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Showing content with the highest reputation since 07/17/2019 in Posts

  1. 2 points
    Good morning! Looks like most everyone finally got some rain last night. Radar Estimated Rainfall In that image, notice the cold front draped across north Georgia. That front should continue to sag to the south toward middle Georgia today, and that's where the next round of rain will be focused. The SPC has that area outlined for a Marginal Risk today. Here's a look at how the storms progressed last night. Times are approximate 10:00 pm 10:30 pm 11:00 pm 11:30 pm 12:00 am 12:30 am For north Georgia, the rain is over for the most part. Speaking of temperatures... I hit 96 here yesterday, so yes indeed, it was HOT. So again... just a typical summertime pattern. We still have a little more summer left before we start to feel the fall air... patience! πŸ™‚ Have a great Wednesday... πŸ™‚
  2. 2 points
    Good morning and welcome to a new work week! Are you tired of the heat yet? It's not going away anytime soon, so settle back on the porch and sip some sweet tea. πŸ™‚ Temperatures moderate toward the end of the week but will still be running above normal. For today and tomorrow... Really, not much at all to talk about right now. The tropics are quiet right now with high pressure dominating the main development region (MDR) in the Atlantic. There is a wave coming off the coast of Africa but all of the current convection is being suppressed to the south for now. http://www.daculaweather.com/4_sal_strength.php So stay cool and be patient. Hopefully it won't be long before this heat starts to fade. Have a great day!
  3. 2 points
    A true fall would be awesome.. start cooling down by September and sweater weather by October..!!
  4. 1 point
    Good morning! Or good night.... πŸ˜‰ It's 2:47 am, do you know where you're grumpy weather guy is? Yes, I went back to bed so I wasn't up all night. πŸ™‚ Let me see what we can talk about.... how about the weather! First, the temps across the southeast at 7 am Lather, rinse, repeat... it goes on and on for at least the next 7 days. Are you not use to it yet? 😜 SWODY1 SWODY2 Forecast Precipitable Water Values 8 am This is the precipitable water climatology from the Atlanta NWS office balloon launches. The value of 1.80' was the 8pm reading from the 00Z weather balloon. If you look toward the bottom, you can see some other numbers that further help to relate the PW values to normal. The yellow line is roughly 2 standard deviations above normal, so you can see that we are close. It's this moisture that is making it feel so hot, take it away and ... well, it might be hotter. πŸ™‚ The moisture helps to keep daytime highs down and nighttime lows up. Without the moisture, the temps would undoubtedly be cooler at night and hotter during the day, yet they "might" not feel so hot because you don't have the moisture, ie dry heat. Think desert. Precipitable Water Climatology Could the weather get much more boring than this? Absolutely zilch going on in the tropical Atlantic and apparently not going to be for a while, as high pressure dominates the MDR region. One good thing this year is that the Bermuda High has stayed offshore this summer, and because of that we haven't really had that hot/dry weather that we can frequently get when it decides to come further west and sit over the southeast. I've been reading a few pre-winter thoughts, and everyone is gun shy this year after last years forecast fiasco. One thing I can almost bet on though is that it will most likely be colder than last year 😎 I feel pretty safe in saying that even this far in advance. But there is no way to truly know what's going to happen until we get to October/early November time frame. As for fall... it too is a crapshoot. The Euro seasonal and the CFS seasonal are in direct odds with each other with the Euro warm and CFS cool. Someone get me a coin. So enjoy the hot temperatures with the very high dew points and stay cool! Relief is on the way!
  5. 1 point
    About time for the tropics to kick in!
  6. 1 point
    28 days of 90+ in July and 7 days so far in August in Athens! Data from Athens Ben Epps Airport! It is amazing how much Hotter Athens is than Atlanta/Dacula area! If you look back at weather records all the way back to late 1800’s it has always been that way especially with maximum temperatures!
  7. 1 point
    They are always low confidence forecast. It may or may not hold up before arriving here. If they see it getting closer while holding together, they'll start bringing it up. I was just getting ready to post this radar image of the storms associated with the MCS over NE/KS, and that's the one I'll be watching today.
  8. 1 point
    Prism we saw yesterday afternoon/ evening in the East coming from Vidalia to Metter . It never went away or varied. Earlier in the afternoon we saw a double rainbow.
  9. 1 point
    Got an unexpected big rain yesterday and it was welcomed!
