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Showing content with the highest reputation since 06/03/2020 in Posts

  1. 6 points
    Good morning! No one cares about the weather in the summer, at least not really. It's either sunny and hot or humid and rainy, but nothing really worth talking about. I get it. There really isn't much to write about either. πŸ™‚ So since very few are reading, I won't spend a lot of time writing. πŸ˜› So for most of us, this will be the last day for rain although there may be a few showers around during the early morning hours tomorrow. After that we start to dry out. The NE corner of the state/east/and south will still have a few lingering rain showers tomorrow, but most of the mountains and NW corner of the state will be dry. Here's a look at dewpoints and precipitable water values coming up. So that's it, short and simple today. I hope everyone has a great Wednesday!
  2. 4 points
    Good Tuesday morning! Today SPC Day 1 Discussion Wednesday You can see the above normal precipitable water values in this loop. Although it won't amount to anything except to make more rain, the Euro ensemble is showing a ~30-45% chance of a tropical depression forming to our south on Saturday. A rainy period coming up... My sunrise this morning... At the moment, the 4th doesn't look too bad, but you can bet that can and will change before we get there. πŸ™‚ Hope everyone has a great Tuesday!
  3. 3 points
    Good morning! Starting a new month with more of the same weather we had last month. πŸ™‚ The complex over Alabama is continuing to weaken and may vanish before it gets too far into Georgia. No worries... more is on the way. The MCS over KS/MO/IA/NE will be moving out way, and late this afternoon and evening we may see the impacts for that system. But there's more! Here a look at the 6 hour precip from the Euro and this loop goes through next week. In this Euro loop, Saturday looks to be mostly rain free for us. This is pretty much typical summer time weather with a chance of showers every day with normal temps. No complaints! πŸ™‚ Hope everyone has a great Wednesday!
  4. 3 points
    Time lapse of the rain yesterday. Ok... the whole day that "includes" rain. πŸ™‚
  5. 3 points
    Good morning! The weekend has arrived and with it comes much warmer weather and eventually chances for rain. High pressure will help to keep us relatively shower free today and tomorrow, although a few stray showers can't be ruled out. As the high pressure shifts off to the east, we will end up in the return flow and that is when the moisture begins to return. Just summer weather. How much can you really talk about when the weather is just normal? πŸ™‚ I have two webcams working right now, both are just temporary. I have cables running all over my deck and my wife is not happy. 😐 The images on both pages refresh automatically. Scroll down on the page to see the large image. http://www.daculaweather.com/4_camera1_static.php http://www.daculaweather.com/4_camera2_static.php Also, I'm uploading daily time lapse videos in case you're interested, and I have a YouTube playlist just for those. I hope everyone has a great start to the weekend! Enjoy the weather! 😊 🌞
  6. 3 points
    Good morning! Did you get any hail yesterday? I had some here at the house, but not like what they had in Walton County. The center of the upper level low is just about in this location. These are dewpoints and water vapor image, and of course the arrows show the wind flow for the upper level trough and in this case we're looking at about 30,000 feet. Temperatures look like this: Generally more of the same for today. The upper levels of the atmosphere are very cold, so storms don't have to build very high to tap in to the air that's below freezing. Starting at the lower levels and working out way up, these are the temperatures in centigrade. I've added the approximate altitudes so you can get a better idea where we start to freeze. 925 MB - ~ 2500 feet (61 F) 850 MB - ~ 4,800 feet (50 F) 700 MB - ~ 9,800 feet - Freezing or close 500 MB - ~ 18,300 feet (8.6 F) 300 MB - ~ 30,000 feet (Yes... -40 C is -40 F) The latest sounding report shows the freezing level just above 10, 000 feet, so any storms that can manage go that high or higher will most likely have hail in them. The low will slowly begin to pull off to the NE and once it does our temperatures will warm back up again. It sure has been a nice reprieve considering it's the middle of June. πŸ™‚ I'm thinking we are going to see another chance at cooler temps in our near future. πŸ™‚ We can only hope! That's it for now, I hope everyone enjoys the great temperatures!
