NorthGeorgiaWX

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1022 AM CDT Fri Apr 19 2024 Valid 191700Z - 201200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... The previous forecast (see below) remains on track, with no changes or additions made. ..Squitieri.. 04/19/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0123 AM CDT Fri Apr 19 2024/ ...Synopsis... A weak/low-amplitude southern-stream trough will track eastward across the Southwest, encouraging breezy/gusty southwesterly winds amid a dry/deeply mixed boundary layer across the region. While elevated meteorological conditions are likely across portions of eastern AZ and western NM during the afternoon, marginal fuels should keep the fire-weather threat fairly localized -- precluding highlights at this time. Elsewhere across the CONUS, a limited overlap of warm/dry/breezy conditions will limit fire-weather concerns. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more View the full article

Flood Warning issued April 19 at 9:48AM EDT until April 19 at 10:43PM EDT by NWS Tallahassee FLView the full article

Flood Warning issued April 19 at 9:29AM EDT by NWS Jacksonville FLView the full article

Flood Warning issued April 19 at 9:29AM EDT by NWS Jacksonville FLView the full article

No watches are valid as of Fri Apr 19 07:02:02 UTC 2024.View the full article

No watches are valid as of Fri Apr 19 07:02:02 UTC 2024.View the full article

No Mesoscale Discussions are in effect as of Fri Apr 19 06:15:07 UTC 2024.View the full article

No watches are valid as of Thu Apr 18 11:02:01 UTC 2024.View the full article

No watches are valid as of Thu Apr 18 11:02:01 UTC 2024.View the full article

No Mesoscale Discussions are in effect as of Thu Apr 18 10:01:02 UTC 2024.View the full article

Day 4-8 Outlook Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0306 AM CDT Thu Apr 18 2024 Valid 211200Z - 261200Z ...DISCUSSION... For much of the extended period, a deep upper low and expansive trough will exist over eastern Canada, with moderate northwest flow across the central and eastern CONUS with various embedded waves. A cold front will be located roughly along the Gulf Coast on Sunday/D4, with areas of rain and thunderstorms from eastern TX toward the northern Gulf Coast and across northern FL. High pressure will keep the quality low-level moisture primarily offshore, but return flow into the southern Plains is forecast from around Wednesday/D7 and beyond as a potential upper trough develops over the western CONUS. As such, low severe potential is forecast for most of the D4-8 period, with perhaps increasing potential by D8 or beyond as the large northeastern trough dwindles. Read more View the full article

Dense Fog Advisory issued April 18 at 1:37AM EDT until April 18 at 10:00AM EDT by NWS Peachtree City GAView the full article

Flood Warning issued April 17 at 9:59PM EDT until April 19 at 12:00PM EDT by NWS Charleston SCView the full article

Flood Warning issued April 17 at 9:19PM EDT until April 19 at 5:00PM EDT by NWS Tallahassee FLView the full article

Flood Warning issued April 17 at 9:03PM EDT by NWS Jacksonville FLView the full article

Flood Warning issued April 17 at 9:03PM EDT until April 19 at 8:00PM EDT by NWS Jacksonville FLView the full article

Flood Warning issued April 17 at 8:56PM EDT by NWS Jacksonville FLView the full article

MD 0462 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY FOR CENTRAL AND EASTERN ARKANSAS Mesoscale Discussion 0462 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0316 PM CDT Tue Apr 16 2024 Areas affected...central and eastern Arkansas Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely Valid 162016Z - 162145Z Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent SUMMARY...Isolated large hail is possible this afternoon/evening. DISCUSSION...A plume of rich low-level moisture has advected across eastern Texas, Louisiana and into southern Arkansas. Weak isentropic ascent has been sufficient for storm development on the leading edge of this moist plume. Effective shear of 50 to 55 knots and will be proficient for organized storms, including supercells. However, warm mid-level temperatures and weak ascent will be the primary limiting factor to a greater threat. Therefore, a few stronger storms may develop with a threat for large hail, but this threat is expected to remain too isolated to warrant a watch. ..Bentley/Guyer.. 04/16/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...MEG...JAN...LZK...SHV... LAT...LON 33229391 33729381 34459361 35109322 35589276 36179209 36469071 36329008 35878979 34549040 33619121 33179180 32969233 32909373 33229391 Read more View the full article

MD 0464 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHERN/CENTRAL IL Mesoscale Discussion 0464 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0340 PM CDT Tue Apr 16 2024 Areas affected...portions of northern/central IL Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible Valid 162040Z - 162215Z Probability of Watch Issuance...40 percent SUMMARY...Severe potential may slowly increase over the next few hours into parts of northern and central Illinois. A watch may be needed at some point late this afternoon, but timing remains uncertain. DISCUSSION...A band of storms continues to lift northeast across eastern IA into western IL this afternoon. Much of the convection is somewhat disorganized in a messy storm mode. Downstream into northern/central IL, some modest increase in boundary-layer moisture still may occur as a warm front lifts north. While strong heating has occurred, some weak inhibition remains over parts of the area. Nevertheless, modest boundary-layer moisture beneath midlevel lapse rates around 7 C/km are supporting weak instability (MLCAPE 1000 J/kg or less). The initial band of convection moving toward the MCD area may largely remain unproductive. However, as large-scale ascent increasing toward evening, a secondary band of convection may move into the area and post more of a severe risk. Given the somewhat limited thermodynamic environment (despite favorable vertical shear), severe potential may only gradually increase toward evening. The area will be monitored for potential watch issuance, but timing is uncertain. ..Leitman/Guyer.. 04/16/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...LOT...ILX...MKX...DVN... LAT...LON 42588989 42398864 41868769 41098752 40288757 39768819 39688902 40068964 41318962 42588989 Read more View the full article

