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SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook


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SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook Image
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0249 PM CST Fri Jan 12 2024

Valid 141200Z - 201200Z

A series of mid-level troughs will traverse the CONUS during the
upcoming week, reinforcing an arctic surface airmass over much of
the CONUS and limiting wildfire-spread potential in most places. One
localized exception would be portions of Far West Texas, which will
experience dry downslope flow early in the week amid marginally
receptive fuels. If guidance consensus continues to suggest that 15+
mph sustained westerly winds will develop during the afternoon,
Elevated highlights may need to be added in the Days 1-2 period.
Medium-range guidance also depicts surface lee troughing along the
southern High Plains between mid-level troughs on Day 6/Wednesday,
which may promote dry downslope flow. However, too much uncertainty
remains this far in advance in terms of fuel receptiveness or best
area of overlapping winds/RH to deduce with confidence whether
Elevated-equivalent conditions will occur.

..Squitieri.. 01/12/2024

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

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