  7. 3 points
    Good morning! Just a FYI... I am in the process of deleting old content off the discussion site so I can reduce the amount of storage I'm taking up. That site is hosted by Invision, the folks that designed the software I use, and my limit has almost been reached (it's only 12 GB). If I need more I have to go up in plans to one that will double my expenses, going from $70/month to $130/month. Since I don't generate any revenue from doing this, I have to try to stick to the plan I have. Maybe at some point I'll ask for donations to help cover the expenses, but I don't like having to do that, so I'll do what I'm doing right now and keep deleting. I am going to keep it short today since it will be a glorious day for pretty much everyone across north Georgia. We have to go back to the old house to finish cleaning stuff out (I have to rent a cargo van this morning in Lawrenceville). They will also be there at 9 AM to take pictures so we can get it on the market this weekend. I can't wait until we quit driving back and forth, it's about a 3 hour drive round trip, so it's really starting to get old. Cooler and much drier air is moving into north Georgia as I type, and today will feel much different than yesterday. Precipitable water values are dropping behind the front and this is what it will look like around 8 AM this morning. Seriously though... nothing to talk about today! WE are going to have awesome weather for the next 4-5 days at least. Get out and enjoy!
  8. 3 points
    Good morning! I think by now everyone has had a little rain over the last 24 hours and more will be on the way later today. Here are the radar estimated rainfall amounts since yesterday. The current radar shows some moderate rain passing across the mountains. And here are the thoughts about today and Saturday. Here's a look at the next 24 hours of rainfall, and as you can see, the higher amounts are more across the metro area than in the mountains. Some people have been asking about Cristobal and if he is even going to survive and the answer is yes and yes. Cristobal has been going in circles, caught in the Central American Gyre (CAG) and each time he rotates over land he weakens. Cristobal was never going to be a big storm as far as intensity goes, but still can bring a lot of rain to those areas in its path. Here's an infrared look this morning. Cristobal will bring some rain for us and maybe some breezy conditions, but nothing to be concerned about. The bulk of precipitation will occur early next week for our area and here are the precipitable water loops from the GFS and Euro depicting the moisture in the atmosphere. It won't be wet all day, and tomorrow should be pretty nice, so it's not a wash by any means. Now that I have internet throughout my house, I was able to sit out on the deck this morning and write this while drinking my coffee. πŸ™‚ Not a bad job. Have a great Friday!
  9. 2 points
    The clouds and fog are great over the mountains today. Strong NW winds are pushing the clouds down the south facing slopes and drying them out. The winds are smoothing the clouds and fog out. It is certainly better in person. πŸ™‚ BTW, my camera (S7 Samsung) makes things appear much further away than they are. I did a little experiment the other day and found that I had to zoom to 6.3x to make things look the same size on the phone as what I see. This picture is 1.2x. So those mountains out there are closer than they appear even though this is zoomed some. A Sony A6400 with a good telephoto lens is next. πŸ™‚
  10. 2 points
    Good morning! It looks like we're going to dry out a little bit today, but those rain chances go back up toward the 50% or greater chances tomorrow and stay that way through next Sunday. Today, we have a weak ridge in place that has shifted the winds and pushed the showers and thunderstorms to our east. The ridge is weak and flat and will continue to move east. By tomorrow we will be back in a southwesterly flow which means increased moisture and rain chances. So looking ahead... In other words, it's going to feel tropical. It looks like the wettest days will by Tuesday through Thursday, and "right now" the Euro is drying things out a little for the 4th of July weekend. I know everyone wants to know the weather for then, so I'll try to get that narrowed down a little bit today. Yes, we've had a bit or rain lately. Here is the last 7 days, it does not included yesterday. But if you look at the 60 day anomalies, we're running pretty close to normal in most places, maybe a little wetter on the east side. And this is the last 90 days. The last 90 have been just a little bit wetter. As far as temperatures go... here is April, May, and June (so far). These are anomalies. These last two images are for June and show the anomalies for highs and lows. Notice our high anomalies have been cooler than the low anomalies. That is generally due to the higher moisture content. Clouds and rain during the daytime helps to keep those temps down, while clouds and moisture at night act to keep things warmer. If you can, get out and enjoy today, it will probably be the best day of the week to get outside. The week won't be a washout, but you can expect to see numerous showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon and evenings. Have a wonderful Monday! πŸ™‚
  11. 2 points
    Good morning! It's 4:30 AM and I just had a nice little shower pass overhead, and I'm sure that a few of you in the mountains heard/saw the same thing. All of the showers are moving east in the west to east flow this morning. For Today and Monday Precipitable water values continue to be very high, thanks to the water pump off that's hanging out over the east coast of Florida. Notice what happens toward the end of the period... yes, another cut-off upper level low wants to vacation in the south again. We must have gotten good reviews from the first one we had. 😜 Monday Night through Saturday Here's a look at temperature anomalies and 500 mb anomalies for July 4th. Rainfall will vary depending on the exact position of the upper level low and who gets thunderstorms and who doesn't, so the models are in general agreement but specifics we won't know for a few more days. These are 7 day rainfall totals, pick your poison. This is an infrared view for this morning with dewpoints and 850 mb wind barbs. The high pressure continues to pump lots of Gulf moisture our way. ir-28.mp4 Today and tomorrow will be the driest days out of the next 7, but even those won't be dry. With all the moisture around, all it takes is a little heating and some impulses riding through the flow to trigger showers, so they can be expected most any time of the day or night. Do the best you can to enjoy this Sunday's weather!
