Administrators NorthGeorgiaWX Posted August 3 Administrators Posted August 3 MD 1808 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY FOR EASTERN CT...RI...SOUTHEAST MA Mesoscale Discussion 1808 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0435 PM CDT Sat Aug 03 2024 Areas affected...eastern CT...RI...southeast MA Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely Valid 032135Z - 032330Z Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent SUMMARY...Isolated strong to locally severe gusts (50-60 mph) capable of pockets of wind damage are possible through 8pm EDT. The isolated coverage of the expected wind threat will preclude a severe thunderstorm watch issuance. DISCUSSION...A warm/moist boundary layer is evident in late afternoon surface observations (temperatures in the upper 80s to 90 with mid 70 deg F dewpoints) over southern New England ahead of a small strong-severe thunderstorm cluster in southwest parts of CT. This activity will likely move east-northeast over the next few hours. Short-term model forecast soundings show upwards of 2000+ J/kg MLCAPE with PW around 1.9 inches. A couple of the stronger thunderstorm cores may yield a localized damaging wind risk into the evening before this activity weakens. ..Smith.. 08/03/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...BOX...OKX... LAT...LON 41567268 41677258 42067077 41877051 41657055 41507073 41207283 41567268 Read more View the full article Quote
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