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Showing content with the highest reputation since 09/14/2019 in all areas

  1. 2 points
    Good morning! Finally coming home for a couple of weeks, I will be leaving here around 8 am this morning. Don't you just love 8 hour drives? 😏 It's 56 degrees right now (6:34 am) at my house, and I haven't had a low in the 50's since June 15. Meh... fun while it lasted. 🙂 Fall is coming. Maybe is December, but it's coming. 🙂 Old Mort apparently didn't live Georgia. About 22% of the state is in a moderate drought condition, and a small area to the SW of Atlanta is experiencing a severe drought. This is the amount of rain that needs to fall to erase these dry conditions. Think tropical. So... as you well know, fall is generally a pretty dry time here unless we see some effects from the tropics. My major concern right now are wildfires. Otherwise, not much to talk about except for a gazillion disturbances in the tropics. None will change our weather here, and none are a current threat to the US except for Imelda which moved in over TX. Anyway... gotta get packed. See you back in Georgia! Have a great day!
  2. 2 points
    Good MORNING! 🙂 Do you feel it? 😛 Ok, not quite yet... but it's knocking on the door! In this case, it appears the Euro was wrong and the GFS was correct. Remember to never blindly look at the models and take them at face value more than a few days out. If you live in the mountains, can you live with this? Or Dalton, this ok for now? Or Gwinnett? Wish I was there to enjoy it, butI will be returning on Friday, so I'll get to experience part of it. The only other important information is the heavy rain along the Texas coastline, and specifically Houston. on top of the rain they have already had, the WPC is calling for another 10" before it's all said and done. Radar Estimated Rainfall WPC 7 Day Rainfall Forecast The only other pretty picture I have is of me. 😛 Actually, the pretty part is of my wife, so ignore the guy in yellow sitting next to her! 🙂 This was taken on the whale watch tour we went on in Massachusetts in June. So I hope everyone has a great day. Starting tomorrow, I'll be experiencing the cooler weather vicariously through you, do be sure yo let me know how it feels! 🙂
  3. 2 points
    Good morning! Well... who do you believe? The Euro ensemble doesn't see much of a cool down and it warms back up into the 90's and it keeps a ridge over the eastern US. It can't see cold air. Joe Bastardi had a blog post yesterday where he discussed the fact that the Euro can't see the cold. Several weeks ago, this was the 39-46 day Euro temp forecast. And this was actual The GEFS sees it a little different. Here's a look at what it believes the temps will be for a few locations across north Georgia. Since I'm a "cup half full" kind of guy, I am falling in line with the GEFS. Maybe it's just wishing. This is Larry Cosgrove on days 11-15 So hang in there... the weather is undergoing changes... and those changes will be showing up here before too long. Have a great Sunday!
  4. 1 point
    Good Thursday morning! Have you been outside yet? 🙂 Must be nice, I wouldn't know. 🙂 Instead of enjoying nice cool dry air, I'm listening to the choir. While it's not super strong wedge, it's strong enough to aid in keeping our temperatures (well... YOUR temperatures) very comfortable today. With dew points in the low 60's and upper 50's, the air probably feels much more "crisp" this morning. Areas NE of Houston have been hammered by as much as 30" of rain and it's still coming down. Radar Estimated Rainfall These are the expected temperatures at 7 am tomorrow. Combine those with dew points at least 10 degrees lower than today, and you have a recipe for an awesome fall morning. The morning temps tomorrow will be about 10 degrees or so below normal for this time of the year. So enjoy the fall football weekend! I can't wait to get back to enjoy it myself! 🙂 Have a great Thursday!
  5. 1 point
    Left out the NWS quote in the post... I was too distracted by the croaking. That's my story and I'm sticking to it. 😛
  6. 1 point
    Gave up on rain for the next few weeks 😞
  7. 1 point
    Good afternoon! I left the house at 3:40 am this morning and arrived here in Sarasota today at 11:15 am. Not too bad! First Tropical Storm Imelda Tropical Cyclone Update NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL112019 130 PM CDT Tue Sep 17 2019 ...TROPICAL STORM IMELDA MAKES LANDFALL NEAR FREEPORT TEXAS... ...HEAVY RAINFALL AND THREAT OF FLASH FLOODING WILL SPREAD INLAND... NOAA Doppler radar data and surface observations indicate that Tropical Storm Imelda made landfall near Freeport, Texas at 100 PM CDT with maximum sustained winds of 40 mph. A National Ocean Service observing site at Freeport, Texas reported a minimum pressure near 1005 mb (29.68 inches) around the time of landfall. SUMMARY OF 130 PM CDT...1830 UTC...INFORMATION --------------------------------------------------- LOCATION...29.0N 95.3W ABOUT 0 MI...0 KM S OF FREEPORT TEXAS ABOUT 35 MI...55 KM SW OF GALVESTON TEXAS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 5 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES $$ Forecaster Zelinsky/Brown Yes... a TS. 🙂 Cooler temps on the way, if even only for a few days. Hang in there! A little relief is on the way! I'll have more later this evening!
  8. 1 point
    Good morning! Back to work for most everyone! I'm very blessed with a decent retirement so my days of forced labor are over. 🙂 However, "to whom much is given, much is expected" so I must go back to Sarasota tomorrow to stay with my dad this week. He's doing as well as can be expected for someone that was married for 66 years, as well as dealing with his melanoma. He has three doctor visits scheduled this week and in home daily wound care for his leg. So while I'm going down to help with all of that, I'm really going so that I can just spend some time with him. Once I got out of school and started working, we all lived separate lives in places that weren't close to each other, and visits were few and far between. So while I have a chance, I want to go and get to know my dad all over again. You don't know how many of those moments you have left when someone is 91, and you have to make the most of them. It is an honor and a privilege to be able to help care for the person that raised me, and set the example for the kind of person I'm still striving to be. Weather... Hot. At least for a few more days. Later in the week, we should see another wedge (like last week) pushing down the eastern side of the Appalachian's into Georgia. It sounds like they believe the Euro ensemble way of thinking versus the GFS ensembles. The euro shows a little spike in the temperatures after the wedge breaks down, while the GFS keeps it relatively mild, so the weekend and beyond are still TBD. In this water vapor image, I'm displaying the 500 mb winds and the 300 mb heights (purple lines). The trough off the west coast and axis of high pressure are plainly visible. Still watching the tropics, but no immediate threats at the moment. These are the two systems we're watching right now. So let's get through the middle of this week, enjoy a little cool down, and hopefully the details about next weeks temperatures will become clearer. Have a great Monday! 🙂
  9. 1 point
    I think that's a fabulous idea and I hope you and your Dad enjoy your time together while you're there. I'm sure this is hard so you will continue in my thoughts. Safe travels as always!
  10. 1 point
    The heat was downright impressive yesterday. We got to just shy of 95 degrees at around 4:30. That's extremely rare territory up here at any point in the summer much less mid September.
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