  12. 2 points
    Good morning! Did you get a chance to dry out yesterday? If so, your drying should continue through today. With the upper level trough pushing east, our flow will transition to the NW and by Monday, we'll have ample moisture in place to once again generate more showers and thunderstorms. AS you can see int he water vapor image this morning, most of north Georgia has a little drier atmosphere than we've had lately. The same mechanisim that is bring the Saharan dust is also pumping in moisture. This is a look at our precipitable water values through Monday at 8 PM, and notice the reddish blobs of moisture moving in the flow. Those red areas are 2"+ PW values. It seems that we've had more "backdoor" events this spring and summer than we normally have. If you can face west tonight, the sunset should be really good depending on cloud cover. The dust has arrived and will linger pretty heavily through tomorrow. You may notice the skies being hazy and dull looking... that is your African dust that was carried many thousands of miles by our atmosphere. This is the location at 8 am as depicted by the NASA GOES Dust model. And tonight at 9 PM Visibility should be pretty good for most people this evening except for possibly the mountains. This is 9 PM So grab some nice sunrise/sunset pictures and share them here! My sunrise this morning as a little dark... πŸ˜‰ Other than that, not much to talk about, just more typical summertime weather. I hope everyone has a wonderful start to the weekend!
  13. 2 points
    Good morning! Did you get a little bit of rain yesterday? Want some more? πŸ™‚ Morning Map Isobars - 300 mb (~30,000 feet) Winds - Surface Satellite - Water Vapor Conditions - Temperatures Looking at the morning map, the next shortwave is plainly evident over TX/OK this morning and rotating with the upper level flow. These shortwaves travel in the direction of the upper level flow (blue arrow) which means they move in the same general direction as the isobars you see in the image. In addition, we have a fairly strong flow of moisture from the Gulf (red arrows) pumping moisture into our area. Combine those two features and you get a pretty soupy atmosphere that is conducive for very good chances for showers and thunderstorms today. After all the rain that fell yesterday, we going to have some fog around this morning. This shows the visibility in miles at 8 am today, but specific locations may vary depending on the rain that fell and the actual temperature. Blairsville holds the honor of low temp and most rain for Sunday (record reports lag by one day), tomorrow we'll see how we did yesterday. I had some great views of the storms that rolled through yesterday and here's a snapshot of one of them. And the time lapse shows two separate rounds. This link will start the video right before the first round of rain comes in. I'll have some additional videos later this morning. Probably not the best of days to work outdoors, but if you have no choice, be especially careful with the lightning. I grabbed this image from yesterday, and I live where the red circle is. All of the yellow dots (with the yellow circles) were lightning strikes, all within a 10 minute period. It appears that a lot of my neighbors were pretty close to strikes. All of these were negative lighting strikes meaning cloud to ground. So enjoy the day the best that you can!
