Administrators NorthGeorgiaWX Posted January 12 Administrators Share Posted January 12 MD 0054 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE FOR SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI INTO ALABAMA Mesoscale Discussion 0054 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1011 AM CST Fri Jan 12 2024 Areas affected...southern Mississippi into Alabama Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible Valid 121611Z - 122015Z Probability of Watch Issuance...40 percent SUMMARY...The area from southern and eastern Mississippi into western and southern Alabama is being monitored for watch potential. DISCUSSION...A low continues to deepen near the MS/AL border with associated thunderstorm line segments. This area of storms near the low has been producing 35-45 kt winds consistently. The air mass to the east becomes progressively more stable with cooler temperatures and lower dewpoints. Therefore, a ramp up in storm intensity is not anticipated over much of northern AL. Farther south, a warm front intersects the main cold front over east-central MS, with better moisture spreading northward into southwest AL and southern MS. Showers are developing in the warm advection zone, but instability is generally below 1000 J/kg. It is uncertain how much severe activity will occur over the next few hours as the upper wave lifts north of the area, veering low-level winds over the small warm sector and with limited lift. Warm sector trends will continue to be monitored as destabilization occurs into southern AL where lift along the warm front could support a few severe storms. ..Jewell/Thompson.. 01/12/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...BMX...MOB...JAN... LAT...LON 32308941 32578894 33038836 33568812 34148808 34198791 34038771 33468732 32698699 32298686 31938686 31188718 30858812 30798870 30968926 31508963 32008958 32308941 Read more View the full article Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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