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Showing content with the highest reputation since 10/22/2019 in Posts

  1. Good morning! I'm guessing everyone made it through yesterday's weather ok? I hope you're not tired of the rain just yet, because you're going to have at least another week of it. Yes, at least 7 days of rain every day. Here's the additional rainfall that some of you may see. As soon as I get yesterday's rainfall, I'll share it with you. There are still people in Georgia without power this morning, and this what it looked like around 6:30 AM I think everyone is more interested in the next several weeks and what that might bring. My first comment is thi
    9 points
  2. I got it. Tried to stop myself from even looking but couldn't resist lol *DEFINITELY NOT A FORECAST* I'm not even exaggerating when I say that was maybe the most beautiful storm I've ever seen modeled. Just absolute perfection. Shame it's so far out in time. But still positive signs at just how much potential exists going forward. This is exactly what I was talking about with hoping that maybe our 2nd cold shot can setup the trough in a better position.
    8 points
  3. Good Monday morning! Did everyone get some high winds last night? Fun huh? πŸ™‚ The sun will return today and it will be visible through New Years day (darker at night...). After that, the rain returns. Here's what the big picture looks like this morning. The front has cleared the north Georgia area and is pressing southeast at the moment, you can see the cooler and drier air to our west and northwest As of today, I officially declare a Winter Weather Watch for January 6-9 time period. πŸ™‚ Yes, I have that power. πŸ˜› The models have been consistently pointing to the possi
    8 points
  4. Good Monday morning! Let's get right to it! Can you say active period? Close calls? The Euro operational is the most bullish at the moment but the GFS ensemble is right there with it. And that's just this week. πŸ™‚ The weekend is a totally different system that we'll need to watch. If you read the morning Extended Forecast Discussion from the WPC, you'll notice how the models have widely varying solutions right now, so before we start looking too closely, we need to wait a day or three and see how things evolve. As long as we can keep the rain
    8 points
  5. Good morning! Today will be a transition day as the sun goes back behind the clouds and the rain returns. The bigger picture this morning shows the rain off to our west while moisture at the higher levels starts streaming in. There is a chance that some may see a little rain today, but generally the rain will hold off until the early morning hours on Monday. The first image is rainfall through 7 PM Monday and the second image goes through 7 AM Thursday. Snow. The other four letter word. πŸ™‚ The models are still showing some potential for so
    7 points
  6. Good Saturday morning! A cool morning in store for all but the moisture is lifting away and after the clouds clear, we should have a pretty nice weekend in store. Looking at the week ahead, it appears we'll have three distinct chances for precipitation, and at least a couple of those will bring a chance for some light wintry mix, especially over the mountain areas. Here's what Steven Nelson at the Atlanta NWS office has to say about it. Honestly, I'd show you some images but I'm just not seeing anything to show you right now. And I'll also be honest in th
    7 points
  7. 7 points
  8. Winter is coming! Winter is coming! Winter is coming! πŸŽβ„οΈ
    7 points
  9. Good morning! No one cares about the weather in the summer, at least not really. It's either sunny and hot or humid and rainy, but nothing really worth talking about. I get it. There really isn't much to write about either. πŸ™‚ So since very few are reading, I won't spend a lot of time writing. πŸ˜› So for most of us, this will be the last day for rain although there may be a few showers around during the early morning hours tomorrow. After that we start to dry out. The NE corner of the state/east/and south will still have a few lingering rain showers tomorrow, but most of
    6 points
  10. That could be a comic book, the Adventures of Super Wedge and his arch enemies, Warmy and Coldy, the Front Brothers
    6 points
  11. At this point, I'm not seeing a big severe threat for north Georgia tomorrow.
    6 points
  12. Good morning! When the weather gets like this, I feel like I'm talking to myself here. Once winter is over, no one really cares too much about the weather until it messes with their outdoor plans. I get it. I suppose it's nice that we can go on about our lives without worrying too much about weather. We don't have much severe weather here, so that is one less thing to worry about, we are pretty far from the coast, so tropical systems are generally not much of a threat, we don't get blizzards or heavy snow that cripples that state (I know, all it takes to cripple us is one inch). Yes, we c
    6 points
  13. I've got a lot of miles on me. The earth travels 584,000,000 miles in a year in its trek around the sun. I've been 37,960,000,000 miles. No need for anyone to do any calculations... 😜 I go around the sun fast. πŸ™‚
    6 points
  14. Good morning! Most people are waking up to foggy conditions this morning, and the fog may hand on for a while, so if you have to be out and about, drive carefully and turn on your lights. Here's a water vapor look along with the 500 mb heights. You can't get much more of a zonal flow than that. If you wonder where the cold is, it's all bottled up over the Arctic. Well see mostly cloudy skies today, there could be some sun in places after the fog lifts, but a few showers are not out of the question. The next real wave of rain returns tomorrow.