  14. 2 points
    Good morning! Did you get a good pounding of rain yesterday? πŸ™‚ It's not over! This afternoon will bring much of the same weather that we had yesterday back to our area again today. This infrared view shows the other shortwave approaching from the west and additional moisture building in from the south. NWS Atlanta As mentioned, the SPC has us in a Marginal Risk area for thunderstorms. This is the hour by hour simulated radar for today through 8 am Tuesday from the NAM 3 km model, it gives a general idea as far as how it thinks the storms will develop. By the afternoon hours today, the precipitable water values will look like this. And those are about 1.5 standard deviations above normal for this time of the year. Because of the clouds and rain, we will have slightly cooler temperatures, especially on Tuesday and Wednesday. But with the added moisture, it is still going to feel sticky and warm. Here are the highs for today through Wednesday. Monday Tuesday Wednesday So more of the same. I got a nice time lapse of the rain yesterday, as well as a couple of pictures of my vertical rainbow. I hope you have a great day! Stay dry! πŸ™‚
  15. 2 points
    Good morning! If you had rain yesterday, it was quite a downpour! More of the same today with hail and high winds the biggest threat. You can see the center of the upper level low, and that low will continue to drop south through the day. SPC Outlooks for today I had a really good view of a shelf cloud when the storms came through here yesterday, and the time lapse video turned out pretty good with all the cloud motions. I had to stick the camera under the table for a few minutes during one of the storms, I thought it was going to blow off the deck railing. πŸ™‚ And the time lapse So let's see what forms today, the clouds will start to build around 10-11 am and by the afternoon we should see a few nice thunderstorms around. At least it will be nice and cool! Have a great Monday!
  16. 2 points
    Good morning! Well... how about the cool weather? πŸ™‚ Last night was great, we left a few windows open and listened to the wind and enjoyed the cool breezes coming through the window. With relatively dry air in place, expect mild days and cool nights for the next several days. There will be a chance for showers on Sunday but the temperatures will remain cool through the middle of next week, thanks to an upper level low that will drop south from the Great Lakes region and hang out over the south. I'll take it! I'm still working on getting my content cleaned up so I don't go over my disk space allocation here, so until I get that done I will be posting less images and certainly less videos for a little while. And since it's summer, there isn't a lot to post anyway, so it works out. I hope everyone has a great Friday and an awesome start to the weekend, it's going to be a great one!
  17. 2 points
    Good morning! We are beginning to see the influences of Cristobal in the way of moisture and clouds. Precipitable water values are on the rise for us in the northern half of the state this morning but nothing like what they have down south. First, here's a zoomed out view of Cristobal in this water vapor image. Zooming in a little more, you can see how far the moisture shield has pushed. These are temperatures. The concentration of greater moisture shows it pooled south of a boundary across central GA. As the day progresses, that moisture will start to push further north and our precipitable water values will be rising. This is a day day view of that and notice toward the end that all the moisture is driven away by a cold front. Our best chances for rain will be Monday through Wednesday. Here are the "normal" values of PW for Atlanta on this date. You can see that about 1.2-1.3" would be normal on this date. And as you can see... we are about normal. Further south is another story. Here is this mornings information about TS Cristobal So for today: And looking ahead for this upcoming week. I thought I'd share yesterday's sunrise pictures that I captured. Today was just about as good. πŸ™‚ https://photos.app.goo.gl/gfKCZGUL5Dd8NtzJ9 Here are a couple. I hope everyone has a wonderful Sunday! Stay cool!
  18. 2 points
    Good morning! The mostly sunny days will give way to clouds and rain beginning today, and those chances will continue through the middle of next week. As you can see from this water vapor image, the moisture has returned to most of the southeast, and that moisture combined with daytime heating means afternoon showers and thunderstorms. We're still focused on Cristobal and how it may effect our weather in the coming days. Right now he is still wandering around the Yucatan Peninsula (apparently lost and in need of directions) but is expected to make a left turn and head out into the Gulf of Mexico. The general thoughts haven't changed and Cristobal is expected to make landfall in Louisiana as a tropical storm on Monday. Exactly what that means for us will depend on the track of Cristobal. We will be on the wetter side of the storm, but the models vary in the exact details. Here's a look at the Euro and GFS precipitable water guidance, and while they agree in principle, the details differ. I now have everything working again, the automated messages and flowing and I've turned on the tropical messages. My weather station data is online and the webpage is updating correctly now. I think I have all of my data reset but I'll check in a day or two in case I need to clean up some more. All I need now is to get the webcams installed and I'll be in business. Hope everyone has a great Thursday!
