Administrators NorthGeorgiaWX Posted August 1 Administrators Posted August 1 SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1140 AM CDT Thu Aug 01 2024 Valid 021200Z - 031200Z Only minor adjustments have been made to the dry thunderstorm areas to reflect current forecast guidance. Significant uncertainty remains in thunderstorm coverage from northern California into Washington, but sufficient instability, dry, well mixed boundary-layer profiles, and at least weak/glancing forcing for ascent could result in some isolated dry thunderstorm activity over receptive fuels. ..Halbert/Squitieri.. 08/01/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0158 AM CDT Thu Aug 01 2024/ ...Synopsis... Along the western periphery of an expansive midlevel anticyclone centered over the central Rockies/Intermountain West, a midlevel vorticity maximum will advance northward from southern CA into OR through the period. Preceding this feature, a plume of sufficient midlevel moisture, atop a diurnally deepening boundary layer, will support isolated to widely scattered high-based thunderstorms. Storms will develop over CA during the afternoon, and gradually spread/develop northward (in tandem with the vorticity maximum) across the Northwest into the overnight hours. Given dry fuels across many of these areas, isolated lightning-induced ignitions will be possible. Confidence in thunderstorm development is lower with northward extent into WA, though sufficient instability and glancing ascent ahead of a midlevel trough could still yield isolated storms. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more View the full article Quote
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