Administrators NorthGeorgiaWX Posted September 28 Administrators Share Posted September 28 SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0217 PM CDT Sat Sep 28 2024 Valid 291200Z - 301200Z ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR THE NEBRASKA PANHANDLE INTO SOUTH-CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA... The Elevated areas in the central/northern Plains and eastern Washington were expanded to reflect the latest high-resolution forecast guidance. Locally elevated conditions may develop farther east on the northern Plains into northwest Minnesota and in portions of eastern Oregon into southwest Idaho as well. Breezy offshore winds are likely to develop overnight in far southwest Oregon and northwest California, most likely affecting mid/upper slopes, and may result in locally elevated conditions. Otherwise, the forecast remains on track, and please see the previous discussion for more details. ..Nauslar.. 09/28/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0158 AM CDT Sat Sep 28 2024/ ...Synopsis... A deepening mid to upper-level trough and accompanying jet streak are expected to traverse the western Canadian provinces Sunday. At the surface, a low will deepen across the northern Rockies and tightening pressure gradients will develop from the northern Plains, into the Intermountain West, and Cascades. The result will be increasing surface winds within these areas. A dry return-flow regime over the northern Plains will unfold, where high confidence in the latest guidance suggests speeds around 15-25 mph by the afternoon. Persistent low moisture content of fine to medium fuels across this region, ERCs exceeding 95th percentiles, and RH in the low teens warrants a narrow Critical area from the NE Panhandle through west-central SD. Further west of this region, southwest to westerly winds of slightly lower speeds will impact central WY, southern MT, and portions of ID. Two other Elevated areas have also been included for the Great Basin and Columbia River Basin of WA. Fuels across the former region continue to become more receptive to fire spread due to persistent warm and dry conditions, but only transient elevated to critical south-southwest winds are anticipated. Dry, westerly downslope surface flow near 15 mph coinciding with RH in the upper teens preceding the trough will impact eastern WA. If later guidance suggest a deeper and/or slower trough progression, this Elevated area may need to be expanded. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more View the full article Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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