  19. 1 point
    Good morning! More summer like weather today and tomorrow as we sit in an area of relatively tranquil weather. The upper low sitting off the east coast, will slowly retrograde and start to build back to the southeast while high pressure builds to our north, and that will bring back higher rain chances starting Monday. Between now and then, we'll have a pretty decent 4th of July weekend in store. As we head into the start of the work week, things begin to get a little wetter for the area. The Weather Prediction Center believes that we'll have this much rainfall between now and next Friday morning. Here's a look at the Euro 500 mb anomalies and you can see that the southeast avoids all of those nasty high pressure areas. In the summer, you don't want one of those parked on top of you if you don't like excessive heat. So here is the official forecast for today and tomorrow. And that's it, short and sweet! No sense in rambling on about nothing! πŸ™‚ I hope you have a great start to the 4th of July weekend!
  20. 1 point
    Good morning to everyone! Man... who turned on the wind? It is really breezy here this morning. In the morning view (300 mb water vapor) you can see a large upper level low (or actually a pair of them) over the NW US and one exiting the east coast. I'll let the NWS do most of the talking this morning. Now if you're bored, I can really spice things up for you by posting this from the Weather Prediction Center. πŸ˜› Nothing like a good weather discussion over the morning coffee to get that blood flowing. 😜 Sounds like something Sheldon would say on "Big Bang Theory" My NWS forecast for the next 7 days, yours is probably similar but you can check it here at DaculaWeather.com Nothing to talk about, so I'll leave this sunrise picture and go. πŸ™‚ Have a great Thursday!
  21. 1 point
    That is AWESOME Nic! Congratulations! Sorry to see you go but thrilled to see you pursuing a meteorology degree!
  22. 1 point
    Also, just excited to share with this community of weather geeks, I'll be going to Penn State this fall to get an undergraduate Certificate in weather forecasting! Can't wait to understand weather on a much deeper level!
  23. 1 point
  24. 1 point
    Had some brief showers in Dawson County this morning about 4:15 or so, and about an hour ago, there was some serious thunder but no rain with it.
  25. 1 point
    Here are the last 60 and 90 day temperature anomalies.
  26. 1 point
    Good morning! Sitting outside on the deck this morning. It's a cool 65 degrees, especially with shorts on! πŸ™‚ Well... yesterday didn't turn out exactly as planned. It didn't start off too bad but ended up with showers, drizzle, and a very cool breeze toward the end of the day. We will continue to have moisture wrapped into the north Georgia area today from the Gulf and showers will return again this afternoon. In this mornings image, you can see a surface high pressure parked over the east coast of Florida, and that clockwise rotation will keep the gate open to the Gulf. Sorry, but I lean on the Euro. Skill scores, especially during the convective season, have heavily favored the Euro over the GFS. It's tough to get a good visible satellite image this early in the morning, but we can see that thick clouds that pretty much cover the entire area. Not sure how much luck we'll have in burning those off as the day progresses. While the dust is directly over us this morning, we have missed our chances to see a great sunrise and sunset. This is 8 AM today. This moves away after today. So your forecast will look very similar to this one. You can find this here: http://www.daculaweather.com/ Just choose your location from the box that says "Select Forecast and that's it. Once you do that, you can actually save the page as a favorite and your forecast will show up every time you open it up. πŸ™‚ I had a pretty good time lapse from yesterday. So not the greatest summer day in store for us today, but it sure will be pleasant. I hope you enjoy it!