    6 points
  15. I did find my favorite ensemble member
    6 points
  16. Good morning!!! How about that snow? πŸ™‚ As dumb as this sounds, I feel like the pressure is gone now. We had a pretty long stretch going and I know everyone was getting frustrated. I'll have the final Georgia now totals a little later, but here's a look at the current CoCoRaHS measurements. Most of north Georgia had more snow than the Smokies. πŸ™‚ Most of the snow will be gone today and then we prepare for our next weather system arriving Monday. Pay attention to the weather next week. Here's the Weather Prediction Center's Excessive Rainfall Discussion
    6 points
  17. For those that haven't seen the dream snow, here it is. I feel guilty posting it. ABSOLUTELY NOT A FORECAST πŸ™‚
    6 points
  18. No, winter is not over. Just snow weenies jumping off the cliff. 😜🀣
    6 points
  19. Good morning to everyone! Let's get right to the severe weather outlook for today. Here's a current look at the line of thunderstorms. At 5:31 am there was (1) tornado warning, (11) severe thunderstorm warnings, and (16) flash flood warnings. The ind arrows the point at about 11 o'clock are surface winds, the ones that point around 1 o'clock are 500 mb winds. It's that twist or rotation of the winds with increasing heights that helps kick off tornadoes. The good new is that the "Enhanced Risk" area has been pulled back west and is no longer in Georgia.
    6 points
  20. Good Friday morning! You may be seeing a few light showers this morning as a wave of moisture comes riding through in advance of a very weak cold front. Rain will be very light, so nothing to really mess up the day. Sunday will be cool as a weak wedge will be in place, so an increasing chance for showers will help to keep the temperatures down. Beginning Monday we'll start to see increasing chances for rain. Ahhh... not the big ❄️ we're looking for. πŸ™‚ I guess you saw my post about the 1886 snow I posted this morning on FB? If not, here it is agai
    6 points
  21. Good morning to all! A few more nice days in store for us, so there isn't too much to talk about this morning. Here at the house, I ended November about 0.7ΒΊ F below my nine year average and as of this morning, 0.2ΒΊ F above for December. Since the December temperatures trend downward, 0.2 above the ENTIRE December average is pretty cold. Here are the normal highs and lows for today The middle of the month is starting to get very interesting, and the models are spitting out a lot of different solutions. This mornings 06z GFS brings a deep cutoff low down alon
    6 points
  22. Good morning! Well... three more days of nice weather before we start on a downhill slide into Tropical Depression 26. In this morning's big map (water vapor/temps) you can see #26 way down in the lower right of the image near the "D". It won't be a "d" for long as it's expected to become a tropical storm later today. Morning temperatures are relatively cool across all of the US. I will have all the updates on #26 at this link. The next three days will be nice here so enjoy them while you can before the rain returns. Remember the other day when I said that n
    5 points
  23. Good morning! What a great day yesterday! Today won't be quite up to those standards with some rain moving in, but at least the temperatures will run back up to the mid 70's even with the rain. There is a pretty good line of thunderstorms over AK/LA/MS this morning but the most active part of the line is pushing south and not east. radar-29.mp4 Storm Prediction Center NWS Atlanta WPC rainfall totals through 8 AM Thursday My time is getting a little limited right now as we are getting ready to move in
    5 points
  24. If I could hug a wedge...!!
    5 points
  25. Good morning! Thought I'd get an early start since I was awake straining my eyes to see a snowflake. I "think" I saw one (1). Our attention turns to next week and the potential for heavy rain and possibly severe weather. First, the thoughts from the Atlanta NWS office: Here's a southeast view and a zoomed in north Georgia view of the WPC rainfall forecast. Soils are saturated as you know first hand, and this chart shows just how saturated. Saturated soils mean that all of this rain that's coming has nothing to soak in to, so the vast
    5 points
  26. Good morning! As you have probably noticed, the rain has returned this morning. I know... you're most favorite thing right now. πŸ˜› WPC rainfall through tuesday 7 PM But winter is not over just yet, and there are several chances, minor as they may be, for some winter precipitation across the north Georgia mountains. As usual, the GFS and Canadian show more snow and the Euro less. This situation will not be much different than the other two as we're counting on wrap around moisture to bring the snow. And again, the snow will be co
    5 points
  27. Fox 5 mentioned the lake effect potential. Pretty cool if it verifies. Also, can I get a 2 hour delay tomorrow?!
    5 points
  28. Snow at Woody Gap. GDOTs been here.
    5 points
  29. Good morning! A little cooler and drier start to the day this morning compared to what we've had for a while. Temperatures are in the low 30's to upper 20's and I'm running about 22 degrees lower than at this time yesterday. It will be sunny and cool today and tomorrow but the rain returns again starting during the day on Sunday and continues on through the end of next week. 7 day rainfall totals look like this. Yesterday the Euro seemed to have latched onto a potential winter weather event late next week, but this morning it has lost it. Instead, the
    5 points
  30. Good morning! Rain is passing through this morning is bringing some heavy rain at times along with some gusty winds, but nothing severe at this point in time. (EDIT: The 3-4 NE georgia counties under the GSP forecast area are under a Severe Thunderstorm right now) There may be a greater chance of severe weather as the line pushes toward the SE but most likely not over north Georgia. We may have a little winter weather on the horizon, no guarantees right now, but if the Euro says it's so, it must be so. πŸ™‚ At the moment, the GFS doesn't want any part of it