  10. 1 point
    Good Sunday morning! Some of us are waking up to a few showers around. Reminds me of a song... of course. πŸ™‚ Everything reminds me of a song. I can't get it out of my head. Wait... that's a song too... πŸ™„ Here's a look at the showers on radar Today As we move on through the week the chances for rain don't really go away, but the direction they will be coming from will change. As the trough shifts east, our weather will start coming out of the NW. Northwest flow events tend to bring us MCS's during the summer. MCS stands for Mesoscale Convective System. If you been reading these post for the last few days, I've shared several images of MCS's that are rotating around and through the NW flow and those can and do persist throughout the overnight hours. Here's one from the other day that survived intact just about to the Gulf coast. In this image you can see the high pressure area over the Four Corners region and the flow of moisture around it. That moisture is being drawn up from the Pacific and the Gulf of California and is all part of the summer monsoon season in those desert ares.This monsoonal setup is one of the last phases of summertime weather. As the week goes on, the high pressure to the west begins to shift a little east as the Bermuda high relaxes a little. That pushes the main axis of moisture further east and places us in a northwest flow. You can see that shift east in the GEFS. All that this really means is that these late summer signals tell us that fall isn't too far behind, and I know I can't wait! πŸ™‚ I really hope it's a cool one. Oh.. that's right, I'm suppose to let you know how this fall is shaping up. πŸ™‚ I'll have that for you later today. Try to stay dry and have a great Sunday! πŸ™‚
  11. 1 point
    I believe Athens Ben Epps Airport got 3.73 inches! That gives new meaning to the phrase raining like a cow peeing on a flat rock! Lol!
  12. 1 point
    1.43 inches of rainfall as of 1:00 pm.
  13. 1 point
    Yes Sir finally! A lot of lightning also! Did you get a good rainfall? Hopefully!
  14. 1 point
    Happy Friday! Well... that was some really heavy rain for a big chunk of the population yesterday. Atlanta was pounded by 3-4" of rain, and areas around Jackson, Banks, Franklin, and Madison Counties had that much if not more. And guess what? Yep... more of the same today! BUT WAIT! Those rain chances increase all the way into Sunday! I knew you'd be excited. πŸ˜‰ So it looks like the middle of next week before it dries out much. Be thankful for the rain, because if we weren't between two areas of high pressure, we could be under one of them and that would likely mean hot and dry. I'm going to have to call nonsense on the WPC 120 hour precip forecast. This goes through next Wednesday, and based on persistence and the actual rain amounts that have already fallen, I think this is way under done. We will come back and look next week and compare. We still have a wave out in the middle of the Atlantic that is slowly making its way west, and the NHC is giving it a 50% chance of development over the next 5 days. The wave is moving under the dry dusty air for the moment. It's not likely that this will get strong anytime soon as a suppressed Kelvin Wave destructively interferes with its development for now. This is almost a day old but the orange colored lines (unfavorable area) are now over the wave. So little change for at least 5 days, expect a better coverage of rain over the weekend (sorry!) but for the most part, the rain will still be afternoon and evening thunderstorms. If you plan on being outside, make sure you have a way of being alerted to any severe weather and most importantly, "When the Thunder Roars, Go Indoors". I can't say that enough. If you can hear the thunder, you are close enough to be hit by the lightning. I don't want you to be a statistic. I hope everyone has a great Friday!
  15. 1 point
    As usual missed out on the rain at my location 5 miles Southeast of Athens Ben Epps Airport! Lol! 2.68 inches of rain since June 24th! 2.35 of that on July 19th.!
  16. 1 point
    WOW! thank you! my time was all off. super cool. thanks again. you were my go to guy for snow for the longest now i check your blog everyday. keep it up!
  17. 1 point
    That was 10:21 pm, sorry. I went back and looked on my time lapse video and saw all the lightning then. My bad. Working on my coffee.
  18. 1 point
    I was in buford last night and i woke up to what sounded like hail on the window. is there a site out there where i can see previous radar cause that thing sounded nasty.
  19. 1 point
    Good morning! Today should be the start of the pattern shift. The trough they refer to is not very deep and that leaves us in a weakness between the two ridges. My VERY rough coloring that looks like it was done by a 4 year old shows the setup. As we move out further in time, nothing really changes much, with pretty decent chances for rain through the weekend. Temperatures are generally mild across the entire country this morning. Notice the 30's and 40's over North Dakota and Minnesota... a taste of fall is in the air up there, while over the New England coast, temps are very muggy today. It's not a bad forecast, just not a completely dry one. πŸ™‚ Enjoy your Tuesday!
  20. 1 point
    Good morning! A juicy week in store as there will be plenty of moisture around to create a decent chance for showers and thunderstorms every day. Short Term Long Term I shared this image yesterday showing increased moisture chances for south Georgia from the 5th-13th where I mentioned the potential tropical influence. As the moisture moves in, so do the clouds and rain, and that will help to moderate temperatures somewhat, but it will still be muggy. I'll be keeping an eye on the tropics as there may be some activity over the next couple of weeks. Right now, there is an area in the Caribbean that may try to form a weak depression but that is expected to move west and not impact the US. There is another wave that will be moving off the African coast, and that has a chance to develop as it starts it's trek across the Atlantic. I hope everyone has a great Monday!
  21. 1 point
    Teachers in Rabun County go back Thursday August 1st and get students Wednesday August 7th.
