Administrators NorthGeorgiaWX Posted January 11 Administrators Share Posted January 11 Day 4-8 Outlook Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0320 AM CST Thu Jan 11 2024 Valid 141200Z - 191200Z ...DISCUSSION... A deep remnant mid-level low, near James Bay by the beginning of the period, may deepen some further while redeveloping northward, then westward, into southern Hudson Bay by early next week, within an elongating area of low mid-level heights across much of eastern Canada, the Great Lakes and Northeast. This may linger into the middle to latter portion of next week, when a new mid-level low may form near Newfoundland and Labrador, associated with strong surface cyclogenesis offshore of the northern U.S. Atlantic coast and Canadian Maritimes. It appears that this cyclogenesis will initiate in response to a short wave trough emanating from the Canadian Arctic, before initially digging to the lee of the Canadian/northern U.S. Rockies, downstream of mid-level ridging building inland of the Pacific coast. The track and evolution of this perturbation through residual cyclonic flow across the interior through eastern U.S. remains varied within the model output. However, it currently appears that the initial surface wave development will remain weak, along a stalled remnant frontal zone across the eastern Gulf of Mexico and east/northeast of the Florida Peninsula late next Monday night through Tuesday morning. This currently seems likely to minimize the risk for organized severe thunderstorms. Read more View the full article Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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