    5 points
  31. I'm saving all the images from the Euro and GFS so we can watch the trends over time.
    5 points
  32. The way these last several days have gone, this seems appropriate...
    5 points
  33. I’m at home sick with the flu so I haven’t been outside much so sorry for the poor quality of the video. It has actually started snowing lightly again. IMG_4674.MOV
    5 points
  34. I really hope we can get next weekend to work. I'm not very optimistic about it, but that's the only workable look we have right now. I'm afraid if it doesn't work out, our goose may just be cooked. The weeklies look really bad past that point. This snowless streak is wearing on me and has me wanting to move into the NC mountains now lol. Probably sounds silly to those of you to the south of me who regularly go through years long periods with no snow, but this is one of if not the longest streaks in my lifetime and I don't much like it lol. Hopefully I'm just being dramatic and we get bur
    5 points
  35. Ok- You know me I am the pessimist BUTβ€”β€” I am coming off the ledge and doing a 180 We have the pattern with the lows diving south along the coast so I am going all out Optimistic and saying A good snow for Georgia by 15th of February.
    5 points
  36. A few nice sunrise images from the Smokies this morning.
    5 points
  37. GFS ensembles still look good at 12z and the EURO has cold air and storms flying around! That is all we can ask for!
    5 points
  38. Despite all my frequent naysaying I am definitely excited about the next few weeks. I genuinely believe that we may soon have something to track for the 20th-25th time frame. That being said the reason I continue to try my best to temper my own excitement is that the ensembles looked incredible over and over last year only to eventually abandon us.
    5 points
  39. My 8 year old loves all things weather. He’s wearing his favorite gift from Christmas! He followed yesterday’s events all day until the weather got here - and then he was hiding under a blanket, lol. He’s a meteorologist in progress, ha ha!
    5 points
  40. I am praying for everyone, please stay safe, and thanks for helping me calm dowm, you all rock!
    5 points
  41. Yes, the models are trending cold. The teleconnections for the EPO/AO/NAO are trending toward negative/into negative territory. Add to that the models are indicating changes in the stratosphere. It's starting to look like the flip that we've been waiting for. We'll see.
    5 points
  42. You are noticeably excited about the possibility of the white stuff!! It’s contagious πŸ˜†
    5 points
  43. Good morning! Got rain? It's raining pretty hard here at the house this morning, It's cold where the rain is falling, it's down to 35 degrees here at the house. Here are the forecast rainfall totals through 7 AM Sunday morning. We'll have a dry day on Sunday before the rain returns again. Speaking of temperatures, here is a look at the last 24 hour low temps from various regions in the Northern Hemisphere. Link to page Northern Hemisphere Canada United States
    5 points
  44. It’s like we have seen this before 🀨
    5 points
  45. Euro coming in line with the rest. May have something here to start a thread on soon
    5 points
  46. That's it. For me, it's fun to track this stuff. It's like following little clues that may or may not lead to a treasure. πŸ™‚ It's just fun. And yes, it can be disappointing right up until the moment the event is suppose to happen. But you have those other times when everything falls into place and those winter dreams come true. I guess here in Georgia we're always searching for that pot of gold at the end of the rainbow. πŸ™‚
    5 points
  47. Good Sunday morning! Saturday's weather turned out pretty nice and today and most of tomorrow will be the same. There maybe some clouds and a little light rain overnight but nothing to write home about. The big map (water vapor and 500 mb heights) this morning shows a pair of upper level lows, one near the west coast and one near the east coast with a trough digging across the central US. The upper New England states have some pretty cold temperatures this morning with many locations in the single digits. Our next "real" chance for rain will be toward the
    5 points
  48. Well.... Needless to say this was a bizarre morning lol. Being caught off guard by the weather is something that doesn't happen to me much but it definitely did today. I got about an inch of snow, roads were briefly covered, and the schools got closed. This is a pic someone sent me from the Elementary school here in Rabun. I really don't know what just happened. Feels like divine intervention at this point. But just like that, the streak is over for Clayton, GA. I hate that the rest of y'all couldn't get some, hopefully a big storm can sneak up on us too.
    4 points
  49. I'm more interested in that 17th time frame on the Euro than that thing on the GFS lol. With a storm cutting that far west, we'd be flooded with warmth and I'm sure as we get closer that HP would be moving out just like it is for this weekend. That's only if that look is verbatim, things could change for the better who knows. Now the Euro setup is interesting to me if we can just get the low track and strength just right. Dual highs and a 50/50 low are there. All we'd need is a weak low sliding along the gulf coast to get snow. See January 5-8 1988 for the ideal scenario with dual highs a
    4 points
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