Almost every time over the past few weeks the system has over achieved and arrived earlier than most short models indicated, especially with both recent severe systems. Also, even with the NAM rolling back a smidge, some of the others have grown. If I were a betting man, I would risk saying I think this system will over achieve. I'm in Blue Ridge, so obviously in a higher elevation so I can't speak for everyone. But I think 2-4 inches is likely for us. This reminds me a lot of two years ago like everyone else has mentioned, where we got 10 inches. I don't think THAT is going to happen, but I do believe most of us will wake up like Christmas morning tomorrow. Here's to hoping!