the area in the early morning hours so this system will
not have daytime heating to help its severe development. The
system will be just about out of our area by 18z Friday. Some of
our east central GA counties may have some issues Friday afternoon
which is why SPC already has most of east GA in a 15 percent risk
area for Friday already. Once this frontal system moves through, a
cooler air mass moves back into the area Sat. High pressure also
builds back in for Sun/Monday keeping things dry for days 6 and 7.

 

Sample Temps  from the National Blend of Models - Lawrenceville GA

KLZU_2019041609_blend_min_max-16.png.d315badf87d2d401b60fccdec9fcfa7d.png

 

The pollen count should be coming in soon, I expect it to be even lower than yesterday's 635 count due to the cold temperatures and the weather we had the day before. I can feel the difference (for the better) this morning compared to yesterday. These are all of the counts (since 1992) 5000 or above, and you can see the year and date that they occurred. 

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From this point on, things get better and better. The odds are we won't see anymore counts above 2000 and the average count steadily drops through the end of the month. 

Max Count    -    Average     -      Date

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WAIT!!! Here's the new pollen count! 432 today. That's lower than the average of 735 on this date. Gotta love it!

pollen-16.jpg.0d47716449f51617b5cd5f5595975cdb.jpg

 

So a few great days, a few stormy days, and then more great days. 🙂 Can't really complain about that! 🙂 

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9 minutes ago, NorthGeorgiaWX said:

Yes

I’m in Franklin county. How concerned should we be? Mainly a wind event?  Is anything expected here in the afternoon? Thanks so much.

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1 hour ago, NorthGeorgiaWX said:

Yes

Would you go as far as to say I should be fine sleeping without worry?

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18 minutes ago, Asperman1 said:

Would you go as far as to say I should be fine sleeping without worry?

Asperman1, we should start a group. North Georgia storm worriers. 😃😂

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1 hour ago, TinaTrivett said:

I’m in Franklin county. How concerned should we be? Mainly a wind event?  Is anything expected here in the afternoon? Thanks so much.

Franklin will have a greater chance for strong thunderstorms than west Georgia due to the timing of the system, at least for now. Current, the main threat are high winds in a thunderstorm. Afternoon is the time for you.

20 minutes ago, Asperman1 said:

Would you go as far as to say I should be fine sleeping without worry?

I always sleep without worry... this will not be a big severe weather outbreak. Right now, just some thunderstorms with a few possible severe ones thrown in for good measure. 

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39 minutes ago, NorthGeorgiaWX said:

Franklin will have a greater chance for strong thunderstorms than west Georgia due to the timing of the system, at least for now. Current, the main threat are high winds in a thunderstorm. Afternoon is the time for you.

I always sleep without worry... this will not be a big severe weather outbreak. Right now, just some thunderstorms with a few possible severe ones thrown in for good measure. 

Okay

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