Storm Prediction Center RSS Feed
This is an automated feed from the Storm Prediction Center that post the following products with images:
- Tornado/Severe Thunderstorm Watches - Watch number and the link to the watch page and watch status page if issued.
- Mesoscale Discussions - MD number, images, and link to page
- Convective Outlooks - Day 1, 2, 3, and 4-8
- Fire Weather Outlooks - 1,2, and 3-8
9,156 topics in this forum
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Day 4-8 Outlook Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0400 AM CST Tue Dec 19 2023 Valid 221200Z - 271200Z ...DISCUSSION... Medium-range guidance remains in good agreement with the evolution of the upper low expected to be just off the southern CA coast early D4/Friday morning. General expectation for the system to become more progressive, tracking over southern CA/northern Baja and into AZ on D4/Friday, and across the southern High Plains and into the southern/central Plains on D5/Saturday. A moderately warm and moist air mass will likely be in place over the southern Plains, contributing to the potential for showers and thunderstorm…
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Day 4-8 Outlook Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0400 AM CST Tue Dec 19 2023 Valid 221200Z - 271200Z ...DISCUSSION... Medium-range guidance remains in good agreement with the evolution of the upper low expected to be just off the southern CA coast early D4/Friday morning. General expectation for the system to become more progressive, tracking over southern CA/northern Baja and into AZ on D4/Friday, and across the southern High Plains and into the southern/central Plains on D5/Saturday. A moderately warm and moist air mass will likely be in place over the southern Plains, contributing to the potential for showers and thunderstorm…
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Day 4-8 Outlook Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0400 AM CST Tue Dec 19 2023 Valid 221200Z - 271200Z ...DISCUSSION... Medium-range guidance remains in good agreement with the evolution of the upper low expected to be just off the southern CA coast early D4/Friday morning. General expectation for the system to become more progressive, tracking over southern CA/northern Baja and into AZ on D4/Friday, and across the southern High Plains and into the southern/central Plains on D5/Saturday. A moderately warm and moist air mass will likely be in place over the southern Plains, contributing to the potential for showers and thunderstorm…
Last reply by NorthGeorgiaWX, -
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SPC 0830Z Day 3 Outlook Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0225 AM CST Tue Dec 19 2023 Valid 211200Z - 221200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Isolated thunderstorms are expected across coastal portions of central and southern California, as well as the Arizona Lower Desert, on Thursday. ...Synopsis... A low-amplitude shortwave trough is forecast to progress steadily eastward from the southern High Plains through the southern Plains on Thursday. Modest low-level moisture will be in place ahead of this wave, with surface dewpoints likely in the mid to upper 50s across much of TX by Thursday afternoon. Even…
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SPC 0830Z Day 3 Outlook Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0225 AM CST Tue Dec 19 2023 Valid 211200Z - 221200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Isolated thunderstorms are expected across coastal portions of central and southern California, as well as the Arizona Lower Desert, on Thursday. ...Synopsis... A low-amplitude shortwave trough is forecast to progress steadily eastward from the southern High Plains through the southern Plains on Thursday. Modest low-level moisture will be in place ahead of this wave, with surface dewpoints likely in the mid to upper 50s across much of TX by Thursday afternoon. Even…
Last reply by NorthGeorgiaWX, -
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SPC 0830Z Day 3 Outlook Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0225 AM CST Tue Dec 19 2023 Valid 211200Z - 221200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Isolated thunderstorms are expected across coastal portions of central and southern California, as well as the Arizona Lower Desert, on Thursday. ...Synopsis... A low-amplitude shortwave trough is forecast to progress steadily eastward from the southern High Plains through the southern Plains on Thursday. Modest low-level moisture will be in place ahead of this wave, with surface dewpoints likely in the mid to upper 50s across much of TX by Thursday afternoon. Even…
Last reply by NorthGeorgiaWX, -
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SPC 0830Z Day 3 Outlook Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0225 AM CST Tue Dec 19 2023 Valid 211200Z - 221200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Isolated thunderstorms are expected across coastal portions of central and southern California, as well as the Arizona Lower Desert, on Thursday. ...Synopsis... A low-amplitude shortwave trough is forecast to progress steadily eastward from the southern High Plains through the southern Plains on Thursday. Modest low-level moisture will be in place ahead of this wave, with surface dewpoints likely in the mid to upper 50s across much of TX by Thursday afternoon. Even…
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SPC 0700Z Day 2 Outlook Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1253 AM CST Tue Dec 19 2023 Valid 201200Z - 211200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Isolated lightning flashes are possible along the central and southern California coast and over portions of the Southwest on Wednesday. ...Synopsis... A dry continental air mass is expected to persist across the eastern CONUS on Wednesday, dominating the sensible weather over the region. Some modest air mass modification is anticipated across the southern Plains as a series of low-amplitude shortwave troughs move through the southwestern flow extending from the So…
