Administrators NorthGeorgiaWX Posted August 3 Administrators Posted August 3 MD 1805 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY FOR MUCH OF SOUTHERN FLORIDA Mesoscale Discussion 1805 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0217 PM CDT Sat Aug 03 2024 Areas affected...much of southern Florida Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely Valid 031917Z - 032145Z Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent SUMMARY...Locally strong wind gusts and perhaps a brief/weak tornado remain possible across southern Florida today, but a watch is not anticipated at this time. DISCUSSION...Daytime heating along with mid to upper 70s F dewpoints is resulting in moderate instability, which is aiding a band of convection over far southern FL. Additional cells east of the main band are noted on radar, with signs of outflow surges pushing northwestward. Thus far, low-level shear has not strengthened much. Area VWPs indicate 0-1 SRH values generally in the 75-100 m2/s2 range, which is on the low-end for tornado potential. However, as the TC deepens and low-level convergence increases, some of these bands could become a bit better organized, at which time the stronger cells could exhibit transient mesocyclones. Otherwise, moderate mean winds in the lowest few km will favor strong to locally damaging wind gusts. ..Jewell.. 08/03/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...MFL...MLB...KEY...TBW... LAT...LON 26178205 26898248 27478282 27958283 28268216 28028127 27388032 26807993 26017996 25408010 24908050 24558131 24418208 24658221 25598211 26178205 Read more View the full article Quote
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