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Good morning! It's Thanksgiving eve! 🦃🙂 I'm ready for my turkey! 🙂 But first things first, it's time for the weather! Our first closed upper level low is sitting over Kansas this morning and it has already started pulling in some very cold air back behind it. The map (500 mb isobars/850-700-500 mb winds/temps) shows those cold temps that are starting to pour into the country riding on strong northerly winds wrapping around the low. Although this first low is relatively weak and the energy with it will be pulling off to the northeast, I want to show a few characteristic

Good morning! Enjoying this great weather? You get one more day of it before things begin to change. We've been locked into this zonal pattern for too long now, but the atmosphere is starting to get restless, and we'll start to see the start of those changes beginning this week. The morning map (850 mb winds and isobars/dewpoints/water vapor/radar) show moisture beginning to increase in advance of an area of low pressure. That low will drag a cold front across our area tonight and someone may see a shower, but probably not. That low is lifting northeast, and as it does it takes most of th

Good morning! It's a little chilly out this morning but not as cold as they thought it would get, I think the winds kept the temperatures from falling as far as expected. But there are places in the mountains that are below freezing this morning, so there is some cold air around. Looks like Blairsville went below freezing shortly after midnight and is still below as of 6 am. I am keeping this short and sweet this morning since nothing has really changed since yesterday. I'll let the NWS do all the talking today, I'll just highlight what I find important

Good morning! Things are starting to get interesting folks... 😉 Still a long way off in weather days but the GFS has been going all out for snow here. Boy, do I have a lot to show today... hope you have some time. 🙂 FIRST... none of this is a forecast. We are tracking winter weather like you would follow a football game. You have good runs/bad runs just like you have good plays and bad plays. My team may do well (snow) or your team may do better (rain or nothing). We don't know the outcome until we get close to the end of the game. For all we know, it will be warm and sunny. F

Chorus we sing at church There's revival in the air tonight. It means the spirit is moving. Something is stirring for the Dec 4-7 th time frame excitement

A good recap for us who get confused about Miller A vs Miller B https://glenallenweather.com/alink/18snow/stormtypes.htm

LOL! The NWS didn't like the stuff I was posting about that and then they were the ones that busted big time. I remember it very well. 😉

My dad lives in Ellijay on a mountain so I went ahead and gave him the “hey, um, perk your ears up” comment yesterday. I’m ready to ride this coaster! 🙌

I am the wrong person to be quoting here because of my poor memory at age 60, but the pattern reminds me of 2014. I KNOW it could all disappear in the next couple of days but it has been a 'coons age' since we have seen that kind of consistency from any runs as far as a chance of snow in N Georgia. I amnot holding my breath, but I am hoping for my grandchildren there in Calhoun. I have a district Christmas function the 5th here at my Church, so unless the Lord sends some here like one run of the Canadian hinted I would just enjoy the picture or live through others posts.

Good morning! The cold front has pushed through the area and brought cooler and drier air along with it. The morning map (500 mb winds and isobars/dewpoints/water vapor) shows the upper level trough to our north. The trough is responsible for the weather here this morning, but it will quickly slide off to the east and be replaced by a weak area of high pressure that is sitting to our west. Closer to home, you can see the surface winds bringing in the cooler air. These are dewpoints, not temperatures. Well, you saw the snow on the Euro yeste

Before I even got to the last sentence my first thought was that you're gonna love that change in convenience lol. Lots of extremely beautiful areas in this county I'd love to live if it wasn't for the up to almost an hour drive at times just to get to town.

Yeah I'm having a hard time buying in to much outside of the pattern looks interesting. This is still well into fantasy land but the consistency of some mischief on multiple model runs in a row is interesting and it is getting a little ensemble love. No more Sky Valley reports this winter though, I am about the same elevation as you are now. We just built a house in Clayton. I'm going to miss the elevation but the not the 30 minute one way runs to the grocery store and work.

That run was about as close to a bona-fide blizzard we'd ever see in these parts. 20-50 mph wind gusts. A wild solution, but not an impossible one that can be ruled out. One things for certain, given the consistency, the signal for this timeframe is real. Probably won't pan out in the end per usual, but this isn't just the models being crazy.

