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SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook


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SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook Image
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0330 PM CST Mon Jan 15 2024

Valid 171200Z - 231200Z

A progressive upper pattern is expected through the week into early
next week, with multiple mid-level troughs poised to traverse the
CONUS up to the weekend. The progressing mid-level troughs will
reinforce surface high pressure and an accompanying arctic airmass,
limiting wildfire-spread potential over most locales. Guidance
consistency continues to show surface low development over the
southern High Plains on Wednesday in advance of one of the upper
troughs. Here, downslope flow will encourage some dry/breezy
conditions, but the lack of fuel receptiveness suggests that
Critical probabilities are not currently warranted. By the weekend,
upper-ridging will overspread the central CONUS before another
mid-level trough ejects into the Plains states. While surface
temperatures might rise above the freezing mark across the southern
Plains by early next week, low-level moisture will also increase,
keeping wildfire-spread concerns at a minimum.

..Squitieri.. 01/15/2024

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

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