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Woohoo!! It's Friiiiiidaaaaaaay!¬†ūüôā

You may wake up to find a few showers around this morning, especially over the NW corner of the state, and those chances will increase as the day goes on.

20190503_0818_khtx_BR_0.5.thumb.png.8f89340690a8c2518a115466f324ced4.png

 

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Forecast area "sandwiched" between systems that will enhance the
chances for convection on the edges of the area today. 
Weak wave off the Florida east coast meanders northward spreading 
isolated to scattered convection into the southeast. Weak mid-level 
energy in the southwest flow brings increased chances for convection 
to the northwest. Instability not all that impressive today with 
weak mid-level wind field and moderate lift at best. Should keep risk for
stronger/marginally severe thunderstorms to a minimum. Shallow upper
trough axis and moderate short wave shifts into the vicinity
Saturday. Dynamics not especially strong, but certainly better than
today. Moderate instability and slightly better mid-level wind field
will up severe thunderstorm risk a bit. Main threat would be
damaging winds, with at least a marginal risk for hail.

Models are in pretty good agreement with the storm system early in
the long term and they are coming into agreement on the end of the
long term system. The short wave will be taking a little longer to
exit on Sunday and this will keep chance pops going through most
of the day Sunday. However by Sunday evening drier air will be
spreading over the CWA giving us a couple of dry days before the
next system brings another chance of showers and thunderstorms.

 

So right now, it doesn't look like a bright sunny weekend, but at least it will be warm. Here are the low temp anomalies this morning

ndfd_t2min_anom_atl_1-03.thumb.png.7e8e9b1c33e37108691633fefc9d69e3.png

 

With highs in the mid to low 80's, these are the high temp anomalies for today

ndfd_t2max_anom_atl_1-03.thumb.png.616640505afb54b452b047de67bb5837.png

And last but not least, your 7 day rainfall forecast from the WPC (http://www.daculaweather.com/4_wb_wpc_7day.php)

wpc_total_precip_nc_28-02.thumb.png.fabd9da7efa1f842182168935faccd77.png

 

 

So nothing too exciting going on, just the regular spring time weather. Enjoy the day!

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The WPC Short Range Forecast Discussion (http://www.daculaweather.com/4_hpc_short_range_disco.php)

Quote

Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
355 AM EDT Fri May 03 2019

Valid 12Z Fri May 03 2019 - 12Z Sun May 05 2019

...Severe thunderstorms and heavy rainfall with the threat of
flash flooding are expected for parts of the central/eastern
U.S....

A front stretched across the Ohio and Tennessee Valleys
southwestward into the Lower Mississippi Valley and Southern
Plains is expected to slowly make its way eastward across the
eastern U.S. through the end of the week. Moisture from the Gulf
of Mexico streaming in will help cause widespread rain and
thunderstorms along and ahead of the front. Severe weather and
heavy rain causing flash flooding are both possible. On Friday,
the most likely area for severe weather will be in southern Texas,
where a Slight Risk of severe weather is outlooked. A Slight Risk
of excessive rainfall/flash flooding is also in place on Friday
for much of Texas and into Louisiana and Arkansas. However,
isolated strong thunderstorms and heavy rainfall with the
possibility of causing flooding are possible into the Ohio Valley
and Mid-Atlantic region as well. On Saturday, heavier rainfall
totals are expected across the Ohio Valley, and a Slight Risk of
flash flooding is in effect there. The severe weather threat is
forecast farther south across the Southeast and Southern
Appalachians.

The front will divide warmer than average temperatures to the east
of it and cooler than average temperatures to the west, with the
Southeast and Tennessee Valley 5 to 10 degrees above average and
the Mid-Atlantic region 10 to 15 degrees above average for high
temperatures on Friday. A backdoor front settled across the
northern Mid-Atlantic on Friday will keep the Northeast cooler
than average, however. Behind the main front, temperatures are
forecast to be 5 to 15 degrees cooler than average in the
Southern/Central Plains and into the Middle Mississippi Valley. As
the front pushes a bit eastward on Saturday, the Ohio Valley could
see high temperatures 5 to 10 degrees below average.

Farther west, scattered thunderstorms are forecast to develop on
Saturday in the Southern and Central High Plains, which could be
severe--there is a Slight Risk of severe weather in place there. A
cold front coming into the Northern Plains late Friday will
progress into the Upper Midwest on Saturday, causing showers along
it. Temperatures are expected to cool below average in the
Northern Rockies/Plains with this front, which could lead to light
snow in those areas on Saturday. The rest of the West will warm
and have above average temperatures for the most part by Saturday,
and generally remain dry ahead of a low approaching California by
Sunday morning.

 

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Good morning NW Georgia! You may be waking up to a few rumbles of thunder. Don't let the kids stand at the bus stop with lightning around.

20190503_0957_khtx_BR_0.5.thumb.png.61e71bf6cf9ed88e73b63c371da124ca.png

 

Lightning

lightning-03-1.thumb.jpg.359c11eaa94b19c032e972f016c3ce7c.jpg

 

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Good morning. I see we’re in the slight risk for tomorrow. Any chance for tornadoes? Or just thunderstorms? Thanks so much.

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3 minutes ago, TinaTrivett said:

Good morning. I see we’re in the slight risk for tomorrow. Any chance for tornadoes? Or just thunderstorms? Thanks so much.

No tornadoes. Mainly just thunderstorms, a few could have some higher winds and one or two could have some small hail. Mainly just our normal summertime thunderstorms. 

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You know about the synchronous fireflies  in the Smokies and (I guess) you know that they have a lottery every year to see who gets to go watch, and only 1800 people get to go.

Quote

This year, 28,956 people applied for the lottery, said Jamie Sanders, another Smokies spokesperson. Only 1,800 tickets will be issued.

 

https://www.citizen-times.com/story/news/2019/05/02/great-smokies-synchronous-firefly-viewing-lottery-hit-record-high/3650805002/

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3 hours ago, NorthGeorgiaWX said:

No tornadoes. Mainly just thunderstorms, a few could have some higher winds and one or two could have some small hail. Mainly just our normal summertime thunderstorms. 

I know different people have different definitions of small, some may say 1 inch hail is small, some may say 1 cm is small, so, what is your meaning of small?

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1 hour ago, Asperman1 said:

I know different people have different definitions of small, some may say 1 inch hail is small, some may say 1 cm is small, so, what is your meaning of small?

The general definition is probably hail under 1 inch. 1 inch or greater is severe thunderstorm criteria, anything below that doesn't even warrant a warning. Same can be said with winds and the 60 mph criteria. 

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Teeny. Tiny. A novelty. 

1 hour ago, Asperman1 said:

I know different people have different definitions of small, some may say 1 inch hail is small, some may say 1 cm is small, so, what is your meaning of small?

 

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1 hour ago, Asperman1 said:

Steve, would you say Tornado risk is 0 for us tomorrow 

LOL! What if I said it was 1? Or 3? What would you do different than zero? 

They did not mention tornadoes as a threat. 

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1 hour ago, NorthGeorgiaWX said:

LOL! What if I said it was 1? Or 3? What would you do different than zero? 

They did not mention tornadoes as a threat. 

Your like an older version of me, that is almost EXACTLY what I would have said if I was in your position, lol

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