WW 0119 Status Updates STATUS REPORT ON WW 119 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..KERR..04/16/24 ATTN...WFO...LSX...ILX... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 119 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ILC005-013-021-025-027-049-051-061-083-117-119-121-129-133-135- 157-163-167-173-189-162240- IL . ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BOND CALHOUN CHRISTIAN CLAY CLINTON EFFINGHAM FAYETTE GREENE JERSEY MACOUPIN MADISON MARION MENARD MONROE MONTGOMERY RANDOLPH ST. CLAIR SANGAMON SHELBY WASHINGTON MOC055-071-093-099-113-123-179-183-186-187-189-219-221-510- 162240- MO . MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CRAWFORD FRANKLIN IRON JEFFERSON LINCOLN MADISON REYNOLDS ST. CHARLES STE. GENEVIEVE ST. FRANCOIS ST. LOUIS WARREN WASHINGTON Read more View the full article

WW 119 SEVERE TSTM IL MO 162020Z - 170200Z URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 119 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 320 PM CDT Tue Apr 16 2024 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Southern Illinois Southeast Missouri * Effective this Tuesday afternoon and evening from 320 PM until 900 PM CDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered damaging wind gusts to 65 mph possible Scattered large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible A tornado or two possible SUMMARY...Strong to severe storms will continue to move east-northeastward across the region this afternoon, with damaging winds and hail as the primary risks. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 55 statute miles east and west of a line from 45 miles west northwest of Mattoon IL to 40 miles southwest of Farmington MO. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 116...WW 117...WW 118... AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 55 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 24035. ...Guyer Read more View the full article

WW 0119 Status Updates STATUS REPORT ON WW 119 THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..KERR..04/16/24 ATTN...WFO...LSX...ILX... STATUS REPORT FOR WS 119 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ILC005-013-021-025-027-049-051-061-083-117-119-121-129-133-135- 157-163-167-173-189-162240- IL . ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BOND CALHOUN CHRISTIAN CLAY CLINTON EFFINGHAM FAYETTE GREENE JERSEY MACOUPIN MADISON MARION MENARD MONROE MONTGOMERY RANDOLPH ST. CLAIR SANGAMON SHELBY WASHINGTON MOC055-071-093-099-113-123-179-183-186-187-189-219-221-510- 162240- MO . MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CRAWFORD FRANKLIN IRON JEFFERSON LINCOLN MADISON REYNOLDS ST. CHARLES STE. GENEVIEVE ST. FRANCOIS ST. LOUIS WARREN WASHINGTON Read more View the full article

WW 119 SEVERE TSTM IL MO 162020Z - 170200Z URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 119 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 320 PM CDT Tue Apr 16 2024 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Southern Illinois Southeast Missouri * Effective this Tuesday afternoon and evening from 320 PM until 900 PM CDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered damaging wind gusts to 65 mph possible Scattered large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible A tornado or two possible SUMMARY...Strong to severe storms will continue to move east-northeastward across the region this afternoon, with damaging winds and hail as the primary risks. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 55 statute miles east and west of a line from 45 miles west northwest of Mattoon IL to 40 miles southwest of Farmington MO. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 116...WW 117...WW 118... AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 55 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 24035. ...Guyer Read more View the full article

WW 0118 Status Updates STATUS REPORT ON WW 118 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 W DSM TO 40 NW DSM TO 20 WSW FOD TO 35 WSW SPW TO 10 WNW FSD. ..BENTLEY..04/16/24 ATTN...WFO...DMX...FSD...OAX... STATUS REPORT FOR WT 118 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS IAC021-041-059-063-081-091-109-119-141-143-147-151-167-187-189- 195-162140- IA . IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BUENA VISTA CLAY DICKINSON EMMET HANCOCK HUMBOLDT KOSSUTH LYON O'BRIEN OSCEOLA PALO ALTO POCAHONTAS SIOUX WEBSTER WINNEBAGO WORTH THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. Read more View the full article

WW 118 TORNADO IA NE SD 161725Z - 170000Z URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Tornado Watch Number 118 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1225 PM CDT Tue Apr 16 2024 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Tornado Watch for portions of Western and Northern Iowa Northeast Nebraska Southeast South Dakota * Effective this Tuesday afternoon and evening from 1225 PM until 700 PM CDT. * Primary threats include... A couple tornadoes possible Scattered large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible Isolated damaging wind gusts to 60 mph possible SUMMARY...A tornado/hail risk will exist through the afternoon as far west as northeast Nebraska and southeast South Dakota near a surface low, with other severe storms expected to develop into additional parts of Iowa. The tornado watch area is approximately along and 65 statute miles north and south of a line from 30 miles north of Norfolk NE to 35 miles east of Fort Dodge IA. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 116...WW 117... AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 50 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean storm motion vector 22035. ...Guyer Read more View the full article