Jump to content
  • Forum Image

SPC Jan 16, 2024 0830 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook


Recommended Posts

  • Administrators
SPC 0830Z Day 3 Outlook
Day 3 Outlook Image
Day 3 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0149 AM CST Tue Jan 16 2024

Valid 181200Z - 191200Z

...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms are not forecast on Thursday.

...Synopsis...

A weak upper shortwave trough over the southern Plains vicinity will
shift east toward the Carolinas on Thursday. This will result in
deep-layer southwesterly flow across the central/eastern Gulf Coast
vicinity. At the surface, a weak low over OK/TX will track east
across the Gulf coast states, before lifting northeast across the
Carolinas by Friday morning. Meanwhile, cold front attendant to the
low will spread southeast across the Southeastern U.S. Southerly
low-level flow ahead of the surface low will allow for modest Gulf
moisture to return northward, with near 60 F dewpoints moving into
southern LA/MS/AL and across FL (some higher dewpoints expected
central/southern FL). Overall, better thermodynamics will remain
over the Gulf, with warm midlevel temperatures and poor lapse rates
limiting instability inland. Nevertheless, showers and isolated
thunderstorms will be possible across parts of the FL Peninsula in a
warm advection regime ahead of the approaching cold front. Severe
storms are not expected.

..Leitman.. 01/16/2024

Read more

View the full article

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

  • Who's Online   0 Members, 0 Anonymous, 3 Guests (See full list)

    • There are no registered users currently online


×
×
  • Create New...