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NorthGeorgiaWX

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  1. Update on Tropical Storm Cristobal. A new update will be coming soon. -------------------------------------------------------- BULLETIN Tropical Storm Cristobal Intermediate Advisory Number 4A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL032020 100 PM CDT Tue Jun 02 2020 Corrected header to reflect Tropical Storm CRISTOBAL MOVING SLOWLY OVER THE BAY OF CAMPECHE THREAT OF HEAVY RAINS CONTINUES SUMMARY OF 100 PM CDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION: 19.2N 92.8W ABOUT 155 MI...255 KM WSW OF CAMPECHE MEXICO ABOUT 125 MI...200 KM ENE OF COATZACOALCOS MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS: 40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT: SW OR 220 DEGREES AT 3 MPH...6 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE: 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES Visible Satellite Image Infrared Satellite Image Water Vapor Satellite Image Tropical Storm Force Wind Probabilities Earliest Arrival of TS Winds The Cone
  2. Update on Tropical Storm Cristobal. A new update will be coming soon. -------------------------------------------------------- BULLETIN Tropical Storm Cristobal Intermediate Advisory Number 4A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL032020 100 PM CDT Tue Jun 02 2020 Corrected header to reflect Tropical Storm CRISTOBAL MOVING SLOWLY OVER THE BAY OF CAMPECHE THREAT OF HEAVY RAINS CONTINUES SUMMARY OF 100 PM CDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION: 19.2N 92.8W ABOUT 155 MI...255 KM WSW OF CAMPECHE MEXICO ABOUT 125 MI...200 KM ENE OF COATZACOALCOS MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS: 40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT: SW OR 220 DEGREES AT 3 MPH...6 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE: 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES Visible Satellite Image Infrared Satellite Image Water Vapor Satellite Image Tropical Storm Force Wind Probabilities Earliest Arrival of TS Winds The Cone
  3. Differences between the Euro and GFS runs for precipitable water values. EURO GFS
  4. Ryan Maue: https://weather.substack.com/p/tropical-depression-03l-forms?utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=email&utm_source=copy
  5. Good morning! Another beautiful day is in store for today, maybe a degree or two warmer. We didn't need air conditioning at all yesterday and we kept the windows open all day. 🙂 Nice. But we have a little trouble brewing in the Gulf and this is what it looks like this morning in this infrared view. The National Hurricane Center is issuing statements for TD3. The Euro (next three images) depicts a hurricane making landfall on the TX/LA coast. Still lots of time for changes. NWS Atlanta and now mentioning TD3 in their discussions. So we wait and watch. I'm still a little busy right now with trying to get the other house ready to sell and we're traveling back and forth to do that, so my normal daily watching is limited at the moment, but I will certainly keep you updated with any important information as necessary. I hope you have a great Tuesday!
  6. A variety of solutions between the Euro ensemble members. These depict normalized MSLP anomalies and they give a good visual of the strength of the low pressure area compared to normal pressures.
  7. Good morning and welcome to "my" summer! 🙂 I say "mine" because most people follow the astronomical date which is June the 20th this year, but I just have to be different. ðŸĪŠ Meteorological seasons make it easier to manage weather data because the dates are always constant unlike astronomical seasons. We have some high clouds around this morning but we should still end up with a mostly sunny day with breezy conditions, and that weather will continue through most of the day on Wednesday. After that, rain returns to the forecast and what we see later in the week may partially depend on what disturbance 93L decides to do. Here's a look at the area of disturbed weather over Central America this morning. cag.mp4 National Hurricane Center Looking at the Euro probability maps, we see these chance for a tropical depression. This for a tropical storm And this for a hurricane The overnight Euro ensemble run appears to have a majority of its members bringing the storm into the Gulf as a hurricane. While other models look like this Here's a spaghettio plot of the low pressure centers from the Euro ensembles. spaghettios.mp4 Most solutions take this system over LA/TX and dissipate it there. In that scenario we would likely see and influx of moisture off the Atlantic and we as the Gulf and increase our rain chances and all of this depends on how long 93L decides to wander around in the Gulf. You still have 3 days of nice weather before any rain returns, so get out and make the best of it while you can! Have a great Monday!
  8. Good morning! Another beautiful day is in store for today and another one after that, and after that and.... well, you get it. 🙂 As you can see from this infrared satellite image, the southeast is relatively clear this morning as we're caught in the NW flow around an upper level low to the north and a ridge over the central part of the country. Further south over central America and Mexico is the CAG or Central American Gyre that may spawn a tropical system for the Gulf of Mexico. If you are inquisitive and want to learn more, I have several links from Philippe Papin (Philippe is from our part of the world here in the southeast) as he is the "expert" on these systems. A Climatology of Central American Gyres Philippe's Final Thesis This mornings Euro ensemble run has a lot of members that indicate a potential hurricane (red lines) and the number of members showing this have been going up daily. It's too early to tell what if any effect this will have on our weather right now, but it's the only real piece of weather to talk about. 😊 So for us right now, it looks pretty much like this. Until our tropical system decides to make a move, that's about it. Have a GREAT Sunday! 🙂
  9. Red ensemble members indicate a potential hurricane.
  10. Good morning! Not much to talk about for the next 5-6 days. Sunny skies and warm temperatures will be the norm and we're off to a great one already! I'm sitting here being blinded by the sun as I type so that is what I'm blaming all my typing and grammar mistakes on. 😉 This mornings map shows water vapor and you can see that the moisture has pushed south of us taking the rain and clouds with it. Still following the potential tropical system in the Gulf. These are Euro ensemble probability maps. These first two maps cover the same period which is the next 48-96 hours ending Tuesday 8 PM. The first map shows the probability for a tropical depression and the second map shows the probability for a tropical storm. What has started to show up today are very low chances for a hurricane. I found this today and thought it was interesting. I hope everyone has a great Saturday, enjoy the next 5 to 6 sunny days! Oh... and don't forget that meteorological summer starts Monday! 🙂
  11. One more rain shower and we should be about done for the day. (EDIT: "Done" not down" 🙂 )
  12. Depends. A high in the middle of the country might steer it toward the west. It also would depend on the shape of the high (tall, wide, etc). Too early to speculate right now.
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