Administrators NorthGeorgiaWX Posted January 13 Administrators Share Posted January 13 MD 0059 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY FOR EASTERN GEORGIA...EASTERN SOUTH CAROLINA AND EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA Mesoscale Discussion 0059 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0627 PM CST Fri Jan 12 2024 Areas affected...Eastern Georgia...Eastern South Carolina and eastern North Carolina Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely Valid 130027Z - 130300Z Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent SUMMARY...A marginal severe threat may develop across parts of far eastern Georgia, eastern South Carolina and eastern North Carolina over the next 1 to 2 hours. No weather watch issuance is expected. DISCUSSION...The latest radar imagery shows a band of convection oriented from south-southwest to north-northeast from southern Georgia to central North Carolina. This convection is located along the northern edge of a weakly unstable airmass, where the RAP is analyzing MLCAPE below 500 J/kg. In spite of the weak instability, moisture advection will occur across the eastern Carolinas over the next couple of hours, which will result in a gradually increase in instability. In addition, regional WSR-88D VWPs in the eastern Carolinas have very strong deep-layer shear, associated with the eastern edge of a broad mid-level jet. For this reason, there will be potential for weakly organized rotating storms. Although a weak tornado or strong wind gust will be possible, the threat should remain isolated as the upper-level system over the Northeast pulls away from the region. ..Broyles/Goss.. 01/13/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...AKQ...MHX...RAH...ILM...CHS...CAE... LAT...LON 32987960 33807852 34557718 35057642 35467626 35817655 35927717 35697769 34877907 33278130 32628187 32228190 31918151 32028085 32987960 Read more View the full article Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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