Administrators NorthGeorgiaWX Posted January 14 Administrators Posted January 14 Day 4-8 Outlook Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0350 AM CST Sun Jan 14 2024 Valid 171200Z - 221200Z ...DISCUSSION... Severe potential is expected to remain low during the Day 4-8 period. An initial upper trough over the eastern U.S. will quickly shift northeast over the Atlantic on Day 4/Wed. At the same time, a series of upper shortwave impulses will migrate through northwesterly flow from the Pacific Northwest to the central/southern Plains before consolidating and pivoting east across the rest of the CONUS Days 6-8/Fri-Sun. As the western upper shortwave trough ejects east, surface low pressure will develop over the central/southern High Plains on Day 3/Wed before developing east across the southern tier of the U.S. through Day 6/Fri. This will allow for some modest Gulf moisture return ahead of an eastward-advancing cold front. However, it appears higher-quality moisture and better instability will remain offshore, limiting severe potential. Nevertheless, thunderstorm chances will be possible across much of the Gulf coast vicinity Days 5-6/Thu-Fri. In the wake of the cold front, strong surface high pressure will build across the Plains and shift east across the eastern U.S. on Days 6-8/Fri-Sun, diminishing thunderstorm potential. Read more View the full article Quote
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