  27. 1 point
    Good morning! Only 6 months until Christmas, better get out and get that shopping done before it's too late! πŸ˜› I don't care what the radar shows, it's raining here at 5:54 AM and it's certainly not showing up on radar. Here in Big Canoe, the Atlanta radar beam at its lowest point is about 6400 feet above the ground, and that is the closest radar to me here in Pickens county (68 miles). Think about that, there's a lot of weather that occurs below 6,000 feet that the radar might not ever see. The Greenville radar is 105 miles from me and the Huntsville radar is 93 miles, so both of those would be even further up. A lot of north Georgia is in a radar "hole", and at one point I believe there were discussions about adding another radar, but money and politics have kept that from happening. Take a look at the three closest radars. I turned on the range rings and highlighted the 75 mile range. At 75 miles out, the radar beam is approximately 7,500 feet off the ground. Keep in mind, that height is between 850 mb and 700 mb. A LOT of weather goes on up there. Atlanta (FFC) Greenville (GSP) Huntsville (HTX) So just know that certain types of weather will fly under the radar for many of us here in north Georgia, especially the central parts of north Georgia. Here's all the lines combined. Remember, the lines are roughly 7,500 feet Much like the weather, we can't do anything about it, but you can see why human observations are extremely important in the mountains. I have several pages that summarize METAR (airports generally) weather information, and one page I made is using Big Canoe as the center location. This link shows the closest 20 METAR stations to Big Canoe and this probably cover all of the north Georgia reporting stations. http://www.daculaweather.com/4_wxmetar_bigcanoe.php This image is a sample of one METAR and each page has 20 of these locations. But WAIT! I have more. I even have two that I created just for our New England trip last summer! πŸ™‚ North Georgia - http://www.daculaweather.com/4_wxmetar.php Southern Appalachians - http://www.daculaweather.com/4_wxmetar_s_appalachian.php Southern New England - http://www.daculaweather.com/4_wxmetar-s-new_england.php Maine - http://www.daculaweather.com/4_wxmetar-maine.php So... for today... The best timing of the thunderstorms today is between 2 PM - 10 PM. We'll dry out some on Friday and into Saturday, but as we transition to Sunday we'll begin another very wet period that will continue well into next week. If you are interested in when the Saharan dust will reach us here, this is the latest loop. Saturday looks to be the day when we will see the greatest effects. Notice another blob of dust pushing west that appears to stall south of us thanks to a back door front pushing southwest. And Tuesday's highs and lows. Otherwise, not much to talk about. The tropics are quiet right now, but looking ahead toward August we may see trouble. That's a long way out, but we are almost to July and that's when the tropical tempo starts picking up. We'll see. A shot from this morning here at the house. So that's it, maybe a little less rain today and tomorrow, and then we go back to the soup. Hey... it could be 90+ degrees and brutal sun. Pick your poison carefully. πŸ™‚ Have a great Thursday!
  28. 1 point
    Will the Saharan Dust affect the weather here? I am not fully sure what it even is.
  29. 1 point
    The clouds and the sheets of rain in the background were so neat!
  30. 1 point
    Good morning! Not quite as cool this morning as yesterday as we've warmed up about 5 degrees. My high yesterday was only 69.7 F which is well below normal for this time of the year. The upper level low is now pulling away slowly so that means an increase in temperatures beginning today. Temperatures today will rebound nicely from yesterday... And then goes haywire by Monday. Summer "officially" starts on Saturday around 5:44 PM. Today solar "noon", the point at which the sun is the highest in the sky, occurs at approximately 1:39 PM, and the day is 14 hours and 27 minutes long. Friday through Tuesday will be the longest days of the year, all within a few seconds depending on exactly where you live. The earliest sunrise was June 12th (roughly for our area) and the latest sunset will be June 28/29. In case you were wondering... πŸ˜‰ And these are the forecast temperatures for 5 PM Saturday. Again... in case you were wondering. πŸ™‚ We have a chance for showers beginning today, and as time goes on those chances will be on the increase. I had to share this lightning image... looks just like a tree. πŸ™‚ That's it for now, I hope everyone has an enjoyable Thursday!
  31. 1 point
    Odd question. Did you send out an email yesterday ? Didn’t sound like you and just wondered in case you had been hacked.
  32. 1 point
    Strong storm here in Buford. Strongest winds were in the heart of the storm. Marble size hail. Temp went from 83 to 59
  33. 1 point
  34. 1 point
    Helps keep the giant gnats away too! πŸ™‚
  35. 1 point
    Even here in S Georgia the cut off low is having a huge effect. In fact I thought about starting a new thread just on the low. It is mid June and in the next couple of days it will be partly cloudy and N winds 10-15 with highs in the 70's. You just don't find that often THIS FAR SOUTH in mid june. I did notice also that near Charleston S Carolina yesterday they had 6* inches in a 24 hour period. So this thing packs a powerful punch. The hail reports in NE GA were impressive too
  36. 1 point
    Loving this cool morning!
