SPC Oct 2, 2024 1730 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook

[NorthGeorgiaWX]

SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook

Day 2 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1230 PM CDT Wed Oct 02 2024

Valid 031200Z - 041200Z

...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms are not expected on Thursday.

...Discussion...
Weak flow aloft will prevail across the southern half of the U.S.
Thursday, where general ridging aloft will prevail.  Over the
northern half of the country, faster flow will reside, with a trough
forecast to progress across the north-central states and eventually
reach the Upper Great Lakes.  

At the surface, a cold front will advance eastward across the Great
Lakes, and more slowly southward across the Plains.  Meager
low-level moisture is expected ahead of this front, however, with
the richer/tropical moisture remaining confined to the Southeast and
Gulf Coast states.  Thus, lack of appreciable instability should
preclude thunderstorm activity with this front.

As a weak disturbance aloft drifts northward out of the central Gulf
of Mexico and into the central Gulf Coast states, showers and
scattered thunderstorms are expected to evolve, from the mouth of
the Mississippi River to Florida.  However, weak flow aloft will
preclude any appreciable risk for severe weather through the period.

..Goss.. 10/02/2024

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