Administrators NorthGeorgiaWX Posted August 4 Administrators Posted August 4 SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0813 PM CDT Sat Aug 03 2024 Valid 040100Z - 041200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN MINNESOTA...AND ACROSS PARTS OF THE NEW JERSEY VICINITY... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are expected to continue this evening over parts of Minnesota and South Dakota. Local severe risk may linger for a couple more hours over parts East Coast states, across portions of the Texas Panhandle vicinity, and parts of Utah. ...Discussion... Severe threat has begun to wane across much of the U.S. with the loss of diurnal heating. The most substantial risk -- which may last the remainder of the evening -- is ongoing across parts of central and southern Minnesota. Here, moderate mid-level west-northwesterlies atop a low-level wind field that veers with height is resulting in ample shear for organized storms. This, combined with a strongly unstable airmass (mixed-layer CAPE still 3000 to 4000 J/kg per RAP-based objective analysis) is supporting a cluster of intense storms over central Minnesota, remaining capable of producing very large hail, and damaging wind gusts. Elsewhere, a loosely organized cluster of strong storms is moving northeastward across southern New Jersey at this time, where local severe risk will persist for a couple more hours. A few strong storms are also moving southwestward across the Texas Panhandle, which may pose a risk for locally damaging winds through mid-evening. Finally, convection associated with the outer bands of developing T.S. Debby will continue affecting portions of southern and western Florida, where a brief tornado cannot be ruled out this evening/overnight. ..Goss.. 08/04/2024 Read more View the full article Quote
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