Administrators NorthGeorgiaWX Posted January 16 Administrators Share Posted January 16 Day 4-8 Outlook Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0330 AM CST Tue Jan 16 2024 Valid 191200Z - 241200Z ...DISCUSSION... The beginning of the period will see an upper trough over the eastern states and an upper ridge over the West. The upper ridge will weaken as it slides east over the Plains on Day 5/Sat, with a lower-amplitude pattern emerging east of the Rockies through Day 6/Sun. During the latter half of the period, an upper trough is forecast to develop over the western U.S. Strong surface high pressure over the Plains on Day 4/Fri will shift east through the period, and another frontal intrusion into the Gulf of Mexico will result in a generally dry/stable airmass for much of the Day 4-8 period. As the western upper trough develops late in the period, surface lee troughing will promote southerly low-level flow over the southern Plains and some Gulf moisture return is expected. As this occurs, thunderstorm potential may increase across parts of the southern Plains around Days 7-8/Mon-Tue. Modest deep-layer flow over the region, and the upper trough remaining well west, will likely limit severe potential until perhaps just beyond Day 8/Tue. Read more View the full article Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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