  37. 1 point
    Good morning! Cristobal is starting to pull away at an increasing pace but will still be dragging moisture across our area today and tomorrow. Notice the areas with the higher surface winds. One area east of the center and the other along the lee side of the Rockies where it is REALLY windy this morning. This morning we're stuck in somewhat of a dry slot so no rain around. The dry slot I'm talking about refers to the upper air moisture, since we still have plenty at the surface. You can see from this precipitable water image how we are drier than the areas to our east and west. Of course drier is a relative term, as we are still running above our normal 1.30" for this time of the year. But those reading will increase before they drop back down and today through Thursday morning will be soupy with a chance for showers. Here a loop of the precipitable water values and notice how we dry out considerably beginning Thursday. The simulated radar shows the widely scattered nature of the rain. If you are a radar watcher, just know that the Atlanta radar is down for maintenance, so you'll have to pick a neighboring radar site to fill in the data. Otherwise, just another summer like day in Georgia! Beginning Thursday it is certainly going to feel better as the atmosphere dries out. Can't wait! Have a great Tuesday!
  38. 1 point
    Good morning! Well... Cristobal made land fall last night and is heading to Arkansas this morning as he takes a tour of the central US, and you can see the evidence of the moisture that Cristobal is pulling into our area in this water vapor image. So far no rain, but expect to see some later this afternoon once we get the heating of the day. Again, I'll use a precipitable water loop to illustrate the moisture content in the atmosphere. Notice how we dry out considerably toward the middle to the end of the period. Here are the house today I can't see squat. πŸ™‚ So much for a view. πŸ™‚ Yesterday the sunrise was spectacular though. I have a couple of webcams temporarily working even though they are technically "indoor" cameras. One I have sitting out on the deck railing and that is the camera that provided the two images above. If you'd like to see an image from this camera, just click on this link and save it as a Favorite/Bookmark. Right now I'm uploading an image to my website once a minute, so what you see should never be more than a minute old. It may have different views depending on the weather etc, but I'll try to keep it running until I can get the main webcams installed. I hope everyone has a great start to the work week. Once we get past late Wednesday/Thursday morning, it's going to be beautiful! Something to look forward to! πŸ™‚
  39. 1 point
    So pretty bet you can’t quit smiling .
  40. 1 point
    Good morning! Yesterday was a preview of summer, so I hope you enjoyed it. πŸ™‚ Today will be similar but our rain chances begin to go up this afternoon, and by tomorrow the rain will return. None of this is from Tropical Storm Cristobal... yet. πŸ™‚ As you can see in the water vapor image from around 5:30 AM, the moisture is on the increase for our area and once the rain arrives, it is going to hang around for 6-7 days. Oh joy! Tropical Storm Cristobal All eyes are on Tropical Storm Cristobal as it meanders around the Bay of Campeche for the next couple of days. It apparently likes that area and decided to extend its stay, much to the chagrin of the folks that live there. But it will start moving, and once it does, the central Gulf looks like a nice place for it to travel to. The Euro storms tracks, notice fewer red lines today, which means more likely a tropical storm and less likely a hurricane. And this tropical storm force wind probability image shows a pretty good chance of this scenario happening. Moisture will be driven north and where it goes is anyone's guess right now. Here are precipitable water loops from the GFS and Euro. At this point, the main threat for us will be heavy rain, and that depends on the exact track that Cristobal takes. Here is a look at the 10 day rainfall totals from the GFS, Euro, and Canadian models. You can see that those areas just to the east of the eventual track show the most rainfall, so exactly where Cristobal goes determines that. And since we don't have a crystal ball for Cristobal we'll have to wait and see. πŸ™‚ NWS Atlanta doesn't have a lot to say about it at the moment. I should have the rest of my computers working today, and the automated messages should start flowing again. I still need to remount the weather station in its permanent location and get the anemometer mounted on the roof, but it is transmitting live data now. So enjoy the sun while you can, the clouds and rain are going to wipe that away for a while. Have a great Wednesday!
  41. 1 point
    We need some rain for the gardens up here!
  42. 1 point
    Attached are daily rolling averages of cases and deaths from the GA Dept of Health. The rolling average is going down. And the peak was around April 6th. The peak death average was on April 15th.
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