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NorthGeorgiaWX

April 25, Thursday

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Good Thursday morning!

One more nice day before showers and thunderstorms return later this evening, and those chances continue through tomorrow morning. Here's the latest from the Atlanta NWS: http://www.daculaweather.com/4_afd_all.php | http://wx.northgeorgiawx.com/ffc_afd_rec.html/

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At least for the first part of today, should see heights aloft
increase in response to trough to the west which will keep things
dry and warm for today. Going with highs slightly above guidance
because of this although clouds should keep temps from getting as
high as the last several days.

By early evening, will begin to see line approach the area but
much uncertainty as to how soon this will be. Thinking this may be
like last system where line of SHRA and embedded storms outraces
the main forcing and moves in as early as 21Z (5 pm) to our western
zones. Additional activity will then accompany the main shortwave
energy the first half of the overnight period. Helicity will be
more than sufficient to cause some issues but as of now, just
doesn't look like we will have the instability to support it.
Marginal risk in place for far SW portions of our area later today
and this looks on target given the better chances for heating and
increased CAPE for those areas. Overall, expecting mainly isolated
TSRA activity with isolated strong activity not out of the
question.

Activity quickly shifts east of the area early Friday and is
replaced with clearing skies but breezy to potentially windy
conditions. Given strong winds aloft, will need to monitor
conditions with subsequent forecasts for a possible wind advisory.

The longer term reads like this:

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LONG TERM /Friday Night through Wednesday/...
All in all a rather quiet long term period.

After a dry Saturday, a weak cold front approaches north GA
late Saturday night and moves across Sunday into Sunday night
and then dissipates. Moisture is limited so rain chances are
limited to just 20 percent over portions of north GA with a risk of
thunderstorms mainly on Sunday.

After Sunday, there is just no organized weather to speak of at this
time. Maybe enough moisture in the southerly flow on Wednesday for
a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms over n GA.

Overall, temperatures are expected to warm a little more above normal
as the long term period goes on.

 

This is the forecast for areas around Lawrenceville, yours is basically the same with a little variation in temps. Again, I have a new page with today's highs/lows/anomalies/and 24 hour precipitation forecast for north Georgia here: http://www.daculaweather.com/4_atl_today_climo.php

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The updated Drought Monitor will be out this morning, and I'll take a look and see how we are doing and post it here along with the pollen count. There is not much rain in the forecast for the next 7 days, and those areas down south that have been abnormally dry are probably going to be a little worse this week. 

wpc_total_precip_nc_28-25.thumb.png.60768ab48fdb783c6ee725a58e72bf68.png

 

If you are interested, here are some links for the drought monitor and soil conditions:

So overall... some bland spring weather for a while. Get out and enjoy it if you can!!!

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And as promised... here is the pollen count and Drought Monitor that was released a little while ago. There has been some improvement in the drought conditions over last week, so that's always good.

Change from Last Week - http://www.daculaweather.com/4_drought_state.php

current_GA_chng_PW-25.thumb.jpg.1d4ba8e97250bd25b51f3998ad362110.jpg

Current Drought Monitor for Georgia - http://www.daculaweather.com/4_drought_state.php

current_ga_trd-25.thumb.jpg.f4e92404f9db32e7df1cec2a1324b41d.jpg

 

The pollen count is down from yesterday, and should probably continue to drop as we approach the end of the month.

pollen-25.thumb.jpg.3fd1ad2c1998913ec928b3553d6fe3bd.jpg

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17 minutes ago, Asperman1 said:

Just to be clear, no severe threat associated with the storms?

Did you see the word "severe" anywhere in that original post? 😶 If you don't see the word, then there is no severe threat. 

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2 hours ago, NorthGeorgiaWX said:

Did you see the word "severe" anywhere in that original post? 😶 If you don't see the word, then there is no severe threat. 

True, true

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Some very light showers over the north Georgia area right now, but a larger area of more concentrated rain is moving east  through central Alabama right now.

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20190425_1636_kbmx_BR_0.5.thumb.png.7acaac5f910072a2a934c004b27c085a.png

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Steve has worked so hard to insure we all are informed and briefed about weather and all it entails.  He has provided all of us many sources available to help us be prepared for whatever event. 

It is sad some refuse to be educated and served by the hard work that is going in to this forum and the info provided.  There is no need for one not to know IF!THEY SO  DESIRE.

If you are hear to ply the internet games some do in this age and time , may I suggest the door or an attitude adjustment. Too much care is spent for us to be informed and safe by Steve to waste it.

This is my opinion and should it be considered out of line please delete it Sir.

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