Administrators NorthGeorgiaWX Posted January 15 Administrators Share Posted January 15 MD 0070 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY FOR EASTERN FLORIDA PENINSULA Mesoscale Discussion 0070 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0456 PM CST Mon Jan 15 2024 Areas affected...Eastern Florida Peninsula Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely Valid 152256Z - 160000Z Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent SUMMARY...A localized threat for a brief tornado is expected to continue in the short-term. Any threat should remain too marginal for weather watch issuance. DISCUSSION...Latest high-resolution radar imagery shows a supercell ongoing in Martin County, Florida. WSR-88D VWPs along the Florida east coast suggest veering winds with height in the lowest 2 km above ground level, with some speed shear in the low to mid-levels. Low-level shear may also be strengthened by frictional effects associated with the coastal vicinity. In addition, the storm is located near a boundary helping to increase low-level convergence. The cell will continue to approach the coast over the next half hour. Additional cells may develop, and could be associated with an isolated/brief tornado threat due to the localized enhancement of low-level shear. However, any threat is expected to remain marginal, and not sufficient for tornado watch issuance. ..Broyles/Goss.. 01/15/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...MLB... LAT...LON 27078008 26998037 26988054 27058069 27188073 27318069 27408059 27458036 27478017 27378005 27168003 27078008 Read more View the full article Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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