I've been trying to avoid it all together honestly. I don't trust my own emotions lol. Just watching the way the EPS has been headed the last few days I started thinking, man these models are about to pop something crazy out there in the next couple weeks haha.

I liked the looks earlier in the week for sure. I don’t like counting on elevation for accumulation. That means a miss for most of N Ga. Cold and cloudy is just dreary. Flakes falling makes it much more exciting

And they are all jumping in on it which is surprising.

The ensembles are definitely keying in on that backside snow from the first storm. Normally wouldn't be thrilled with that, but it's early December so beggars can't be choosers lol.

Ooh. 12z bringing it back somewhat... yeah come on.

Southern Folks and SNOW ........ 😇 Hilarious

I was just noticing this. Did Cranky leave Twitter? What a strange guy

People are crazy...

Just getting around to looking at all of today's runs and I'll definitely take whatever member 16 on the GEFS was having at 18z lol

Is that why everybody was pounding hellbent for leather to the local Walmart today? I thought they'd gotten another toilet paper shipment in or something.

I know it is, that's why I was wondering. 🙂 I'd know those initials anywhere! 🙂

Last Run by GFS brings sanity, or cruelness ....So we WAIT TO THE NEXT

bout to give my family the "it may be coming talk"

Why are you showing up as a guest?

Not sure, I know he follows you though thru NGW itself! You’re in prime position this year... lucky ! Haha

Then he's not far from us here in Big Canoe. I share my NGW FB post to two different Ellijay FB groups. Maybe he follows those. 🙂

LOL! You never know! It certainly looks very interesting, and the upper air features from the Euro and GFS are quite similar. Throw in a little Christmas magic and voila! 🙂 ❄️⛄🎅

Yea, we're not quite as isolated here. I can be in Jasper in about 20 minutes, same for Dawsonville. Plus we have a grocery and places to eat at Steve Tate and 53, and that is only 10-15 minutes. Some people back in the far reaches of Big Canoe drive 20-30 minutes to get out of Big Canoe.

Have had a significant snow event in 2 out of the last 3 years in this early December time period. That alone seems super improbable, making it 3 out of 4 somehow would be absolutely unbelievable haha.

Meteorologist Larry Cosgrove

Well, heard a noise in the front of the car, so decided not to drive it today. I suspect a lose front sway bar mount, but I want it checked out before I thrash it around again. I started looking again at the period around the 4th and 5th to see what the GFS was seeing to make it think it might snow, and found the culprit. This little bowling ball upper level low is the system that could potentially do it. Here's a look at the winds from 850-700 mb and generally when you see a low the far south in the winter, you'd better start paying attention. The GF

Good morning! Another fine fall day yesterday and another one like it today! We are starting off a little warmer this morning, and as of 5:25 am I am 6 degrees warmer than yesterday. Moisture is starting to creep back in to the area and that will raise out temperatures slightly as we head into the weekend. The morning map (surface winds/850 mb winds/temps/water vapor) shows the moisture returning as the surface high rotates the moisture in off the Atlantic and the Gulf. The brownish tint in the images represents dry air, and that area is continuing to move off to the east. The little

1. Still too soon to tell. Severe potential is on the table, but for now it's wait and see. Just like with snow, a lot of moving parts and small changes make a big difference. 2. Mostly dependent on the timing of the Wednesday system I think. The slower it is the more potential for showers to potentially linger into the early part of Thanksgiving day. Again, best approach is probably just a wait and see for a bit.

Also, this pattern is looking ripe for some fantasy land model snows coming up. Everyone stay leery and try not to get fooled into excitement over it lol.

Had that same wind issue here on Monday night when it dropped to 33 by 10 PM and then the winds picked up and brought it up to near 40 the rest of the night. Last night finally stayed calm with great clear skies, low 26.

The above average temperatures are really making a difference in our weather. I have always scoffed at climate change, but the weather lately makes you scratch your head. I saw where Seattle NWS had issued more Tornado watches in 2020 than Nws in Wichita. The last 2-3 years the chase zone has not been in the mid west but the south. But even there, the cold is lacking so far behind that the usual storm November fronts are zilch. The N East of all places has been more active than the south. Wow! Weird weather and it is best seen in the tropics. We may continue we’ll into December