Administrators NorthGeorgiaWX Posted July 28 Administrators Posted July 28 SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0316 PM CDT Sun Jul 28 2024 Valid 301200Z - 051200Z A mid-level trough will traverse the northwestern U.S. on Day 3 (Tuesday) before upper ridging builds in and dominates the Interior West through the remainder of the week. A stray thunderstorm or two is possible over part of the northern Rockies on Tuesday with the passage of the trough. Though fuels are receptive to fire spread, thunderstorm coverage currently appears too sparse to introduce dry thunderstorm probabilities. By the weekend (Days 7-8), a slight eastward shift of the upper ridge will encourage the northward return of mid-level monsoonal moisture across northern California into the Pacific Northwest (specifically areas east of the Cascades). Better chances for at least isolated dry thunderstorms exist with the northwestward return of moisture. However, forcing for ascent will be subtle, so it is unclear where and when thunderstorms may form, precluding dry thunderstorm probabilities this far in advance. Nonetheless, fuels are already critically receptive to fire ignitions and spread, with a preceding, prolonged period of warming/drying expected through the week. As such, lightning-induced ignition potential could be high should thunderstorms form next weekend. Dry thunderstorm probabilities will likely be introduced as soon as medium range guidance comes into consensus for thunderstorm occurrence. ..Squitieri.. 07/28/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more View the full article Quote
Recommended Posts
Join the conversation
You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.