Administrators NorthGeorgiaWX Posted January 14 Administrators Posted January 14 SPC 0830Z Day 3 Outlook Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0132 AM CST Sun Jan 14 2024 Valid 161200Z - 171200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not expected on Tuesday. ...Synopsis... A broad upper trough will envelop much of the eastern two-thirds of the CONUS on Tuesday. A shortwave embedded within this larger-scale trough will eject east/southeast from the central/southern High Plains to the Mid-Atlantic coastal vicinity by Wednesday morning. At the surface, a coastal low near the Outer Banks Tuesday morning will lift northeast toward the Canadian Maritimes through the period. Meanwhile, a cold front will track southeast across the southern U.S., extending across southern FL by the end of the period. A moist airmass will be in place across FL ahead of the front. While this will contribute to some weak instability, lapse rates will remain poor. Furthermore, any stronger large-scale ascent will be displaced north of better boundary-layer moisture. While effective shear magnitudes near 40 kt typically would support organized thunderstorms, displaced large-scale ascent with a poorly timed frontal intrusion into the FL Peninsula will preclude severe potential. Elsewhere, a cold and stable boundary layer will preclude thunderstorm potential across much of the rest of the CONUS. ..Leitman.. 01/14/2024 Read more View the full article Quote
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