  22. 1 point
    Metter Ga this morning it is nice less oppressive air. 74 *
  23. 1 point
    Good Tuesday morning! We have a few showers passing though this morning, but nothing to write home about. Since the front is pushing though in the morning hours, there isn't much energy left to work with, so the showers are more scattered and weak than if it came through during the afternoon hours. So a beautiful work week, and for many teachers, the last week of the summer before returning to school. For those people... I feel your pain. Would you like to show your kids something cool to start the school year? Show them this. I hope everyone have a wonderful day! Live it like there's no tomorrow!
  24. 1 point
    Hey Steve, had a question, where about are the storms at this time?
  25. 1 point
    Good morning!! We're finally back home! We've been gone for about 4 weeks this summer and have driven around 6000 miles total. πŸ™‚ There is some rain in the forecast for today and tomorrow, and a few people in the NW corner of the state are in a WPC "Slight Risk" area for excessive rainfall. Here's the thoughts about today from the Atlanta NWS office Starting tomorrow, temperatures will feel more like spring than summer. GFS Temperatures Tuesday 2 pm GFS Temperature Anomalies Tuesday 2 pm So after Tuesday, the rest of the week will be drier and cooler and generally a very pleasant week for the middle of summer. I hope everyone has a great start to the week!
  26. 1 point
    We're flying out of ATL super early tomorrow morning ... thoughts on the storms' impact in the 5 - 7am hours? Headed to NH and provided we can find a decent day (rainy and 44 right now at the summit), we are hiking Mt Washington... Thank you!
  27. 1 point
    To reach this far south in Ga in late July is extremely rare. In N Ga it happens some but usually hangs up about Atlanta and then comes back North as a warm front 2-3 days later. To reach the coast and produce dry air in N Ga is something to note
  28. 1 point
    The GFS and Euro are showing a fairly strong frontal passage for this time of year. These are the GFS temp anomalies, the Euro is similar.
  29. 1 point
    What’s this I hear about a cold front in late late July? Do tell!!!
  30. 1 point
    Finally after 25 days with no rain a Huge rainfall yesterday at my location Southeast of Athens! 2.35 inches in 90 minutes! Gives new meaning to phrase raining like a cow peeing on a flat rock! Lol!!!
  31. 1 point
    Good morning! I hear that some people got a good dose of rain? FFC has already cleared the radar estimates, but those slow movers can really dump a lot of rain with the kind of precipitable water values we have. Here's the latest from the Atlanta NWS. Strong to severe storms are possible today. As the week goes on, expect cooler than normal temperatures which I know are always a welcome relief in the summer. Still... this is the middle of summer so not very much to talk about at the moment. The environment is not conducive for tropical weather right now, so nothing of interest there. So since I've got nothing.... I thought I'd just show you my crab. πŸ™‚ Hope everyone has a great Friday!
  32. 1 point
    Cooler temps on the way for a short visit but I’ll take it! Safe travels.
  33. 1 point
    Congratulations! I hope everything works out for you there. Keep us updated on the weather and I'll help keep you updated from here! We have a few people even further away than you... @MNW is one that comes to mind! πŸ™‚
  34. 1 point
    We have made our transition. We now live in Metter Ga. So officially now we are in South Georgia
  35. 1 point
    Got any pre-winter thoughts?
  36. 1 point
    Good afternoon! Looks like some of you got rain! Things are going to be hot and muggy through Sunday, but beginning Monday it looks like it will be cooling down some. Here's the forecast for my location, yours will vary a little and of course cooler in the mountains and where the rain is falling. Last night we had what I think has to be the most beautiful sunset I've ever seen. Here are a few pictures that don't do it justice. After the sunset, we then had the most spectacular lightning show from our bed. I did not mess with the color at all in these images. It just kept getting better and better as it settled into the horizon. So have a great Friday and a great weekend!
  37. 1 point
    Good afternoon! With weather like you are having (and we are having here in Sarasota) doesn't require much discussion. πŸ™‚ I just saw a new Atlanta webcam today, it's an Earthcam live view of downtown Atlanta... take a look. https://www.earthcam.com/usa/georgia/atlanta/?cam=atlanta Thunderstorms already firing up early this afternoon. I hate to keep saying it, but it's just more summertime weather. It will be hot but the temperature will be trending down over the next 7 days, so in the absence of a shower at your house, it may get cooler for you anyway. This morning we got up early and went down to the beach to capture the moon setting over the Gulf of Mexico. Enjoy! Have a great day!
  38. 1 point
    As the crow flies we missed by less than a mile! Not sure I wanted much of that storm as I drove through it! I am guessing borderline severe from what I witnessed!
  39. 1 point
    Not a drop of measurable rainfall at my location 5 miles Southeast of Athens Ben Epps Airport since 0.30 on June 24th. Getting Crispy in a hurry!!!
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