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SPC 0700Z Day 2 Outlook Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1253 AM CST Tue Dec 19 2023 Valid 201200Z - 211200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Isolated lightning flashes are possible along the central and southern California coast and over portions of the Southwest on Wednesday. ...Synopsis... A dry continental air mass is expected to persist across the eastern CONUS on Wednesday, dominating the sensible weather over the region. Some modest air mass modification is anticipated across the southern Plains as a series of low-amplitude shortwave troughs move through the southwestern flow extending from the So…
Last reply by NorthGeorgiaWX, -
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SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1216 AM CST Tue Dec 19 2023 Valid 201200Z - 211200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... Upper ridging will persist from the Plains states eastward to the Atlantic coastline as a mid-level trough meanders off of the coast of California tomorrow/Wednesday. Surface high pressure and cooler air will continue to dominate west of the Rockies and east of the Mississippi River, as on Day 1. Low-level moisture return across the Plains states, driven by surface lee troughing, will also dampen significant wildfire-spread potential as well. ..Squitieri.. 12/19/2023 ..…
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SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1216 AM CST Tue Dec 19 2023 Valid 191200Z - 201200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... A mid-level trough will eject into the Atlantic as a second mid-level trough impinges on the West Coast and upper ridging dominates the central CONUS today. Surface high pressure and associated cooler air will overspread much of the U.S. west of the Rockies and east of the Mississippi River, promoting quiescent fire weather conditions. Likewise, weaker surface winds or higher RH amid poorly receptive fuels should limit significant wildfire-spread potential across the Plai…
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SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1113 PM CST Mon Dec 18 2023 Valid 191200Z - 201200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... A few thunderstorms are possible across northern California. ...California... An area of modest midlevel height falls will spread south along the CA Coast and adjacent offshore areas as an upper low digs to near 36N/127W by the end of the period. While the primary surface front should not advance inland, weak boundary-layer heating should contribute to weak surface-based buoyancy across portions of northern CA within favorable high-level diffluent flow aloft. Fore…
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SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0645 PM CST Mon Dec 18 2023 Valid 190100Z - 191200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorm potential is low tonight. ...01z Update... Midlevel speed max is translating inland across northern CA this evening. Associated short-wave trough will deamplify as it ejects into OR later tonight. Very little/no lightning has been observed with weak convection ahead of this feature. 00z sounding from OAK exhibits poor lapse rates with meager buoyancy. While some large-scale forcing for ascent will be noted early this evening, meaningful destabilization is no…
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SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0334 PM CST Mon Dec 18 2023 Valid 201200Z - 261200Z Mid-level flow is expected to remain amplified and progressive with period of unsettled weather possible through the extended forecast period. Transient ridging will slowly build over the central US, keeping winds light and temperatures cool to mild. A deep trough will persist off the Atlantic Coast through the next several days before it slowly departs to the east. At the same time, a cut off low and shortwave trough over the eastern Pacific will support continuous onshore flow of moisture across parts of …
Last reply by NorthGeorgiaWX, -
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SPC 2000Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0136 PM CST Mon Dec 18 2023 Valid 182000Z - 191200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorm potential is expected to remain low the remainder of this afternoon into tonight. ...Synopsis... Showers will continue across New England into this evening ahead of the elongated surface low currently from near Long Island toward the St. Lawrence Valley. Gusty surface winds also will persist given the strong pressure gradient and intense low-level winds just above the surface. However, any deeper convective elements will remain offshore, and th…
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SPC 2000Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0136 PM CST Mon Dec 18 2023 Valid 182000Z - 191200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorm potential is expected to remain low the remainder of this afternoon into tonight. ...Synopsis... Showers will continue across New England into this evening ahead of the elongated surface low currently from near Long Island toward the St. Lawrence Valley. Gusty surface winds also will persist given the strong pressure gradient and intense low-level winds just above the surface. However, any deeper convective elements will remain offshore, and th…
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SPC 2000Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0136 PM CST Mon Dec 18 2023 Valid 182000Z - 191200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorm potential is expected to remain low the remainder of this afternoon into tonight. ...Synopsis... Showers will continue across New England into this evening ahead of the elongated surface low currently from near Long Island toward the St. Lawrence Valley. Gusty surface winds also will persist given the strong pressure gradient and intense low-level winds just above the surface. However, any deeper convective elements will remain offshore, and th…
