Administrators NorthGeorgiaWX Posted July 12 Administrators Posted July 12 SPC 1630Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1123 AM CDT Fri Jul 12 2024 Valid 121630Z - 131200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE NORTHERN PLAINS...AND THE MID MISSISSIPPI VALLEY... ...SUMMARY... Isolated severe wind and hail will be possible this afternoon from the Ozarks to lower Ohio Valley, and over the northern and central Great Plains from late afternoon into tonight. ...Northern Plains... Broad diffluent northwesterly mid-level flow is present today across the northern Plains states. Full sunshine over the region will result in hot surface temperatures and inverted-v thermodynamic profiles from eastern MT/WY into the western Dakotas. Most morning CAM solutions suggest scattered high-based thunderstorm development by late afternoon, with activity spreading slowly eastward through the evening. Locally gusty/damaging winds are the main concern with these storms. Greater instability exists farther east in ND/SD/NE but will remain capped in most areas, unless congealing outflow from the west can intercept the higher theta-e air with some risk of wind/hail in the strongest cells. ...Southern MO/IL... Morning visible satellite imagery shows a remnant MCV over southern MO tracking slowly eastward. Ample low-level moisture and CAPE ahead of this system will likely result in scattered afternoon thunderstorms. Winds aloft are relatively weak, and convection should remain rather disorganized. However, the strongest storms could pose a risk of locally gusty winds. ..Hart/Barnes.. 07/12/2024 Read more View the full article Quote
Recommended Posts
Join the conversation
You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.