Last reply by NorthGeorgiaWX, -
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SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1254 PM CST Mon Dec 18 2023 Valid 191200Z - 201200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... Fire-weather concerns are minimal. See the previous discussion. ..Lyons.. 12/18/2023 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0147 AM CST Mon Dec 18 2023/ ...Synopsis... A mid-level trough will meander along the West Coast as upper ridging persists from the Interior West toward the Appalachians tomorrow/Tuesday. While surface lee troughing is expected across the High Plains, surface high pressure and associated cooler air should dominate over the rest of the CONUS. Similar to Day 1, quiescent fir…
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SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1254 PM CST Mon Dec 18 2023 Valid 191200Z - 201200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... Fire-weather concerns are minimal. See the previous discussion. ..Lyons.. 12/18/2023 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0147 AM CST Mon Dec 18 2023/ ...Synopsis... A mid-level trough will meander along the West Coast as upper ridging persists from the Interior West toward the Appalachians tomorrow/Tuesday. While surface lee troughing is expected across the High Plains, surface high pressure and associated cooler air should dominate over the rest of the CONUS. Similar to Day 1, quiescent fir…
Last reply by NorthGeorgiaWX, -
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SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1106 AM CST Mon Dec 18 2023 Valid 191200Z - 201200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not expected on Tuesday. ...Synopsis... An upper trough over the eastern U.S. will move offshore the Atlantic coast on Tuesday. In its wake, upper ridging will envelop much of the CONUS. Meanwhile, another upper trough/closed low over the eastern Pacific will approach the CA coast by Wednesday morning. Strong surface high pressure building over much of the eastern half of the CONUS will result in stable conditions. Southwesterly flow aloft…
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SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1106 AM CST Mon Dec 18 2023 Valid 191200Z - 201200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not expected on Tuesday. ...Synopsis... An upper trough over the eastern U.S. will move offshore the Atlantic coast on Tuesday. In its wake, upper ridging will envelop much of the CONUS. Meanwhile, another upper trough/closed low over the eastern Pacific will approach the CA coast by Wednesday morning. Strong surface high pressure building over much of the eastern half of the CONUS will result in stable conditions. Southwesterly flow aloft…
Last reply by NorthGeorgiaWX, -
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SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1106 AM CST Mon Dec 18 2023 Valid 191200Z - 201200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not expected on Tuesday. ...Synopsis... An upper trough over the eastern U.S. will move offshore the Atlantic coast on Tuesday. In its wake, upper ridging will envelop much of the CONUS. Meanwhile, another upper trough/closed low over the eastern Pacific will approach the CA coast by Wednesday morning. Strong surface high pressure building over much of the eastern half of the CONUS will result in stable conditions. Southwesterly flow aloft…
Last reply by NorthGeorgiaWX, -
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SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1106 AM CST Mon Dec 18 2023 Valid 191200Z - 201200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not expected on Tuesday. ...Synopsis... An upper trough over the eastern U.S. will move offshore the Atlantic coast on Tuesday. In its wake, upper ridging will envelop much of the CONUS. Meanwhile, another upper trough/closed low over the eastern Pacific will approach the CA coast by Wednesday morning. Strong surface high pressure building over much of the eastern half of the CONUS will result in stable conditions. Southwesterly flow aloft…
Last reply by NorthGeorgiaWX, -
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SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1017 AM CST Mon Dec 18 2023 Valid 181700Z - 191200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... No changes. Cool temperatures and abundant precipitation will keep fire-weather conditions minimal over much of the CONUS. ..Lyons.. 12/18/2023 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0146 AM CST Mon Dec 18 2023/ ...Synopsis... A mid-level trough will amplify along the East Coast as a second mid-level trough impinges on California, with abundant rainfall expected in both regions today. Meanwhile, surface high pressure and associated cooler air will overspread the central CONUS. The net result wi…
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SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1017 AM CST Mon Dec 18 2023 Valid 181700Z - 191200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... No changes. Cool temperatures and abundant precipitation will keep fire-weather conditions minimal over much of the CONUS. ..Lyons.. 12/18/2023 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0146 AM CST Mon Dec 18 2023/ ...Synopsis... A mid-level trough will amplify along the East Coast as a second mid-level trough impinges on California, with abundant rainfall expected in both regions today. Meanwhile, surface high pressure and associated cooler air will overspread the central CONUS. The net result wi…
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